GREATER CHINA Strategy PBOC Turns On The Tap The PBOC announced a series of easing measures on Tuesday. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp5,275/Target: Rp5,800) About 70% of car and motorcycle sales to benefit from rate cut. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Results MyNews Holdings (MNHB MK/SELL/RM0.60/Target: RM0.52) 3QFY24: Results improved sequentially but disappointed consensus expectations. Valuations...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Results wrap-up for Hong Kong developers: Navigating the cycle. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,270/Target: Rp2,900) Fixed broadband ARPU might increase by 10% post-acquisition of ServeCo. MALAYSIA Sector Utilities A strong 2Q24 with companies coming in broadly within expe...
SCB reported 2Q24 net profit of Bt10.0b (-16% yoy, -11% qoq). The results are below our and market expectations by 11% and 6% respectively. NPL ratio declined qoq. However, credit costs spiked qoq. Management disclosed that the main exposure to one large corporation was a secured loan. Meanwhile, the bank has set aside provisions for unsecured loans. SCB guides for dividend payout to be maintained at 80%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt120.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt128.00/Target: Bt162.00) 2Q24: Results in line; healthy asset quality maintained. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt41.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q24: Negative surprise results; revises financial targets for 2024. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.10/Target: Bt20.50) 2Q24: Results exceed expectations; healthy asset quality. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt39.50/Target: Bt48.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Call Adding ASMPT, Innovent, Poly Property Services, TAL Education and Trip.com to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.95/Target: HK$4.76) 1Q24 preview: Expecting interim DPS to more than double. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jun 24 And 2Q24 Our picks are BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSM...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales drop wow due to high comparison base. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL and Tuopu. Top SELLs: Li Auto and XPeng. Results Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$58.15/Target: HK$85.00) 1Q24: Solid earnings beat; softer 2Q24; HK$16b share repurchase plan. Pinduoduo (PDD US/BUY/US$145.45/Target: US$200.00) 1Q24: Robust earnings beat; stro...
SCB reported 1Q24 net profit of Bt11.3b (+3% yoy, +3% qoq). The results were in line with market expectation. The NPL ratio increased as the earnings asset base shrank due to the loan-to-deposit optimisation strategy. However, absolute NPLs decreased qoq. SCB revealed that the migration issue at CardX has largely stabilised. Management guided that SCB will maintain a prudent approach to keep a decent asset quality. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt128.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt51.25/Target: Bt55.00) 1Q24: Surprising results; a significant qoq drop in provisioning. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt16.00/Target: Bt19.00) 1Q24: Positive results surprise, more positive on asset quality outlook. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of Bt19.00. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/HOLD/Bt42.75/Target: Bt48.00) 1Q24: Results in line with consensus estimate. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt103.00/Target: Bt128.00) ...
OVERWEIGHT on Indonesia banks as they offer the highest earnings growth in 2024/25 and benefit from the recent rally in commodity prices. We like Singapore banks for their attractive dividend yields. Our top BUYs are DBS (Target: S$43.25), CIMB (Target: RM7.33), SCB X (Target: Bt130) and BMRI (Target: Rp7,900). We also like OCBC (Target: S$18.15), RHB (Target: RM6.18) and BBNI (Target: Rp6,300) as attractive yield plays.
Interest rates have peaked and entered a downcycle. Indonesian banks are the biggest beneficiaries of lower interest rates and have the highest earnings growth in 2024 and 2025. Our top BUYs are OCBC (Target: S$16.85), CIMB (Target: RM6.65), SCB X (Target: Bt124) and BBNI (Target: Rp6,300). Yield plays, such as DBS (Target: S$41.65), RHB (Target: RM6.35), KTB (Target: Bt21.50) and BMRI (Target: Rp6,500), are attractive in an environment of lower bond yields.
SCB reported 3Q23 net profit of Bt9.7b (-6% yoy, -19% qoq). The results were in line with our expectations but below consensus’ by 9%. The key drag was softer non-II qoq with high credit cost. Management guided that NIM should peak in 4Q23. Although there is still a concern about high credit cost, we have already factored in our forecasts. Its share price has reflected this concern with a 12% decline in the last two months. We maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt124.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt129.00/Target: Bt145.00) 3Q23: Net profit exceeded expectations; upside gains limited by persistently high credit cost and low dividend payout. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt69.00) 3Q23: Weak results as expected; negatives should have been priced in. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt99.75/Target: Bt124.00) 3Q23: Results in line with our expectations but below consensus’. Update Supalai (SPALI TB/BUY/Bt19.00/Target: Bt26.00) Expe...
Growth in ASEAN is supported by FDI inflows, which are already above pre-pandemic levels. NIMs are expected to remain stable as central banks have completed their rate hike cycles but are maintaining interest rates at current elevated levels in the near term. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on Singapore and Indonesian banks. The formation of the new government is also positive for Thai banks. Our top BUYs are OCBC (Target: S$18.22), PBK (Target: RM5.10), SCB (Target: Bt130) and BBNI (Target: Rp11,200).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt129.00/Target: Bt145.00) 2Q23: Results in line, but weaker asset quality outlook ahead; downgrade to HOLD. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/BUY/Bt60.50/Target: Bt78.00) 2Q23: Results below our and consensus expectations. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt20.20/Target: Bt21.50) 2Q23: Results beat our forecasts with an improvement in asset quality. Krungthai Card Plc (KTC TB/HOLD/Bt46.00/Target: Bt51.00) 2Q23: Results below our forecasts but in...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Manufacturing PMI meets expectations, domestic demand improves. Strategy Fundamentals Of Property Sector Weakened; HMF Benefits Property Management Sector INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In Jun 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: May 23 loans growth improved; 2023 loans growth is still expected to moderate. Attractive valuation is offset by pedestrian growth. SINGAPORE Strategy ...
A director at SCB X Public Company Ltd sold 26,000 shares at 101.731THB and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
SCB reported a net profit of Bt11b (+10% yoy, +54% qoq) for 1Q23. The results exceeded our expectations by 9% due to stronger-than-expected non-II brought about by a gain from investment. Credit cost rose massively by 50bp due to additional provisioning for a specific corporate account. We are still optimistic and expect to see an impressive performance from SCB in 2H23. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt133.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt128.50/Target: Bt158.00) 1Q23: Earnings jumped qoq on a low base. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/BUY/Bt65.25/Target: Bt85.00) 1Q23: Strong performance. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt103.00/Target: Bt133.00) 1Q23: Results above our expectation amid extra provisioning. Update Supalai (SPALI TB/BUY/Bt22.70/Target: Bt28.30) 1Q23 results preview: Unexciting earnings at the beginning of the year, but will improve from 2Q23 onwards.
We expect SCB to post a 1Q23 net profit of around Bt10.0b (-1.2% yoy, +41.0% qoq). A solid qoq growth should be attributed to an improvement in cost-to-income ratio. We revised our 2023-25 earnings forecasts down due to unfavourable sentiment in the equity market, undermining investment income and wealth management fees. However, the negative earnings outlook should have been priced in, and the valuation is cheap. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt133.00.
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