reports
- Gabor Bukta
Q4 fully in-line, ’25 guidance is a big surprise
OTP’s reported net income came to HUF 250bn in Q4, which was fully in line both with our and consensus estimate. OTP may propose a DPS of HUF 964, which broadly matches our forecast of HUF 962, while the management intends to continue the SBB program. More importantly, 2025 guidance will surprise the market to the upside, and we expect a net profit of HUF 1,167bn. As a result, we raise our Dec-25 TP by 7% to HUF 30,175, implying a 22% upside including the dividends.
- Emira Sagaama
- Margaux van Oerle
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
IPS IPSOS
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
GET GETLINK SE
RNO RENAULT SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
LSS LECTRA SA
HAL HAL TRUST
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
WPP WPP PLC
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
KGX KION GROUP AG
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
MELE MELEXIS NV
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
RACE FERRARI NV
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
REY REPLY S.P.A.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
NA9 NAGARRO
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
EXENS EXOSENS
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Anthony Dick
- Emira Sagaama
- Margaux van Oerle
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
GET GETLINK SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ORA ORANGE SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
HAL HAL TRUST
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
KGX KION GROUP AG
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
RACE FERRARI NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; KLKIM TI; PCO PW; TL Macro; PCF PW; GPP PW; ETE GA...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 4Q24 results in line with expectations; guiding cautiously for 2025E operating performance, and HUF 964 DPS in play NEUTRAL • Kalekim: strong 4Q24 IAS 29 results POSITIVE • Pepco Group: key takeaways from the Capital Markets Day NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT cuts again by 250bps • PCF Group: decides to phase out VR games publishing business NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: acquires 65.5% stake in Kadromierz for PLN 20m NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: dismisses speculation over an...
- Jovan Sikimic
- Can Yurtcan
WOOD Flash – Kalekim: strong 4Q24 IAS 29 results
Kalekim announced its 4Q24 IAS 29 results on 5 March, reporting net earnings of TRY 340m in its inflation-adjusted (IAS 29) income statement. Despite the challenging conditions, the company delivered a good set of operating results, with higher revenues and improving margins in 4Q24.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KLKIM TI; MGROS TI; PGE PW; PCO PW; TLV RO; EU Oil...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: good opportunity to act (upgraded to BUY) • Kalekim: strong results in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Migros: a good set of operating results for 4Q24 POSITIVE • PGE: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 11% above our forecast and 27% above the consensus POSITIVE • Pepco Group: strategy update ahead of Capital Markets Day – focus on Pepco banner and CEE region; EUR 200m buyback in 2025-27E; Poundland dragging on FY25E EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 2025E guidance analy...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland outperforms; Türkiye declin...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; ETE GA; PBK RO; 4IG HB; SFG RO;...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (24 February-2 March) • National Bank of Greece: 4Q24 results and 2025-27E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Patria Bank: 4Q24 bottom-line miss due mostly to lower non-interest income NEGATIVE • 4iG: 4Q24 results review – 22% yoy reported EBITDA increase, in line with our estimate; bottom-line miss, on D&A hike NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 4Q24 soft, as expected; webcast takeaways NEGATIVE • Duna House: 4Q24 – FY results in line, lower DPS, but possible u...
