BESS: The Balancing Act For Malaysia’s RE Programme Highlights BESS adoption is expected to see robust growth, driven by regulatory mandates and solutions on maximum demand reduction among C&I consumers. Payback periods are expected to improve on the back of tax incentives/allowances and falling battery prices. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Sector top picks are Pekat and Malakoff.
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
A director at Tenaga Nasional Berhad sold 10,000 shares at 13.440MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
Budget 2025 Preview: Elevation, Empowerment And Reformation Highlights As the first budget under the 13MP (to be tabled on 10 October), Budget 2026 is expected to be market-neutral but expansionary, and to anchor on two key pillars – empowering Malaysia’s economy and elevating the rakyat’s wellbeing through structural reforms. While indirect tax measures alongside a more targeted subsidy framework could be introduced/reiterated, its pro-growth, pro-FDI and pro-ESG orientation that drives a n...
A Glimpse Of Hope Amid Trump Tariff Setback In a landmark decision, a US federal appeals court voted 7–4 to strike down most of President Trump’s global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), ruling that the administration lacked explicit congressional authority. The verdict delivers a heavy blow to the cornerstone of Trump’s trade policy and marks its second consecutive defeat in the closely watched case of V.O.S. Selections vs Trump. Trump blasted the ru...
CRESS Tariff Revision A Boon To Solar Players PETRA announced a 5 sen/kWh reduction (or 20%/11% for firm/non-firm output) on the system access charge for CRESS programme. This is positive for RE players but takeup for the wider customer segment (C&I) will depend on SAC escalation every three years. Following the announcement, we expect RE players to actively participate in CRESS adoption among data centre players, creating EPCC job opportunities for largescale solar farms (about 500MW). Maintain...
2Q25: Results Within Expectations; No Provision For Tax Dispute With IRB TNB reported a lacklustre 2Q25 normalised net profit of RM998m. Earnings were adversely affected by higher repair and maintenance, cyber-security spending and the absence of reinvestment tax allowance. 1H25 net profit of RM2.2b (-13% yoy) is within expectations. We note the absence of tax dispute provisioning in the quarter. Maintain BUY with a DCF-based target price of RM16.30.
GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$15.84/Target: HK$21.70) 1H25: Revenue slightly misses but operating profit beats; expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline for 2025. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$19.05/Target: HK$22.60) 1H25: In line; from earnings drag to guidance-driven re-rating; upgrade to BUY. ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$1.60/Target: US$3.40) 2Q25: Net loss widens; recovery expected in 2H25. Maintain...
Robust Orderbook Underpinned By Positive Regulatory Outlook We expect renewable energy players and offtaker Tenaga to benefit from Malaysia’s green policy. A total of 30 bidders have submitted tenders for grid-connected battery system known as MyBeST. This provides EPCC jobs up to RM1.2b. In addition, we expect total solar PV capacity to exceed 6.5GW over 2026-27 under LSS5+ and LSS6. This yields a staggering RM13b-16b of EPCC replenishment opportunities in the next three years. Maintain OVERWEI...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
A Glimpse Of Renewable Energy Potential In Australia A recent visit to a Sydney solar farm suggests ample opportunity to grow RE capacity as Australia embarks on aggressive targets (82% RE mix by 2030). Separately, we believe TNB’s 1H25 net profit may see a healthy growth of 5-8% yoy in the absence of tax provisions arising from the recent court ruling. Importantly, we continue to expect an interim DPS of at least 25 sen/share in 1H25 (1H24: 25 sen/share), which will signal robust underlying cas...
China’s Anti-Involution Policy May Be An Emerging Headwind In RE Sector The anti-involution policy may see solar module prices rising 12% to US$0.10/watt by Dec 25, causing the overall cost of a large-scale solar plant to potentially rise 20% and negatively impact project IRRs by 1-1.5%. EPCC contractors may face margin pressure as a result. However, this will be partly offset by an elevated orderbook in the next three years. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Pekat Group will likely demonstrate its ability t...
Winners/Losers Of China’s Anti-Involution Policy While still in early days, the recent momentum in China’s anti-involution policy/ movement to curb excessive domestic competition should create winners and losers among Bursa-listed companies. This policy, which should lead to more rational pricing within China’s ultra-competitive sectors, should benefit selected Malaysian companies which export to have associates or subsidiaries in China. Losers could include some China-dependent importers (eg so...
13MP: Elevation, Empowerment And Reformation 13MP aims to transform Malaysia into a high-tech, high value-added economy, anchored on balanced domestic development and deeper global integration that uplifts the Rakyat. While market response has remained subdued amid lingering macro uncertainties, we anticipate a market recovery in 2H25, driven by renewed risk-on sentiment following greater tariff clarity. A more favourable outcome could catalyse a rebound in selective, beaten-down export-oriented...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Rebound falters, weighed down by weaker construction and input cost pressures. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales pressured by anti-involution initiatives. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.26/Target: HK$12.00) ...
Additional RM840m Tax Notice From IRB For Year Of Assessment 2022 In a Bursa Malaysia announcement, Tenaga Nasional (Tenaga) said that it has received the notice of additional assessment from the Inland Revenue Board (IRB) amounting to RM840.13m for the Year of Assessment (YA) 2022. This comes after losing its RM1.25b tax assessment dispute in the Federal Court for YA 2018 earlier this month, as it wrongly claimed tax relief meant for manufacturers instead of utility companies, which is smaller.
Government Approves RM1.87b In FIT Renewable Energy Projects PETRA recently approved 48 renewable energy generation projects (180.8MW) under the FIT programme as part of its aggressive ramp-up to achieve its net zero target. These biogas, biomass and small hydropower plant projects will benefit RE players. The expected EPCC contract from this FIT 2.0 programme is valued at approximately RM1.87b, benefitting the likes of TNB Genco. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Tenaga, Malakoff and Pekat Group.
A Busy Season: New Gas-Fired Power Plants And New Regasification Plants Robust demand for electricity together with net-zero emission goals by the government suggest that gas-fired will be the primary base load fuel in the future. The government is looking to extend and build 6-8GW of gas-fired plants between 2025-29. Additionally, the government is inviting bids for RGTs by 2029/30. Key beneficiaries are Petronas Gas, Gas Malaysia and TNB. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: TNB, Malakoff and Pekat...
GREATER CHINA Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$80.55/Target: HK$110.00) Becoming a significant player in the weight management market in China. INDONESIA Sector Automobile Weak Jun 25 sales; BYD recently increased prices. Update XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,230/Target: Rp2,600) Focusing on long-term benefits of positive synergies from the merger, upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Sector...
Ride Out The Storm, Eye For The Turn Despite the US’ unexpectedly harsher tariff stance on Malaysia, the country remains a relative beneficiary of trade diversion and onshoring flows within ASEAN. We also see room for potential tariff negotiations that could mitigate longer-term downside risks. While we maintain a defensive bias with a focus on domestically-oriented beneficiaries, we advocate a gradual shift toward risk-on sentiment upon policy clarity, potential dislocation on the Western marke...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.