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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Deep dive into Italy

• ADX has released further details on its C.R 150.AU permit; located in shallow waters offshore western Sicily, ~50 km from a potential onshore tie-in to the TransMed pipeline, which transports Algerian gas to Europe. • While initial efforts centred on the Nilde oil field, ADX has shifted its strategic focus toward gas, reflecting the evidence of high quality gas from historic oil exploration in the permit, Europe’s growing demand for domestic supply and the recent offshore development of near...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Firming-up the exploration portfolio in Austria – ADX has matured its Austrian exploration portfolio following: (1) recent drilling results, (2) licence area modifications, and (3) updated technical evaluations. Excluding the Welchau-1 well drilled in 2024—where resource classification remains pending due to suspended flow testing (following an environmental objection)—ADX has del...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Temporary blip at Triton

• Production at the Triton FPSO is currently running at a reduced rate due to a vibration issue within the compression trains, requiring bearing replacement. Normal output is expected to resume by end-September. Triton achieved net production of over 25,000 boe/d in August using only one compressor. The restart of the second unit could push volumes above this level. • In parallel, subsea intervention work on a pipeline at the Bittern field, originally scheduled for 2026, has been scheduled for N...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Firming-up the exploration portfolio in Austria

• ADX has matured its Austrian exploration portfolio following: (1) recent drilling results, (2) licence area modifications, and (3) updated technical evaluations. • Excluding the Welchau-1 well drilled in 2024—where resource classification remains pending due to suspended flow testing (following an environmental objection)—ADX has delineated 24 drillable prospects across five distinct plays, with P50 prospective resources of ~247 bcf and 31 mmbbl (~72 mmboe). The proportion of gas in the explor...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG LN) - H1 2025 results - Corporate

JOG has released its H1 2025 results. These reassure on the substantial cash holding and limited cash burn rate, while JOG and the Buchan JV continue to await further clarity on UK tax and clearances in order to inform project FID. We continue to consider Buchan an attractive proposition for the JV and for investors, and we look for further news in the UK budget in the coming months.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/08/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Formal permit award in Italy adds gas exploration upside – ADX has been formally awarded the C.R150.AU offshore exploration permit in Sicily. The permit has an initial term of 6 years, with the option for 2 additional 3-year renewal periods. In the event of a commercial discovery, an exploitation concession may be granted for 20 years, extendable by a further 10 years. ADX is now ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): High production at Triton. More to come

• Net production at Triton has averaged 20 mboe/d over the past two weeks. This reflects the progressive restart of all the fields, with further upside expected as additional wells are brought online. These include (1) productive wells from Bittern and Gannet E, and (2) newly drilled wells at Guillemot North West and Evelyn, which have yet to commence production. • As a reminder, Serica has a 100% interest in the Evelyn field, and has already stated that the well showed ‘encouraging results’ whe...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

New Zealand Energy Corp. (TSX-V: NZ): Higher than expected production ...

• Monumental Energy reports that Copper Moki-1 and Copper Moki-2 are currently producing a combined 125 bbl/d, with rates trending upwards as pump speeds are gradually increased. Reflecting this momentum, we are revising our gross production estimate for Copper Moki from 125 boe/d to 180 boe/d (~175 bbl/d) for Q4 2025. • The Ngaere-1 pipeline was recommissioned in July with initial production from the well exceeding 400 bbl/d (200 bbl/d net to New Zealand Energy’s 50% working interest). Producti...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Formal permit award in Italy adds gas explorati...

• ADX has been formally awarded the C.R150.AU offshore exploration permit in Sicily. The permit has an initial term of 6 years, with the option for 2 additional 3-year renewal periods. In the event of a commercial discovery, an exploitation concession may be granted for 20 years, extendable by a further 10 years. ADX is now recognized as a qualified operator in Italy. • ADX has high-graded 5 gas prospects within the permit area, with best-case prospective resources estimated at 369 bcf. As addit...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/08/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: 4Q25 drilling in Uzbekistan could add 26-40 mmcf/d. First LNG in Kazakhstan in 2Q26 – 2Q25 gross production averaged 10,258 boe/d, consistent with prior indications. Drilling of the first vertical well in Uzbekistan will begin in early September. The well will target the producing carbonate reservoir, as well as deeper clastic formations and fractured basement intervals. A su...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/08/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&G. Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin. The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perfor...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Robust 1H25 cashflow ahead of production...

