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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Could Oracle capture all OpenAI’s compute by 2027? Implications for Mi...

Oracle’s RPO jumped by $320bn QoQ, which the WSJ tied to a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI starting in 2027. In the note below, we show how this compares with leaked projections of OpenAI’s compute needs.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle RPOs: Beginning of the bubble... or beginning of the AI era?

Dear all, After we spent the day trying to figure out where AI compute would sit over the next 10 years, Oracle blessed us with a powerful datapoint: Half a trillion dollar RPOs. We pulled out a note overnight digging into what we learnt last night and confronting it to our deep understanding of the current AI infrastructure landscape. Very interesting findings emerged, follow the link below for details.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASML investing in Mistral – Strategic core or distraction?

Media reported yesterday that ASML will invest €1.3bn in Mistral AI, a French start-up developing frontier AI models, as part of a €1.7bn Series C funding round valuing Mistral at €10bn pre-money. Click on the link below for our quick read.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Semicap: Cautious view justified; expectations at risk fo...

Today, we are publishing the Semicap section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, PCs, Enterprise IT and Foundry. 2Q25 semicap revenues up 2% QoQ, 2% above consensus. China up 19% after a 17% decline in 1Q, with manufac...

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: Japanese Banking Industry’s Investment in DX Deepens

The most recent quarterly earnings for the system integrators highlighted the sustained increase in spending by Japanese financial institutions over recent quarters, as they seek to improve products and services amid a shift in interest rates and the introduction of tax-exempt investment accounts, and as interest in digital currencies grows. Analyst Lindsay Whipp reviews some of the DX spending undertaken by Japan’s banking industry and highlights beneficiaries'.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly – August 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in August 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on de...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
WFG1 WYNN MACAU LTD.
01030 WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
7201 JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
KIJA NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
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PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Memory: margins of conventional DRAM to expand as HBM gro...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. DRAM COGS up 25% YoY and 21% QoQ, driven by seasonality,...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Sony (6758 JT) – Upping its Game

Pelham Smithers ponders Sony’s excellent FY25 Q1 results and weighs up whether they will be followed by a backlash or are a harbinger of earnings strength to come.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Tokyo Game Show Line-Up

In the wake of Gamescom, it is the lead up to the Tokyo Game Show. Pelham Smithers flags what to watch out for in the line-up of eye-catching games.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Pull forward in Auto Semis? AI blues at Workday? H20 suspended, Palo A...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 5 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Verisure, Sunrise, Travelodge, Altice France (SFR), Manuchar, Arrow Global, Stada, Air Baltic, Softbank Group

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Country Garden, Softbank Group, Xiaomi Corp, Sunny Optical

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank and the U.S. government shoring up Intel?

Intel and SoftBank announced yesterday evening that SoftBank will acquire $2bn of newly issued Intel shares. At the same time reports of the U.S. government taking a direct stake in Intel are becoming more tangible. Please see the link below for our take.​

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos – Q1 FY25 review: Steady start, all eyes on Mobile pri...

Revenue trends were steady as the softer mobile growth was offset by improvement in non-mobile. Softbank remained the outperformer, but this has already been baked in as expectations for Group revenue are sitting ahead of guidance by 3%.

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Multiversity, TalkTalk, Tullow Oil, Softbank Group, Novelis

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Ports, Softbank Group

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank 1FQ25: Valuation gap largely filled. Long-term still attracti...

SoftBank Group published its 1FQ25 results this morning. Please see the link below for our take on the print.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥215, +40%) Q1 FY25 Quick Take: Soft start; awaiting fo...

NTT printed a rather soft set of Q1 results as Mobile was weaker and Global Solutions was impacted by FX weakness in its Overseas arm. The recovery in Regional Communications offered some encouragement and is likely to remain so as the firm transits from Copper to Fibre over the long run.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Semiconductors / SPE: Tokyo Electron (8035 JT) FY25 Q1 Results Rev...

With the release of TEL's disappointing FY25 Q1 results, Pelham Smithers asks whether it is a one-off, or whether TEL is a “canary in a coal mine”?

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