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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Anticipating the memory supply-demand balance of 2026, on a single sli...

In our Micron initiation in 2022, we introduced a unique framework to track memory supply and demand, based on COGS and PPE. In today’s one-slider, we update our view on memory supply-demand balance for 2026.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Where is the cost of HBM going ? A perspective on a single slide

We publish today a single slide on how we expect the cost and price of HBM to evolve in the next few years. Link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Samsung & Hynix 4Q25: Implications for memory & Micron

Samsung and Hynix reported this week. Please see the link for our take on the read-through for Micron and the broader memory market

SK Hynix Inc: 1 director

A director at SK Hynix Inc sold 500 shares at 688,000.000KRW and the significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: 2026 capex expectations up another 1...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. We will publish sections on Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Foundry later this week. Hyperscale revenues grew 16% YoY, with cloud services up nearly 30%. Capacity constra...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Memory: Thesis played out. Secular growth to meet multipl...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. HBM demand grows alongside a recovery in c...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

2026 AI Infra. outlook forming: XPU spending catching up with capex, u...

It has been a busy week with Nvidia’s comments in Washington and three hyperscalers reporting last night. Building on these updates, we have already formed a very insightful perspective on how AI infrastructure deployments are shaping up for next year. Please follow the link for our insight summarized on a single slide.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: 2026 capex expectations up 19%, $3-4t...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and Foundry. Hyperscale capex grew 70% YoY. Most raised 2025 guides, and confirmed sustained spending in 2026, lifting expectations....

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, Part II – The General Theory. Could Jensen ju...

In a very timely manner, as Jensen just touted a $3-4tn Tech. Infra. market for 2030, we publish the second part of our “Great Replatforming” series, in which we look at how much AI investments the global economy can absorb over time. In the first part of the series, we showed how increasing capex should be analyzed as enablers of revenue growth and productivity improvements, and applied the framework to hyperscalers, showing how pushing capex intensity to new highs is easily financed by contin...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Memory: margins of conventional DRAM to expand as HBM gro...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. DRAM COGS up 25% YoY and 21% QoQ, driven by seasonality,...

Rolf Bulk
  • Rolf Bulk

Hynix 2Q25: Pressure on HBM pricing and margins still far from being a...

SK Hynix reported 2Q25 yesterday. Please see attached for our one-slide take on the print and its implications for the broader industry.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Memory: China XPU ban lifted. Samsung most exposed. All benefit

Nvidia announced it can resume shipping XPUs to China. We’ve prepared a one-slider summarising the implications for memory vendors.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, part I – the Special Theory

Capex ROI is the trending question these days, but what does it actually mean? In a “replatforming”, capex are enablers of revenue growth and productivity enhancements, as long as they are the foundation for a good “right to make money” (a defensible competitive advantage) and meet good demand. Our “Special Replatforming Theory” looks at how it has been at play for a decade already at hyperscalers, and how we expect the next 10 years to play out, with AI bringing an even more capital-intensive...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Growth in Public Cloud: Where from? What’s next?

Growth in Public Cloud reaccelerated, in line with our expectations, and, if anything, even stronger than we thought, and shifting fast, with AI representing an increasing share of public cloud growth, and with the fast-growing crowd of native AI start-ups becoming a meaningful segment. We gathered all the initial datapoints at hand and looked at all angles we could, to provide a first perspective of how public cloud is growing today and where it is headed next.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Memory: all set for the upcoming HBM run.

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 9% YoY but was down 15% QoQ, along usual seasonality and with China curbs hurting Samsung’s HBM. The outlook remains strong, with all manufacturers expecting HBM revenues to more than d...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: Inference inflecting, more hints on 2...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Telecom Infrastructure, Memory, Enterprise IT, and PCs. Hyperscale revenues grew 11% YoY, with cloud services stabilizing in the mid-20%, and acce...

Rolf Bulk
  • Rolf Bulk

Hynix 1Q25 – sneak peak into the upcoming HBM run

SK Hynix reported 1Q25 this morning. Please see the attached slide for our take on the print.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Amid the Gloom, NAND Prices are Risin...

Tag: Kioxia (285A JT), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Hynix (000660 KS), Apple (AAPL US) With global markets plummeting, Pelham Smithers flags some good news. NAND prices are rising so should be a positive for Kioxia.

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