reports
- Rolf Bulk
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Technology: Semiconductor Industry 2025 Outlook
Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6501 HITACHI LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7105 MITSUBISHI NICHIYU FORKLIFT
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
AIR AIR PARTNER PLC
5930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
00981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
6600 JT KIOXIA HOLDINGS (6600 JT)
ASO ACADEMY SPORTS AND OUTDOORS
CRSR CORSAIR GAMING
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
688728 GALAXYCORE INC
688234 SICC CO LTD
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
6526 JT SOCIONEXT (6526 JT)
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ACCL DOLOMITE HOLDINGS LTD
- Pelham Smithers
- Pierre FerraguÊ
SK Hynix Inc: 1 director
A director at SK Hynix Inc sold 200 shares at 190,000.000KRW and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Micron and the AI Bubble
Micron’s FY24 results are a reminder that the chip industry is still doing well. Pelham Smithers considers what is reflected in the shares price of the wafer fab equipment makers and highlights two Japanese plays that offer undemanding valuations.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
6146 DISCO CORPORATION
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
000660 LASERTEC CORP.
6920 ULVAC INC.
6728 ADVANTEST CORP.
6857 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
8035 ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AMD APPLE INC.
AAPL 1LIFE HEALTHCARE
ONEM WOLFSPEED INC
WOLF 123FAHRSCHULE SE
123F SK HYNIX INC
660 SK HYNIX
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 2Q24 – Memory: COGS up, inventories down, gross margins up. Cycl...
Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 24th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Industry gross m...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 4Q23 – Memory: manufacturer inventories are the last piece of th...
Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 22nd Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 130 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. The recovery is...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Consensus gets something wrong about memory. Expect major beats in the...
With AI cluster deployments, we have showed overall datacenter spending will be very strong in the next 5 years, and drivers of increase in memory intensity are, if anything, getting stronger. In that context, we expect memory COGS, which is the only metric reflecting the actual deployment of memory content, to grow ~20% p.a. in coming years. Our analysis this frontally conflicts with consensus expectations, and we anticipate significant and steady revisions of expectations and record valuatio...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 2Q23 – Memory: bottom confirmed, but recovery will take time.
Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 20th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 130 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Smartphones, Automotive, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Mem...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos: The Global Electric Vehicle Market 2023
The transition to electrification remains the key focus for the auto industry, with EV sales performances by market and automaker being closely watched by investors. In 2022, China solidified its position as the global EV stronghold, a success that is encouraging its automakers to expand globally. Despite supply disruptions and concerns over falling subsidies and rising prices, the outlook for the EV market remains positive. In this in-depth report, analyst Julie Boote reviews major developments...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
SIX2 SIXT SE
051910 LG CHEM LTD.
000270 KIA MOTORS CORPORATION
096770 SK INNOVATION CO. LTD
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
601633 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS A
7270 SUBARU CORP
5380 HYUNDAI MOTOR CO
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BNP BMW
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
0953660D MERCEDES-BENZ AG
REP RENAULT SA
XPEV XPENG INC. ADR SPONSORED CLASS A
NIO NIO INC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semi cycle health check: Deep memory pullback overlooked; steep recove...
As we enter earnings season, we wanted to give our readers the latest snapshot of our views on where we stand in the semi-cycle, by segment. We publish the fifth note of the series, on memory. Our latest datapoints & thoughts summarized on a single slide
- Pierre FerraguÊ
WDC special situation: What you need to know ahead of the CMD
We are “NAND believers”. The segment returns are still much lower than in DRAM, but we see that as the consequence of continued fast declines in manufacturing cost, and not eternal. In 5+ years from now, we see NAND as profitable as DRAM, and therefore has a lot of hidden value. In that context, we have written a lot about consolidation opportunities in NAND, and we are thrilled to see things moving forward at WDC. Ahead of tomorrow’s CMD, we publish a comprehensive review of where NAND stands ...
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