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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Nigerian Telcos – Price increase is finally coming, i...

A price increase is coming soon according to the Nigerian press. The magnitude is not yet known but this is positive news (potentially very positive) for the Nigerian Telcos, Airtel Africa and MTN.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...

In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos & Tower Outlook 2025: Expect performance to continue,...

Despite slowing top line, 2024 was another banner year for investors in the Chinese Telcos & China Tower as capex remains contained and shareholder remuneration improves.

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - Still Anticipate Impressive Result...

ADVANC's core profit for 4Q24 is projected to rise 26% yoy and 5% qoq to Bt8.9b, in line with revenue and gross margin trends. Yoy revenue growth should be supported by the FBB, enterprise, and mobile businesses and qoq revenue growth should be driven by the handset subsidy business. EBITDA margin should also grow continuously yoy and qoq. We fine-tune 2024-25 earnings. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt330.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Monday, January 06, 2025

Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt285.00/Target: Bt330.00) Still anticipate impressive results in 4Q24; maintain BUY. Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt26.50/Target: Bt27.00) Announces additional investment in CFP and postpones operations to 3Q28.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+10)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 06, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Shipping And Ports: Expect 2025 to be a volatile year, with several geopolitical and industrial events posing key uncertainties. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. BUY CSP, CMP and OOIL. INDONESIA Strategy 2024 JCI Return Analysis: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Strategy 1H25 Strategy: The FBMKLCI should again deliver energising returns in 2025, charged up mainly by domestic liquidity ...

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

LatAm Telcos – TIM/Vivo to Neutral; Wireless MVNO threats - NuCel / Br...

As well as a broader regional recap, we focus on wireless MVNO threats: NuCel in Brazil, recapping also the experience of AMX in Mexico with Bait (Walmart).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile Q2 FY25 review: Renewed acceleration off tariff hike, F...

Indian mobile revenue growth accelerated to mid-teens on the back of the tariff hike in July, with EBITDA margin expansion across all three operators.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +57%) Q3 24: Solid, SR growth back on track wit...

MTN has reported a solid set of Q3 results with service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and service revenue trending back in line with the MT guidance.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

VIVT3 (Buy, TP: R$61, +15%) TIMS3 (Buy, TP: R$23, +43%) AMX (Buy, TP: ...

Rounding off the reporting season, Vivo reported solid Q3s results with a 3% beat at EBITDA and the best postpaid net adds in Brazil this quarter.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q3 24 Quick take: Mixed quar...

MTN Rwanda has reported a mixed set of Q3 numbers. Service revenue trends inflected and are back into positive territory while EBITDA trends eased but remained under pressure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN Uganda (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +47%) – Q3 24 Quick Take: Slower but soli...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower but solid set of Q3 numbers and has upgraded medium-term guidance for service revenue growth.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+19)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, November 04, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...

TWOU 2U INC.
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - 3Q24: Results In Line; Expect Stro...

ADVANC's net profit for 3Q24 came in at Bt8.8b, in line with our and market forecasts. Net profit increased yoy due to higher revenue and margin growth. Meanwhile, earnings was flat qoq, impacted by higher SG&A-to-sales. For its operations, mobile ARPU increased yoy, but was flat qoq due to the seasonal impact. EBITDA margin was stronger yoy due to to higher core service revenue from TTTBB’s contribution. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt310.00

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Thailand Daily - Monday, November 04, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt267.00/Target: Bt310.00) 3Q24: Results in line; expect stronger earnings outlook in 4Q24.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +50%) MTN Ghana – Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster quart...

MTN Ghana has reported a good set of Q3 results with both service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and solid data subscriber net additions.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +48%) MTN Nigeria Q3 24 Quick Take: A much bette...

MTN Nigeria has reported a much better set of results. Top line growth accelerated again, and EBITDA growth is back into positive territory, helped by the tower lease renegotiations.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

5G FWA in EM Hold on for a massive acceleration in FWA demand, Bharti...

When Jio announced it was targeting 100m 5G FWA customers we said this was likely to be game changing for the industry globally, and so it is proving.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile Broadband upgraded as FWA takes off; Bharti price targe...

Jio’s recent FWA figures suggest India is entering an S-curve of adoption. We think this means Jio is set to capture the lion’s share of a $20bn revenue industry (by 2030). Bharti is likely to benefit strongly too.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

Mexican Cable/FTTH - Q3 24: MEGA and TPLAY the strongest performers; T...

The Mexican fixed market experienced a slight slowdown in revenue and EBITDA trends in Q3 but KPIs remained robust with 423k net additions and continued growth in Broadband penetration.

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