Three Directors at Echo Investment S.A. sold/bought 29,961,336 shares at 4.620PLN. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 2Q25 small beat vs. our ambitious expectations; 22% yoy sales growth in 3Q-to-date; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: disappointing 2Q25 results; strong cash flow, driven by prepayments, should support the 3Q25E results NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 results review - adj. EBITDA -84% yoy, below our estimates; order intake growth rose to 69% yoy NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 2Q25 higher than expected, but a lower backlog, with only CZK 0.5bn in new contracts d...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
We have downgraded Mo-BRUK (MBR) to HOLD (from Buy), having reduced our 12-month price target (PT) to PLN 321 (vs. PLN 393 previously), which offers a limited 11% potential upside. We have cut our 2025-27E adjusted EBITDA forecasts by 13-16%, on the back of our lower profitability assumptions, given the higher cost pressure than assumed previously (mostly external services and salaries), as well as weaker revenue in the solidification and stabilisation segment. While we expect 2H25E to be visibl...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: 1Q25 results spot on our expectations; lower bound of FY25E guidance increased POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group: 2Q25 results – slightly below the consensus; no changes in FY25E guidance • Mavi: 2Q25 results miss expectations; 2025E guidance lowered NEGATIVE • Echo Investment: 2Q25 – sales could unlock net cash equivalent to one-third of market cap • Auto Partner: 2Q25 EBITDA broadly in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 2Q25 – yield compressio...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: value is (sometimes) relative (stays BUY) • Kazakhstan macro: State of the Nation Address sets grounds for new constitutional reform and ambitious digitalisation agenda • PGE: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • Aselsan: massive domestic contract win POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: wins multi-billion CZK tender for new generators at Temelin POSITIVE • MOL: announces discovery of an oil fie...
HEADLINES: • Sarantis: 1H25 in line with expectations; profit guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25 earnings beat on one-offs; broadly in line on an underlying basis POSITIVE • Footshop: 2Q25 broadly in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • PGE: 2Q25 results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Enea: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: August sales growth decelerates to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: announces early redemption of USD 100m ...
HEADLINES: • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1H25 EBITDA -6% yoy, hit by one-offs NEUTRAL • Enea: full 2Q25 results in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • CCC: CEO finds back-to-school sales strong, maintains FY25E guidance, considering buyback POSITIVE • Tofas: details of new LCV model (K9) announced POSITIVE • Sarantis: 1H25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due out today, after the close) NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25E results preview (due out tomorrow) • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25E results preview – 76...
HEADLINES: • PGE: decent 2Q25 recurring EBITDA, 8% above our expectations; strong cash generation POSITIVE • CEZ: ANO deputy chair puts cost of CEZ nationalisation at CZK 250bn POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 September) • Greece macro: 2Q GDP – first impressions • VIGO Photonics: signs letters of intent with PCO and CRW Telesystem-Mesko POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth forecast (due on 11 September) • Short News (CDR)
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 2Q25 below expectations, due to weak France NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 2Q25 results slightly above expectations, but down qoq NEUTRAL • Eurowag: 2Q25 results – beat on the top line, EBITDA a small miss NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO’s campaign platform calling for 100% nationalisation NEUTRAL • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • Jumbo: sales growth momentum intact in August, +8% in 8M25; tightens grip on opex POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL ...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
Duna House posted record quarterly results in the second quarter as well. The Italian and Polish intermediary segment continued to post strong results while the Hungarian market somewhat slowed down in Q2. Given the improving performance in all three countries, the management reiterated its full year guidance of cleaned core net profit of HUF 2.9- 3.6bn.
Duna House's (DH) 2Q25 was the company's strongest quarter on record, with EBITDA of EUR 4.5m, up 37% yoy. Management has reiterated its guidance for EBITDA of EUR 15-18m and net profit from the core operations of EUR 7-9m. The company is benefiting from a rebound in mortgage and real estate transaction volumes across all its three key markets. In Italy and Poland, the rebound is being spurred mostly by the gradual decline in funding costs; while, in Hungary, volumes seem to be also getting a bo...
HEADLINES: • Duna House: strong 2Q25, guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 adjusted EBIT up 17% yoy, marginally above our forecast NEUTRAL • Orlen: partner makes significant oil discovery in Norway POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: may pay out PLN 449m of 2019 net profit as a dividend NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (18-24 August) • Gentoo Media: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow)
HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...
We see this news as outright negative, which could halt the robust share price performance of the Polish banks, for some time at least. One aspect is the direct financial impact of the proposed tax regime change for the sector, and another is that such a change could reduce trust in the stability of the operating backdrop of banking (and other sectors, potentially) in Poland. This could result in international investors applying a higher market risk premium to the Polish market, going forward, i...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
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