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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +15%) MTN Uganda – Q2 25 Quick Take: Solid EBIT...

MTN Uganda has reported a decent set of Q2 results. Top line trends were roughly similar to Q1, still impacted by the MTR cut on the voice side. However, data growth remained solid and EBITDA margins were good.

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - 2Q25: Results In Line With Our And...

ADVANC's 2Q25 net profit came in at Bt11.0b, rising 28% yoy and 4% qoq, mainly on strong revenue, robust gross margin and low SG&A-to-sales. Revenue totalled Bt56.0b (+9% yoy, flat qoq), largely thanks to core service revenue. The ARPU trend in both mobile and FBB was also impressive and showed continuous growth. In 2H25, we believe the strong earnings will continue. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt340.00.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+4)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Thailand Daily - Thursday, August 07, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt296.00/Target: Bt340.00) 2Q25: Results in line with our and consensus estimates. IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt1.02/Target: Bt1.20) 2Q25 Results: Losses were expected; better outlook in 3Q25. SVI (SVI TB/HOLD/Bt6.10/Target: Bt6.00) 2Q25: Earnings were weak and below our and market expectations Update CH Karnchang (...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+20)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Guan An Tan
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 7, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results BeOne Medicines (6160 HK/BUY/HK$182.70/Target: HK$240.00): 2Q25: Results beat; expects revenue and margins to expand further. Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/SELL/HK$10.85/Target: HK$10.23): 1H25: Results broadly in line. Cargo facing higher uncertainties in 2H25. Downgraded to SELL. Update AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.55/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25 results preview: Solid VONB and earnings growth. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$54.00/Target: HK$69.20): 2Q25 results preview: Expect ...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +23%) MTN Nigeria – Q2 25: Very strong, guidanc...

MTN Nigeria has reported a very strong set of Q2 results, supported by a full quarter of price increase and the company has upgraded its FY25 and medium-term guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Broadband Update; Upgrade MEGA to Buy, pt MXN75

Following Q1s and our calls with the CFOs of Televisa, Megacable and Totalplay last month we provide an update on Mexican Broadband.

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - Expected To Continue Reporting Rob...

ADVANC's 2Q25 net profit is projected to rise 29% yoy and 5% qoq to Bt11.0b, mainly on strong revenue, robust gross margin, and low SG&A-to-sales. We estimate 2Q25 revenue at Bt57.9b (+13% yoy, +3% qoq), supported by core service revenue, especially from the FBB business. EBITDA margin should be flat qoq due to high net operating expenses. Looking ahead, we believe the strong earnings will continue in 2H25. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt340.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Monday, July 07, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt279.00/Target: Bt340.00) Expected to continue reporting robust earnings in 2Q25. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt110.00/Target: Bt155.00) 2Q25 earnings to be pressured by high unit costs but yield remains attractive.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+8)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, July 7, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Logistics: Recent logistics sector data remains healthy; expect solid 2Q25 sector financial performance. Maintain OVERWEIGHT, with JDL remaining as our top pick. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Loan growth slows, all eyes on fiscal spending acceleration. MALAYSIA Update Sunway Construction (SCGB MK/HOLD/RM5.99/Target: RM5.55): Outlook remains optimistic with robust orderbook replenishment and multiple catalysts, but fairly priced in after ytd share price rally. Maintain HOLD. S...

Chong Lee Len ... (+15)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 02, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+8)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Philip Wong
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 01, 2025

INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlight Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ/NOT RATED/Rp328) A clear turning point. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Loans growth improved to 5.3% from 5.1% in May 25. The absence of strong earnings catalysts has prompted us to maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results Sapura Energy (SAPE MK/BUY/RM0.05/Target: RM0.07) 1QFY26: Core losses are in line on poorer rig utilisation and lu...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos Q1 25 review: Better profitability despite slower topl...

Service revenue trends slowed in Q1 amid macro headwinds, but EBITDA returned to growth. This continued to drive earnings and therefore dividend growth. With capex continuing to fall in absolute terms, the Chinese telcos continue to look cheap. For investors unable to access this space, we recommend to monitor the developments in China as we see it as a leading indicator for EM telcos more broadly.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Strong start to the year, full price increase boost y...

Local currency growth accelerated to above 40% in Q1, and is likely to continue to accelerate in Q2 driven by a full quarter impact from the 50% price increase approval, and stabilising macro.

Thailand Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

THAILAND STRATEGY – 1Q25 Results Review

In 1Q25, earnings under our coverage are at Bt201.14b (-0.1% yoy, +46.2% qoq). The qoq increase was due to seasonality. The banking, telecommunications and consumer staples sectors reported remarkable results. For 2025 we reduce earnings growth by 3.8%, but opportunities remain in domestic and external plays. Overall, we lower 2025F EPS to Bt80 from Bt94and our SET target to 1,280 (from 1,500 in 1Q25) based on 16.0x forward PE. Top picks are ADVANC, RATCH, BCH, IVL, PTTGC.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Bharti Airtel (Buy, INR 2,070, +13%) Q4 FY25 Quick Take: Dividend doub...

Bharti Airtel printed a decent EBITDA beat, supported by momentum in Domestic mobile and better margins in Enterprise thanks to a deliberate move away from lower margin commodity voice and messaging in global accounts.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +59%) Q1 25: Group trends accelerating driven b...

MTN has reported a solid set of Q1 results with service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating again. Therefore, service revenue continued to trend above the MT guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +58%) MTN Uganda – Q1 25 Quick Take: Slower top...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower set of Q1 results due to the MTR cut. However, margins were solid and OpFCF growth inflected. The company has reiterated its medium-term guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +60%) MTN Rwanda – Q1 25: Still mixed but MT gu...

MTN Rwanda has reported a somewhat mixed set of Q1 numbers. On the one hand, service revenue trends slowed, impacted by strong competition. On the other hand, EBITDA growth is back into positive territory and low capex spend this quarter translated into solid OpFCF

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