Thai telcos had a good run in 2024 and the momentum carried into Q1 2025 with steady service revenue and margin growth. However, weaker inbound tourism figures and the tariff overhang have raised concerns, contributing to the downward revision in GDP forecasts (1.8% to 1.1% in 2025).
TRUE's net profit for 2Q25 is projected to skyrocket 312% yoy and 26% qoq, underpinned by strong broadband revenue growth, lower opex and reduced network impairment. In 2Q25, we expect TRUE’s mobile revenue to decline 1% yoy and qoq to Bt32.3b due to short-term network issues and other headwinds. EBITDA should drop qoq due to revenue pressure. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt14.50.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
A director at True Corporation Public Company Ltd bought 350,000 shares at 12.500THB and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
Earlier this month we published on how Global EM Telco Capex is falling rapidly, in large part driven by consolidation. On average EM Telco markets have fallen from a peak of 7 players to under 3. We expect many to end up with 2, or even a single network. How much further far might this cut capex?
In 1Q25, earnings under our coverage are at Bt201.14b (-0.1% yoy, +46.2% qoq). The qoq increase was due to seasonality. The banking, telecommunications and consumer staples sectors reported remarkable results. For 2025 we reduce earnings growth by 3.8%, but opportunities remain in domestic and external plays. Overall, we lower 2025F EPS to Bt80 from Bt94and our SET target to 1,280 (from 1,500 in 1Q25) based on 16.0x forward PE. Top picks are ADVANC, RATCH, BCH, IVL, PTTGC.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
Core profit for 1Q25 is projected to skyrocket 290% yoy and 20% qoq, underpinned by improved cost management, an enhanced gross margin and a reduced SG&A-to-sales ratio. Revenue from the mobile business should drop slightly yoy and qoq due to fewer days in 1Q25 and lower revenue from NT. We expect TRUE’s performance to continue improving and to turn around in 2H25. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt14.50.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Solid growth in PV sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. IT Hardware: AI devices and AI robots to remain as key investment theme throughout 2025. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Management: 2024 results wr...
ADVANC's 1Q25 net profit is projected to rise 14% yoy and 4% qoq to Bt9.76b, mainly on the back of revenue improvement and cost reduction. We estimate 1Q25 revenue at Bt55.4b (+4% yoy, -2% qoq), supported by the mobile and FBB businesses. EBITDA margin should be strong due to the high base of SG&A in 4Q24 brought about by increased performance-based staff costs, the impact of TTTBB consolidation, and provisions for obsolete assets. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt330.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Selective Buy On Individual Stocks We maintain our cautiously optimistic view on the Thai equities market in Apr 25. We decide to take profit on TFG and cut losses on CPALL and MAJOR. We also add ADVANC, BJC, and PTTEP. Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt281.00/Target: Bt330.00) Expect strong 1Q25 earnings on revenue improvement and cost reduction.
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Mar 25 GGR slightly above expectations. MALAYSIA Results Yinson Holdings (YNS MK/BUY/RM2.20/Target: RM3.15): FY25: FPSO income misses expectations against the lower income base as per its inaugural Enterprise Reporting, and higher-than-expected financing costs. Update IJM Corporation (IJM MK/BUY/RM2.10/Target: RM3.00): Prospects remain resilient with a robust pipeline of infrastructure and industrial contract flows. Maintain BUY and target price of RM3.00. SI...
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