Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Alpha Picks: Focusing On Laggards And Selective Catalysts Highlights Our Jan 26 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI on a price-weighted (+5.2%) and market cap-weighted (+5.9%) basis. IOI Properties Group (IOIPG) (+20.8%) and Lagenda Properties (+20.0%) led the gains while Pekat (-14.6%) and VSI (-13.4%) lagged. For Feb 26, we favour stocks with firmer domestic earnings visibility amid lingering external uncertainties and names with company-specific catalysts amid sector rotation. Feb 26...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Navigating Rising Costs Amid Elevated Orderbook Highlights 4Q25 results will remain robust on the back of elevated orderbook and healthy margins. Beyond that, we expect share price to trade sideways in 2Q26 given rising solar PV prices (11 cents/kwh vs 9 cents/kwh a year ago) and slowerthan- expected residential rooftop take up under the ATAP programme. In the longer run, positive regulatory outlook – under NeTR – will continue to drive sector performance. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. We prefer large ...
A director at Tenaga Nasional Berhad sold 19,300 shares at 13.680MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For A Risk-On Re-Acceleration Highlights We expect Malaysian equities to fire up for outperformance in 2026 after a muted and defensive-driven 2025, fuelled primarily by a confluence of pre- GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, easing geopolitical tensions and accommodative monetary policy backdrop should keep risk-asset sentiment buoyant while domestically, a firmer ringgit, and follow-through buying o...
Greater China Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December pic...
Energy Regulatory Insights; Residential Projects To Experience Slowdown In 1Q26 Highlights The year-end Energy Regulatory Insight 2025 (ERI 2025), organised by Energy Commission Malaysia (EC), featured dialogue sessions and insights into Malaysia’s evolving energy landscape and regulatory framework. Near-term focus including: a) an optimal tariff structure with the AFA, b) regasification plants to address depleting indigenous gas supply, and c) longer-term electricity market liberalisation. ...
Alpha Picks: Strong Close to 2025; Fired Up Into 2026 Highlights Our Dec 25 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI, delivering a 5.7% return vs the benchmark index’s +4.7%. Bermaz Auto (+25.7%), RHB Bank (+10.9%) and VS Industry (+7.8%) spearheaded the excess portfolio returns, outpacing the broad market’s beta-driven rally. For Jan 26, while we expect near-term equity market reaction to the latest USVenezuela tensions to remain largely muted, we continue to favour domestically-driven names, w...
Greater China Sector Update | IT Hardware We see an acceleration in China’s AI development progress in 2026, with NVIDIA successfully obtaining the US government’s approval on H200 sales to China, which will provide a major boost to the Chinese the AI application users. We also believe that the shipment volume of domestic AI chips will receive minimal impact, with foreign chips acting as a “demand gap filler” while the establishment of a capable local supply chain remains the highest priorit...
1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For Outperformance Highlights Malaysian equities are fired up for outperformance in 2026, fuelled primarily by pre-GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and a corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, we foresee cooling tensions over global trade and geopolitics (amid a doveish US monetary policy). We introduce our end-26 FBMKLCI target of 1,760. The index could potentially peak at the 1,800 level before the market turns risk-off towards year-end,...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...
Alpha Picks: Positioning For Catch-Up, Rotation And Window-Dressing Flows Highlights Nov 25 Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI, posting a return of -2.1% vs the benchmark index’s -0.3%. RHB Bank (+2.7%) and Lagenda (+1.6%) posted minor gains but were dragged by Alpha IVF (-9.1%) and VSI (-9.1%). For Dec 25, we position for a continued catch-up in market laggards, supported by window-dressing flows and sector rotation following the reporting season as earnings expectations reset. Dec 25...
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
3Q25 Results Wrap-up: Improvement In Market Breadth And Outlook Highlights The substantial improvements in market earnings breadth in the 3Q25 results season reinforce our view of improving corporate earnings momentum in 2026. Companies which topped dividend expectations were amply rewarded, eg TIME.com and CIMB. Strategy: Remain risk-on. Year-end window dressing could modestly propel the FBMKLCI to exceed our end-25 FBMKLCI target of 1,640. Top picks: Fraser & Neave Holdings, Hong Leong...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
9M25: In Line; Receives MOF Approval For 7B Income Tax Schedule For A Fair Amount To Be Offset Against Future Income Highlights TNB reported healthy 3Q25 normalised net profit of RM1,037m – a growth of 38% yoy and 4% qoq. 9M25 normalised net profit of RM3,234m makes up 74% of our projections, in line with expectations. TNB has received MOF’s approval for Investment Allowance under Schedule 7B. This clears an overhang on the stock as no future provision is expected. While not the whole RM10.6...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Carbon Tax: Utilities Players Projected To Face Earnings Pressure, Though Supportive Policy Measures Could Cushion The Impact Highlights Previously announced during the Budget 2026 tabling, the implementation of carbon tax will kick off in 2026, beginning with high-emission sectors such as steel, iron and energy. We expect the government to adopt a gradual approach (starting with modest tax levels) while refining the framework over time. This approach is primarily intended to encourage the e...
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