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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Spudding high impact well – Drilling operations have started at the Carrizales Norte B Pad Horizontal Well 1. This is the first horizontal well drilled in the Ubaque on Tapir. Three more horizontal wells will be drilled on the pad. Delivering good flow rates at these wells will be very important for future production growth. Arrow held US$12.4 mm in cash at the beginning ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Spud of Carrizales Norte horizontal

Arrow has announced spud of the first horizontal well on its Carrizales field onshore Colombia, targeting higher production rates and enhanced well economics

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...

>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...

>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...

 PRESS RELEASE

GeoPark Reports First Quarter 2024 Results

BOGOTA, Colombia--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator, and consolidator, reports its consolidated financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2024 (“First Quarter” or “1Q2024”). A conference call to discuss these financial results will be held on May 16, 2024, at 10:00 am (Eastern Daylight Time). FIRST QUARTER 2024 SUMMARY In 1Q2024, GeoPark delivered $111.5 million Adjusted EBITDA, an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 67%, and $30.2 million net profit that was 15% higher t...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Discovery in Gabon. Reiterating producti...

• The Hibiscus South exploration well on the Dussafu permit has encountered 25 m of pay in an overall hydrocarbon column of 35 m in the Gamba formation. • This discovery could add ~5-6 mmbbl gross recoverable reserves (~1 mmbbl net to Panoro). • The Hibiscus South structure is a separate accumulation with a deeper oil-water contact than the nearby Hibiscus Field. • Importantly, a production well could now be drilled at Hibiscus South and tied to the MaBoMo facility, which would boost the overal...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. REST OF PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex near 2015 levels Italy and Spain stood out once more in a session with slight gains for the rest of European indices. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Telecoms led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Energy saw the worst perform...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex, cerca de niveles de 2015 Jornada de tímidos avances en las bolsas europeas, donde destacó en positivo la periferia (Italia y España). De...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK): Entering the Vaca Muerta

• GeoPark is acquiring 49.5 mmboe 2P reserves (>90% light oil), 118 mmboe 3C contingent resources and ~5 mmboe unconventional production across four blocks in the oil window of the Vaca Muerta in Argentina from a subsidiary of Mercuria. • The Vaca Muerta in Argentina is a hot spot for unconventional development and a strategic area for most supermajors and YPF. The formation is estimated to hold 16 bn bbl of oil and 300 tcf of natural gas and produces >350 mbbl/d (x4 since 2019). • The asset pa...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Panoro Energy (Buy, TP: NOK41.00) - Positive prospects

At its Q1 trading update, Panoro Energy reported net production of 9.6kboed, in line with our 9.5kboed forecast. We estimate EBITDA of USD42m (Bloomberg consensus at USD41m) ahead of the Q1 results (due at c07:00 CET on 23 May). We view the recent discovery at Hibiscus South as accretive to our NAV by ~NOK1/share, illustrating the strong prospectivity and commerciality at the Dussafu licence. We reiterate our BUY and NOK41 target price.

 PRESS RELEASE

GeoPark Announces Acquisition of Working Interest in Four High Quality...

BOGOTA, Colombia--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent Latin American oil and gas explorer, operator, and consolidator, today announced that it has signed an Asset Purchase Agreement with Phoenix Global Resources (“PGR”), a subsidiary of Mercuria Energy Trading (“Mercuria”), for the acquisition of non-operated working interest (WI) in four adjacent unconventional blocks in the Neuquén Basin in Argentina as follows: a 45% WI in each of the Mata Mora Norte producing block and Mata Mora Sur exploration block, located in Neuquén Provinc...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

US shale: limited growth expected

Our Q1 survey of the US shale universe showed limited revisions to guidance for 2024, and we still expect muted 2024 production growth of ~4% YOY (+8% YOY in 2023). The companies now expect fewer tailwinds from cost deflation, primarily due to operational efficiencies. Our survey also suggested capex down ~2% YOY, as companies guide for flat activity. For Q1, our universe spent 102% of its operating cash flow, split c50/50 capex and shareholder distributions.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 13 May 2024

13th May 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: Shanta Gold (SHG.L) has left AIM. What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: 7th May: Time To ACT plc, an engineering business focused on technology for the energy transition sector, has announced its intention to seek Admission to t...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

Key takeaways from this week are: 1) BlueNord’s Q1 figures were in line with our estimates, and due to technical issues, the Tyra plateau ramp-up was prolonged to mid-Q4 (2024 production guidance reduced from >40kboed to ~35kboed); 2) DNO’s Q1 report showed net production slightly above consensus, and it announced it has acquired stakes in five fields in the Norne area from Vår Energi, adding ~3kboed of net production near-term; and 3) Panoro Energy’s Q1 trading update showed net production of 9...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d. The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement. As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 m...

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