HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Titan: three deals cemented, more to come (stays BUY) • Eurocash: wins court battle with antimonopoly watchdog POSITIVE • PKO BP: 4Q25E preview (due on 12 March) • Mo-BRUK: 4Q25E – 21% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 23 April) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Hidroelectrica: shareholders’ approval for key strategic projects • DIGI Communications: hires Linklaters and Uría Menéndez for legal work in its Spanish IPO NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – consultations under way to reclassify...
HEADLINES: • Shopper Park Plus: shopping for yield (HOLD – initiation of coverage) • Asseco Poland: incentive scheme for CEO announced NEUTRAL • PL telecoms: UKE approves the deregulation of Orange on the BSA and LLU markets NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: completion of the Hungarian acquisition NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: enters 40/60 JV with Tsakos for large hybrid RES project in Greece NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bp cut • Alior Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 24 February)
Press reports are suggesting that a Tef-Zegona deal in Spain is progressing. We wrote about that HERE. A deal will be tricky for a variety of reasons, but if Digi is a willing remedy taker and if Telefonica/ Zegona are willing to give very substantial remedies (which is a big if), then the deal might receive regulatory approval we think.
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
Three Directors at Asseco Poland S.A. bought/sold 2,822,012 shares at 85.000PLN. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, with inflation back at target • Wirtualna Polska: sells Invia Flights Germany at EUR 42.3m EV, 9.0x 2024 EV/EBITDA POSITIVE • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • Allegro • Asseco Poland • Benefit Systems • Budimex • CCC • Kety • PGE • Tauron • Primoco UAV • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A. • MedLife • Mavi • Georgia Capital • GEVORKYAN • Krka • Medicover
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 3Q25 review – net profit up 28% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 12% yoy POSITIVE • PCF Group: 3Q25 results review – quarter harmed by PLN 92m write-off • 4iG: 3Q25 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Theon International: EUR 150m rights issue kicks off POSITIVE • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish ISE 30 in the red in November
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Develia: lighten the load, lift the pace (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PGE: 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: 3Q25 weak; 2025E guidance lowered; downside risk for our 2025E estimates NEGATIVE • Premier Energy: 3Q25 in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • OPAP: 3Q25 results in line; EBITDA flat yoy, at EUR 214m, on to...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
Last week (13 November) Aquila Part Prod Com (Aquila) reported its 3Q25 results, with a net profit of just RON 4.4m and EBITDA of RON 39.5m (-15% yoy), or an EBITDA margin of 4.4% (161bp below the 3Q24 level and 141bp below 1H25). This was a negative surprise as, in August, the company had guided for an EBITDA margin >6% in 2H25E. During the earnings conference call on 14 November, management noted that the 3Q25 gross margin came under pressure due to price adjustments, especially in the Traditi...
Digi Communications has released its Q3/25 numbers and held an earnings call. Revenues and EBITDA grew 14.4% and 6.1% y-o-y, respectively, while the margin narrowed to 33.5% from 36.1%. The improvement was driven by RGU additions. ARPU fell across the board, except in Romania. Cash generation remained weak, driven by a draw on working capital. Capex and lease payments increased, resulting in negative FCF. Net leverage was up sequentially at 3.2x.
DIGI has reported its Q3 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained strong, supported by the continued customer base expansion on key markets, the Portugal segment and higher financial expenses weigh on net profit which almost halved compared to last year.
HEADLINES: • MOL: much to admire, despite the fire (stays BUY) • PGE: decent 3Q25 results - recurring EBITDA at PLN 2.95bn (+6% vs. our expectations), but weak net income NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 3Q25 adjusted EBIT up 42% yoy, 15% above our forecast; FY25E cards addition target exceeded by November, FY26 plan of 260k+ new cards POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy and 5% below our estimate NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 3Q25 soft, but better than we expected NEUTRA...
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