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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

Alfen A growth company that doesn't grow

In this note we adjust our estimates as Alfen's 1Q25 results have once again fallen short of expectations. The outlook for the smart grid solutions segment, which was anticipated to be robust, disappointed. Despite investment plans highlighting labour shortages, the impact has been more severe than anticipated. Additionally, gross profit margins dynamics in the smart grid segment are well below our expectations. In the EV charging segment, public demand was low, while increased competition in th...

Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Less appealing than we thought/HOLD (previously Buy)

Alfen has lowered both its FY25 revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance. We cut our FY25F EBITDA estimate by 39%. Our old forecasts aimed at the mid-point of the former revenue guidance and we now aim at the low end of the new revenue guidance. With regards to the adjusted EBITDA margin guidance we aim below the low end of the new guidance as the gross margin mix works against Alfen. We change our recommendation from Buy to HOLD. The two ingredients for our prior bullish view were: (1) Posit...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Dead cat bounce? Ayvens: Overhang cure. Belgian telcos: Hey! discontinues €5 offer, OBEL price increases from June 2025. B&S Group: Pulls FY EBITDA guidance in light of tariffs. D'Ieteren: CMD, 1Q25 Preview. Kendrion: Wrestling through difficult macro conditions. NN Group, ASR: Vote on Dutch pension reforms postponed. TKH Group: Not that bad, good progress at Eemshaven. UCB: US Most Favoured Nation initiative back on the agenda. Vastned: Good results, integration ongoing...

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: slow Q1 as expected, FY25 guidance cut

Alfen published Q1 2025 figures yesterday. Revenue came in at EUR103.8m (-23% QoQ vs. EUR134.5m in Q4 2024, -11% YoY vs. EUR116.8m in Q1 2024) mainly due to challenging dynamics in EV charging and Energy Storage. This compares with FY25 revenue consensus standing at EUR483m. Q1 numbers were impacte

Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ENX FP, GLPG NA, HYL BB, SOLB BB, TWEKA NA, EKOP BB, A...

: ENX FP, GLPG NA, HYL BB, SOLB BB, TWEKA NA, EKOP BB, ALFEN NA

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
Christian Arnold ... (+2)
  • Christian Arnold
  • Delphine Brault

Geberit AG : Strong product innovation pipeline offers above-average g...

Geberit has outperformed the underlying European construction market every year bar three since it became a listed company in 1999. One of the main reasons for this is its strong innovation power. Given the (successful) launch of various blockbuster products in the recent past and in 2025, we have raised our 2025/2026 EPS estimates by +2%/+4%. Moreover, improving sentiment in its leading market, Germany, and the potential for lower interest rates has prompted us to adopt a bull case valuation ap...

Geberit AG: 1 director

A director at Geberit AG sold 900 shares at 595.000CHF and the significance rating of the trade was 93/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

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