• While 1H25 production was only 24.7 mboe/d with BKR producing 16.7 mboe/d, Serica’s FY25 production guidance of 33-35 mboe/d implies a significant 2H25 uplift to 41.3–45.3 mboe/d, as Triton ramps up to full production and BKR rebounds. We continue to forecast 4Q25 production of ~48 mboe/d, supported by expected contributions of 21–22 mboe/d from BKR and ~25 mboe/d from Triton. • Production in 2H25 will benefit from new wells coming onstream as a result of Triton drilling, with five successful ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): High production at Z&G. Low risk exploration dr...

• 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin. The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perforation of a new oil production zone in a well. • Despite a drop in oil price revenue during June, adjusted 2Q25 sales were A$3.5 mm. This represents an increase of 26%. • A farm-in partner for the GOLD cl...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/08/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Operating update – Net production in Austria was 303 boe/d. The company held A$4.8 mm in cash at the end of June. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: Successful flow test at North-MGH boosts expected 2H26 gas production to 7-10 mmcf/d – The MGH-20 well in the North Mengoepeh (MGH) field tested 2.8 mmcf/d with associated oil. This is a positive surprise a...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Triton ramp-up to full production delaye...

• Following the July production restart at Triton FPSO, ramp-up to the steady-state plateau of has been delayed into August. With Bittern now back online and Evelyn and Gannet expected to follow shortly, net production at Triton is set to reach 25 mboe/d in the near future. • It is expected that the production plateau will exceed this level once the new wells are then brought onstream later in August. • The delay has not resulted in any incremental costs. • Production from other assets remains r...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 25/07/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ New Zealand Energy (NZE CN)C; Target price of C$1.70 per share: Equity raise to progress Tariki gas storage – New Zealand Energy (NZE) has raised C$3 mm of new equity priced at C$0.18 per share. The proceeds of the raise will fund the desktop studies required to prepare the field development plan, derisking the gas storage project ahead of expected monetization within the next 12 months. It will also fund the repayment of the convertib...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

New Zealand Energy Corp. (TSX-V: NZ): Equity raise to progress Tariki ...

• New Zealand Energy (NZE) has raised C$3 mm of new equity priced at C$0.18 per share. The proceeds of the raise will fund the desktop studies required to prepare the field development plan, derisking the gas storage project ahead of expected monetization within the next 12 months. It will also fund the repayment of the convertible note. • On completion, the company will be debt free and have a market cap of ~C$8 mm at current share price. • In 2017, the adjacent Ahuroa gas storage facility, wit...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Audio Note: Jersey Oil & Gas - Great value going into new UK tax terms...

In this audio note, Zeus’ Dan Slater summarises the investment case for Jersey Oil & Gas. Jersey Oil & Gas has a material stake in the Buchan development project in the UK North Sea, in partnership with NEO and Serica. Clarity on forward UK tax terms is expected in H2 2025, and this should pave the way for FID on this attractive project in 2026 - important value catalysts for the shares, which offer good value at current levels. Listen to the audio note below.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Sintana Energy Inc. (TSX-V: SEI): Multiple offers received by Galp for...

• Galp has received multiple non-binding offers from reputable parties for a stake in PEL 83, home to the Mopane discovery. • The company is actively engaging with several counterparties, aiming to announce a farm-in partner by YE25. • These counterparties bring strong operatorship credentials and have prioritized Namibia within their corporate strategies. They are committed to advancing and fully exploring the licence at a value-enhancing pace for Galp. • Any announced transaction would prov...

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