AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Portion of deeper target at Welchau flows water on test – Two intervals (total of ~16 m) in the Steinalm formation. were tested at a stable rate (natural flow) of 240-290 bbl/d of drilling mud, likely contaminated formation water and some oil traces. Gas was initially observed at surface. While the achieved flow rate highlights the high permeability of the natural fractures, the absence of hydrocarbons is disappoi...
• ~11 high impact appraisal/exploration wells will be drilled on various licences in Namibia over the coming months. This is very material and is expected to attract the attention of investors. Sintana provides exposure to three out of the six licences with high impact drilling. • We believe that the recent weakness of Sintana’s share price offers an opportunity with an asymmetric risk/reward profile. • We estimate that Sintana’s current share price trades at a discount to the market value of i...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.70 per share: Approvals to start well testing at Welchau received. Rig and test equipment mobilized – All necessary approvals have been received to commence flow testing operations on the Welchau-1 discovery well for the period from 30 October 2024 until 31 March 2025. A workover rig has been mobilised to the Welchau-1 drill site with flow testing due to commence during the second half of Novem...
• All necessary approvals have been received to commence flow testing operations on the Welchau-1 discovery well for the period from 30 October 2024 until 31 March 2025. • A workover rig has been mobilised to the Welchau-1 drill site with flow testing due to commence during the second half of November. There are multiple zones to test. The key test objectives being to confirm fluid type, reservoir productivity and likely reserves recovery. • Welchau-1 is a vertical exploration well that was cas...
In this audio note, Zeus’ Daniel Slater summarises the investment case for Jersey Oil & Gas. In the recent UK budget the government announced an update to the UK oil and gas tax regime, alongside two sector consultations on long-term tax and environmental rules. In our view, these announcements have provided helpful additional clarity on tax for JOG and the company’s Buchan development project, and a route to further clarity in the coming months.
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The work-overs of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed. The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up. With a total cost of 100 wells on Condor’s fields includ...
In the recent UK budget the government announced an update to the UK oil and gas tax regime, alongside two sector consultations on long-term tax and environmental rules. In our view, these announcements have provided helpful additional clarity on tax for JOG and the company’s Buchan development project, and a route to further clarity in the coming months.
• While the new fiscal regime for UK upstream oil and gas in yesterday’s UK budget incorporates a 3% increase in EPL (to 38%) and the elimination of the 29% investment uplift allowance for EPL purposes, this is a better outcome than feared. • While these changes were expected, the industry and investors had been concerned by the possibility that capex investment might not be fully deductible for EPL purposes. That risk has now been removed. • In addition, the 62.5% investment uplift allowance f...
• The T-5 development well did not encounter the main reservoir target. The fault delimiting the reservoir is interpreted to be shallower (worst case scenario) than in the base case. The well will now be sidetracked to the west into the reservoir. The results are expected in November. • No natural fractures were encountered at the shallower Tikorangi secondary target. The sidetrack will provide a second opportunity to look for a fracture in this horizon. • Monumental Energy will fund the work-ov...
• Production at the Triton FPSO has been interrupted due to potential dry gas seal failure at the A gas compressor. The vulnerability of Triton to an issue with the single compressor was flagged previously, and improving the robustness of production was highlighted by Serica’s new CEO as a priority. The second compressor would have reduced the operational vulnerability of the FPSO but it has not yet been repaired. This second compressor is now expected to be brought back in service in 1Q25 inste...
• Drilling operations have started at the Mopane 1-A appraisal well on PEL 83. This appraisal well is the first of an up to four well programme potentially consisting of two appraisal wells and two exploration wells. While the programme is expected to increase the value of this asset, this comes at no cost to Sintana as they are fully carried by Galp. • The main purpose of Mopane 1-A is to confirm the continuity of the reservoir characteristics and liquid content at AVO-1. The potential phase 1 ...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price A$0.75 per share: Welchau test to start on 4th of November. LICHT well to reach main target next week – MCF Energy (the partner of ADX at Welchau) has announced that the well test at Welchau is expected to start on 4th of November. The initial well test results could also be available during November. The full well test operations will last much longer given that there are multiple zones to test. Our...
• MCF Energy (the partner of ADX at Welchau) has announced that the well test at Welchau is expected to start on 4th of November. The initial well test results could also be available during November. The full well test operations will last much longer given that there are multiple zones to test. • Our unrisked NAV for Welchau is A$1.18 per share. • The Lichtenberg-1 exploration well (LICHT-1) has reached a depth of 2,140 m. with the main target reservoir expected at 2,500 m MD. The well total...
We have launched our new website with a revamped research portal – Home | Auctus Advisors. We’d be very interested to receive any feedback you may have. AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price C$0.35 per share: Encouraging drilling results. Decreasing opex – Production to date in October is 950 bbl/d, the same level as reported on 24 September. The MGH-43 well has encountered 41 m of prospective gross sand intervals with good to exc...
* A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement ****Alphabetically arranged Share prices and market capitalisations taken from the current price on the day of publication Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: None What’s baking in the oven? ITF announced:*** Potential** Initial Public Offerings: 30th September 2024: Applied Nutrition, the sports nutrition, health ...
• The B6 well on the Bittern field is now in production at a stable gross rate of ~8 mboe/d. Net to Serica, this represents ~5.2 mboe/d. This is well above our expectations of ~3 mboe/d (net). • This result showcases the quality of the subsurface team at Serica, something emphasised by the CEO at the HY results, as the well was drilled horizontally in a thin 245 m long reservoir section just above the oil-water contact. • Overall production is now above 50 mboe/d. Given a slow ramp-up following ...
• Welchau is now interpreted as a light oil rather than a gas condensate discovery based on detailed analysis of samples recovered from the well and other well data. While this means that the energy equivalent hydrocarbon volumes may be smaller than the original pre-drill estimates, onshore oil can be more valuable than gas to a small company due to the ability to produce and progressively develop a field without having to first prove up sufficient reserves to underwrite a pipeline and secure a ...
27th September 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: None Whats baking in the oven? Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: ITF announced: GenIP aims to list on the AIM market on 2 October 2024. It is targeting to raise £1.5m and anticipating a £6.5m market cap. GenIP is a portfolio...
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