A director at Singapore Telecommunications Ltd bought 150,000 shares at 3.873SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 93/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...
Japan’s mobile sector accelerated again in Q4 and we think is heading to above inflation. With both KDDI and DCM recently announcing price increases the environment is increasingly benign and should be helped by NTT’s recent acquisition of SBI Sumishin Net Bank. Our recent trip to Japan highlighted how positive the environment is; NTT stays our preferred pick, with KDDI closely behind.
It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in May 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on devel...
For 1Q25, the sector’s muted 1.7% yoy earnings growth was within expectations, underpinned by strong contributions from Singtel’s regional associates and better overall cost discipline. Moving into 2Q25, we expect similar sector earnings growth, largely driven by Singtel and NetLink. We like Singtel for its regional exposure, Starhub as the main beneficiary of market consolidation and NetLink for its defensive earnings, supported by the sector’s attractive dividend yields. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Earlier this month we published on how Global EM Telco Capex is falling rapidly, in large part driven by consolidation. On average EM Telco markets have fallen from a peak of 7 players to under 3. We expect many to end up with 2, or even a single network. How much further far might this cut capex?
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
Singtel remains confident it can deliver double-digit ROIC in FY26-27. Key drivers are: a) better profitability from its core mobile businesses; b) strong contributions from its regional associates; and c) better execution from NCS and Nxera. The group has raised its identifiable capital recycling pot from S$6b to S$9b, which we believe will lead to higher dividends and total shareholder return. In turn, this will help to narrow Singtel's holding company discount. Maintain BUY. Raise SOTP-based ...
As we hoped, Singtel has (finally) announced up to S$2bn (US$1.55bn) in share buybacks over the next three years until FY28. Additionally, this year’s dividend per share rose by 13% to S17.0 cents (includes S4.7cents VRD vs S3.8 in FY24).
We met with all 3 of the incumbent Japanese Telcos & Rakuten in Tokyo last week, as well as visiting Osaka to talk to NTT in more depth about IOWN. Overall, we remain bullish on Japanese telcos operationally and buyers of all three incumbents. NTT remains our top pick followed by KDDI.
Profits disappointed despite revenue being 1% ahead of expectations, partly driven by one-off non cash hedging costs. Mobile remains weak as sequential improvement in MNO revenue slowed materially, as net adds slowed and ARPU fell sequentially
We analyze the capex history & outlook for Global EM Telcos. For this group capex is falling rapidly (-12% in 2024 in US$) as competitive intensity improves and markets consolidate. Excluding China and India, EM Telco capex is already down 23% from peak.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in April 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...
AMX reported a slower but decent set of Q1 numbers yesterday after the close. Both revenue and EBITDA came in line with consensus with Brazil coming in above expectations but Mexico below. Given the slowdown in Mexican trends, the company has announced that capex this year is expected to be ~$6.7bn
Despite global volatility our EM Top Picks posted positive returns again in April and now up 34% YTD on average. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be and this is now being reflected by the market it seems.
The Asia Trade Book for April 2025 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.