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
4IG 4IG NYRT
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PEO PW; SAB1L LH; BRISA TI; CTPNV NA; HTO GA; MTELEKOM HB;...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: solid 4Q24 results; PLN 12.6 DPS in line with our expectations; market awaiting strategy update and answers to Alior Bank purchase POSITIVE • Siauliu Bankas: 4Q24 bottom-line beat; guidance upgrade means short-term pain, but long-term prospects NEGATIVE • Brisa: 4Q24 net profit beats on low tax rate POSITIVE • CTP: 4Q24 results – ends the year at the bottom of its FFO guidance NEUTRAL • OTE: 4Q24 results review – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, in line with expectations; ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; ASELS TI; MTELEKOM HB; NRP NA; BGEO LN; BDX PW; H...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: strong momentum (stays BUY) • Aselsan: strong 4Q24 results and upbeat FY25E outlook POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 4Q24E results review – EBITDA +17% yoy, in line with the consensus; solid 2025E guidance and dividend recommendation POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: prepares for separation of its passive mobile POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H24 – strong performance continues • Lion Finance Group PLC: 4Q24 results highlights POSITIVE • Budimex: 4Q24 prelims in line with the January guidance...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; TKNSA TI; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; MOL HB; EME S...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: Green Deal and grievances (downgraded to SELL) • Teknosa: weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 February) • MOL: 4Q results and 2025E guidance • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS March 2025 Semi-Annual Review • Bank of Cyprus: launch of share buyback programme • Benefit Systems: decides on PLN 1bn five-year bond issue NEUTRAL • 4iG: 4Q24E preview – 20% yoy reported EBITDA increase expected (due on 28 February) • Sphera Group: 12% yoy EBITDA de...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; GSPARK HB; MOL HB; NLBR SV; MYTIL GA; AKCNS TI; T...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: knocked out, beat down, black and blue (stays BUY) • Graphisoft Park: 4Q24 results, and another strong year • MOL: 4Q24 results below expectations, posts a net loss NEGATIVE • NLB Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, but equity story remains intact NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 2024 EBITDA +7%, to EUR 1.1bn, as expected NEUTRAL • Akcansa: proposed dividend almost in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 4Q24E preview (due on 24 February) NEUTRAL • Gr...
- Markus Remis
- Stephane Houri
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
EVN EVN AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
POS PORR AG
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LNZ LENZING AG
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
VIG VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP AG WIENER VERSICHERUNG GRUPPE
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
FACC FACC AG
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
AGR AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ANR ANSWEAR.COM
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: AIRA LI; G2M SS; BOCHGR GA; AKCNS TI; KRU PW; ARABIAND AB;...
HEADLINES: • Air Astana Group: market cap largely covered by net cash (upgraded to BUY) • Gentoo Media: 4Q24 financial results review, and key conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights • Akcansa: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference call • Kruk: 4Q24E cash EBITDA and net profit guidance NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: announces strategic alliance with Shelf Drilling POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q24E results preview – flat yoy EBITDA expected (due on 14 ...
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash – Bank of Cyprus: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlight...
Bank of Cyprus (BOCH) has reported EUR 108m in net income in 4Q24, 9% below our EUR 117m estimate for the quarter. The revenues were in line with our estimate and the NII also held up stronger than expected (7% higher than our estimate). The delta was due to the higher-than-expected provisions (EUR 20m higher). This includes a EUR 13m provision, which management has set aside for legacy litigation exposures. We understand that this provision is one-off in nature. The bank will return 50% of its ...
- Gabor Bukta
Model update – EPS surprise on the horizon for ‘25
TP is rolled over to Dec-25 and raised to 28,245 HUF/sh before 2024 earnings, scheduled for 7 March, implying a 18% TR upside potential incl. a DPS of HUF 960. This reflects that NII and NF&C growth may surprise to the upside in 2025. However, given the limited upside potential, we downgrade our recommendation to Accumulate from Buy. We assume that OTP will pay out 25% of 2024 profit this year, offering a DivY of 3.9% at Friday’s closing price. OTP is currently running its 3rd HUF 60bn SBB ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: starting 2025 on the right foot
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
SHO GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7203 SHOPER SA
ELM CO
OTP Bank Plc: 1 director
A director at OTP Bank Plc sold 5,000 shares at 24,450.000HUF and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; ELM AB; WIZZ LN; GE Macro; GARAN TI; KLKIM TI; PKN...
HEADLINES: • Text: AI revolution – a threat or an opportunity? (downgraded to HOLD) • Elm: new horizons (upgraded to BUY) • Wizz Air: 3Q FY25 – miss on lower revenue and higher CASKX NEGATIVE • Georgia macro: NBG decision and MoU in Abu Dhabi • Garanti Bank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Kalekim: exercises option to acquire a plant in Mugla POSITIVE • Orlen: to issue USD 1.25bn of 10-year bonds NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 4Q24E preview (due on 13 March) • Short News (CBF, CEZ)
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