reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BRISA TI; MBK PW; Polish telecoms; MYTIL GA
HEADLINES: • Brisa: takeaways from the virtual CMD, and FY25E guidance • mBank: 2Q25 FX mortgage saga costs at PLN 539.6m NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: T-Mobile Poland announces new 2P mobile & fibre bundle POSITIVE • Metlen: details of the 1-for-1 share exchange offer • Short News (CEZ)
Alpha Services and Holdings S.A: 3 directors
Three Directors at Alpha Services and Holdings S.A sold 123,205 shares at between 2.968EUR and 2.978EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's di...
OTP Bank Plc: 6 directors
Two Directors at OTP Bank Plc sold after exercising options 2,870 shares at between 27,066.000HUF and 27,073.000HUF. The significance rating of the trade was 23/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the ...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Recharged by results, lifted by M&A
Q1 results spark 6% outperformance in Greek banks, led by Alpha – Q1 results triggered an 6% outperformance of Greek banks vs their EU periphery peers (and 8% vs SX7E), led by Alpha Bank (+27% since 28 Apr), followed by Optima (+22%), NBG (+14%), Piraeus (+13%), and Eurobank (+10%). The rally was earnings-driven—Alpha (+24% vs cons) and NBG (+17%) delivered standout beats—while Alpha’s momentum was further fuelled by the Astrobank and AXIA bolt-ons and, primarily, by the UniCredit stake increase...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Recharged by results, lifted by M&A
Q1 results spark 6% outperformance in Greek banks, led by Alpha – Q1 results triggered an 6% outperformance of Greek banks vs their EU periphery peers (and 8% vs SX7E), led by Alpha Bank (+27% since 28 Apr), followed by Optima (+22%), NBG (+14%), Piraeus (+13%), and Eurobank (+10%). The rally was earnings-driven—Alpha (+24% vs cons) and NBG (+17%) delivered standout beats—while Alpha’s momentum was further fuelled by the Astrobank and AXIA bolt-ons and, primarily, by the UniCredit stake increase...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; TL Macro; DNP PW; CZG CP; 4IG HB
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: sells 60% stake in SCB for 2024 P/BV of 1.2x, books modest gain of PLN 0.4bn NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: weak BoP, but improving budget • Dino: AGM approves 1:10 share split NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: closes VSS acquisition • 4iG: signs non-binding term sheet to acquire nine defence subsidiaries from N7 Holding NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TPEIR GA; PGE PW; PEO PW; PZU ...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CCC CCC SA
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Can Demir
- Miguel Dias
Greek Banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD...
The Greek banking index has risen by 53% (62% with dividends), driven by higher P/E multiples and EPS upgrades since our April 2024 reinitiation. In this report, we raise our average normalised EPS forecasts for the big four Greek banks under our coverage by 10% for 2025E and 11% for 2026E, due mainly to stronger fees and lower COR. Our NII estimates for 2025-26E remain broadly unchanged, despite the lower-than-expected interest rates. The banks have also maintained their 2025-27E targets in the...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; DOC AV; PL Macro; INPST NA; PL Retail; OPL PW; HU ...
HEADLINES: • LPP: beat vs. 1Q25 consensus expectations, slow start to 2Q, FY25E rollout plans cut to 1,200 stores POSITIVE • DO & CO: strong 4Q FY25 numbers beat the consensus and our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: PM Tusk wins vote of confidence, as expected POSITIVE • InPost: English High Court dismisses motion against Yodel POSITIVE • Polish retail: possible retail sales tax extension to e-commerce NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from Parkiet interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Hu...
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CAR PW; 11B PW; OPL PW; CBF PW; DOC AV; TXT PW
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Moneta Money Bank: 1 director
A director at Moneta Money Bank bought 11,500 shares at 146.400CZK and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; CDR PW; VGO PW; DAT PW; KAP LI; LAMDA GA; AEGN GA...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
HUGE HUUUGE
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BHW PW; ACP PW; PGE PW; HUG PW; DIA PW; BFT PW; GPP PW; WP...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
HUGE HUUUGE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Polish Food Retail – DNP PW; EUR PW; JMT PL; ZAB PW; BFT P...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
OMV OMV AG
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Maria Mickiewicz
Polish Food Retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY...
We believe that, after the price war-impacted 2024 and the seasonally-challenged 1Q25, Polish grocers should enjoy Easter-supported demand and a leap in the VAT hike in 2Q25E. In our view, the Polish consumer has matured, following the tough experience of the pandemic, and the inflation bubble that followed. With a propensity to consume no longer close to 100%, we see the rollout-led growth as more tangible than pure lfl expansion. Within the high-growth names, we prefer Żabka (initiation with a...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA (stays BUY); Romania macro; Poland macro; 11B PW;...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
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