Top Stories Company Update | Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/HOLD/Bt52.25/Target: Bt55.00) AOT is expected to post weak 1QFY26 earnings, with a net profit of Bt4.2b, down yoy but up qoq, mainly due to a sharp drop in concession revenue following the new KPD agreement, despite strong passenger and flight growth. Margins are set to decline yoy. The PSC hike has been halted and may be delayed to FY27. While the KPD overhang is resolved, valuation upside is limited. Downgrade to HOLD with a target pr...
Company Update | TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt2.04/Target: Bt2.06) We attended TTB’s 4Q25 analyst meeting and the tone was slightly negative. TTB will resume growing selected segments of its SME loan portfolio. The bank targets 2026 NIM of 3.0-3.1%, supported by high-yield loans and a shift in the deposit mix whereas credit cost is targeted at 130-135bp. The remaining tax benefit of Bt5.7b is to be realised within 2027. Maintain HOLD with a lower target price of Bt2.06.
Top Stories Sector Update | Banking Banks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt47.6b, down 9% yoy and 23% qoq, missing our expectation by 8% and the market's estimate by 7%. The key reason for the miss was a sharp drop in investment gains qoq. Moreover, investment gains will no longer support the bottom line from now on. Banks are looking to maintain a prudent approach to keeping asset quality resilient. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top pick is KTB. Company Update | COM7 (CO...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile 12 Chinese automakers set ambitious targets for 2026. Despite weak sales from 1-18 January, we maintain our PV sales forecast of 30.4m units (+3% yoy), driven by exports and EVs. Policy shifts in the EU and Canada are creating a more favourable environment for Chinese EV exports, supporting overseas growth. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL: Li Auto. Company Update | Longfor Group Holdings (960 HK/BUY/HK$...
Company Results | TMBThanachart (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt2.04/Target: Bt2.12) TTB posted 4Q25 net profit of Bt5.24b (+3% yoy, -1% qoq). The results beat our and consensus forecasts by 6% and 7% respectively. Loan portfolio contracted 3% yoy but expanded 0.6% qoq. The company set aside provisions of Bt3.63b, including a management overlay of Bt996m. Credit costs continued to decline 11bp qoq to 120bp. TTB still has a remaining tax benefit of Bt5.7b. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt2.12.
Greater China Company Update | Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$82.55/Target: HK$103.40) In 4Q25, the Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit decline. In contrast, Fila achieved mid-single-digit growth, accelerating from low single-digit growth in 3Q25, and all other brands continued to demonstrate robust growth at 35-40%. For 2026, management expects group-level operating margin to face pressure due to the need for sustained investment in both the Anta brand and F...
Top Stories Company Results | Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/SELL/Bt170.50/Target: Bt140.00) BBL posted a 4Q25 net profit of Bt7.76b, -25% yoy and -44% qoq. The results missed both our and consensus expectations by 27% due to a large reduction in investment gain and higher-than-expected opex. We expect no further material investment gains in the future. BBL attributed the jump in opex to the accrued expenses for consulting and numerous investment projects. Downgrade to SELL with a lower target price of B...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
Company Update | TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt2.04/Target: Bt2.04) We expect TTB to post 4Q25 net profit of Bt4.88b (-5% yoy, -8% qoq). Loan growth and NIM remain challenging and are expected to be muted and miss the company’s 2025 target. We foresee the company maintaining its focus on asset quality with higher provision. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt2.04.
Top Stories Company Update | TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt110.00/Target: Bt105.00) We expect TISCO to report a 4Q25 net profit of Bt1.6b, down 6% yoy and 7% qoq. We expect TISCO’s loan portfolio to be flat yoy and grow 1% qoq in 4Q25 due to the seasonal high loan demand during the festive season and the new year. We expect the loan portfolio to be flat in 2025, and expect credit costs to decline qoq in 4Q25. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt105.00. Company Update | TMBThanachart Bank ...
Greater China Sector Update | IT Hardware We see an acceleration in China’s AI development progress in 2026, with NVIDIA successfully obtaining the US government’s approval on H200 sales to China, which will provide a major boost to the Chinese the AI application users. We also believe that the shipment volume of domestic AI chips will receive minimal impact, with foreign chips acting as a “demand gap filler” while the establishment of a capable local supply chain remains the highest priorit...
Company Results | Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB/HOLD/Bt50.50/Target: Bt57.00) TCAP reported a 3Q25 net profit of Bt2.1b (+27% yoy, +1% qoq). The results beat our and market expectations by 29% and 27%, respectively. The company’s credit costs dropped significantly by 121bp yoy and 62bp qoq to come in at 122bp in 3Q25. The NPL ratio rose qoq, due to the loan portfolio shrinking. We maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt57.00.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Company Results | TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.86/Target: Bt2.04) TTB posted 3Q25 net profit of Bt5.3b (+1% yoy, +6% qoq). The results beat our and consensus forecasts by 9%. The remaining tax benefit is Bt6.9b. The CEO has expressed concern about hire-purchase loans, especially for new cars. TTB will roll out a share buyback programme early next year. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt2.04
Top Stories Company Results | Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt155.50/Target: Bt170.00) BBL posted a 3Q25 net profit of Bt13.8b, +11% yoy and +17% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 40% and 27%, respectively. The loan portfolio contracted 3.2% in 9M25. Meanwhile, an investment gain boosted bottom line, beating expectations in 3Q25. We should see the NPL reduction pattern continuing in 4Q25, in line with the guidance. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt170.00. Compan...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Property investment has declined since Jul 25 due to weak demand, LGFV financing controls, slow destocking and urban-redevelopment, and limited new loans. Sep 25 data showed a rebound in Tier 1 city home sales, led by Shanghai. Central government capital is needed. However, the existing policy stance points to a low possibility of direct injection by the central government. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with CR Land as our top pick. Indonesia Strategy | T...
TTB posted a 2Q25 net profit of Bt5.0b (-7% yoy, -2% qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus forecasts. TTB’s CEO stated that the bank prefers to protect the balance sheet and grow selectively amid a weakening economic outlook. The net impact from the “You Fight We Help” measure should be neutral to TTB. The bank may consider rolling over the remaining first-year budget of the share buyback programme to next year's budget instead. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt1.95.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt27.75/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Results in line; robust bottom line performance and strong asset quality affirm the company's fundamental resilience despite recent share price volatility. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 2Q25: Results in line; well-managed asset quality. Update PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/SELL/Bt22.50/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25 core earnings expected to remain a loss. Downgrade to SELL.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Operational update and 1H25 earnings preview for CR Land and COLI. Update Tiangong International (826 HK/NOT RATED/HK$2.10): Leading global provider of specialty steels benefitting from recovery. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ/BUY/Rp810/Target: Rp1,300): A blue ocean leader in integrated mobility and logistics. MALAYSIA Update PPB Group (PEP MK/BUY/RM9.63/Target: RM15.80): We expect 2Q25 results to come in flat qoq at RM340m-370m, given st...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
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