1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For Outperformance Highlights Malaysian equities are fired up for outperformance in 2026, fuelled primarily by pre-GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and a corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, we foresee cooling tensions over global trade and geopolitics (amid a doveish US monetary policy). We introduce our end-26 FBMKLCI target of 1,760. The index could potentially peak at the 1,800 level before the market turns risk-off towards year-end,...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...
Alpha Picks: Positioning For Catch-Up, Rotation And Window-Dressing Flows Highlights Nov 25 Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI, posting a return of -2.1% vs the benchmark index’s -0.3%. RHB Bank (+2.7%) and Lagenda (+1.6%) posted minor gains but were dragged by Alpha IVF (-9.1%) and VSI (-9.1%). For Dec 25, we position for a continued catch-up in market laggards, supported by window-dressing flows and sector rotation following the reporting season as earnings expectations reset. Dec 25...
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
3Q25 Results Wrap-up: Improvement In Market Breadth And Outlook Highlights The substantial improvements in market earnings breadth in the 3Q25 results season reinforce our view of improving corporate earnings momentum in 2026. Companies which topped dividend expectations were amply rewarded, eg TIME.com and CIMB. Strategy: Remain risk-on. Year-end window dressing could modestly propel the FBMKLCI to exceed our end-25 FBMKLCI target of 1,640. Top picks: Fraser & Neave Holdings, Hong Leong...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
9M25: In Line; Receives MOF Approval For 7B Income Tax Schedule For A Fair Amount To Be Offset Against Future Income Highlights TNB reported healthy 3Q25 normalised net profit of RM1,037m – a growth of 38% yoy and 4% qoq. 9M25 normalised net profit of RM3,234m makes up 74% of our projections, in line with expectations. TNB has received MOF’s approval for Investment Allowance under Schedule 7B. This clears an overhang on the stock as no future provision is expected. While not the whole RM10.6...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Carbon Tax: Utilities Players Projected To Face Earnings Pressure, Though Supportive Policy Measures Could Cushion The Impact Highlights Previously announced during the Budget 2026 tabling, the implementation of carbon tax will kick off in 2026, beginning with high-emission sectors such as steel, iron and energy. We expect the government to adopt a gradual approach (starting with modest tax levels) while refining the framework over time. This approach is primarily intended to encourage the e...
Alpha Picks: Upping The Ante On Laggards Highlights Our Oct 25 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI, posting a return of 3.8% vs the benchmark index’s -0.2%. Notable winners: Inari Amertron (+26.6%), Genting Malaysia (+11.0%) and PPB Group (+9.2%). For Nov 25, we position for a potential year-end uptrend by increasing exposure to market laggards, while keeping a defensive core to cushion against any mean reversion downturn in Western markets. Nov 25 Alpha Picks: Alpha IVF Group, Bursa Mala...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Tenaga To Spearhead Malaysia’s Cross-border Energy Transmission Expansion Highlights Tenaga is poised to benefit from the numerous projects under the ASEAN Power Grid initiative, including: a) the Malaysia-Singapore second power interconnection, and b) the Sarawak-Peninsular Malaysia interconnection project. Malaysia’s nuclear energy adoption is expected to be a boon to Tenaga should they be the frontrunners to pioneer Malaysia’s first nuclear power plant. Maintain BUY with a DCF-based tar...
Greater China Company Update | PICC P&C (2328 HK/BUY/HK$19.04/Target: HK$22.20) PICC P&C issued a positive profit alert, expecting its net profit to surge 40-60% in 9M25, attributed to a significant increase in underwriting profit and strong investment gains amid the stock market rally. We forecast continued CoR improvement in 4Q25, supported by the implementation of non-auto commission reforms effective from 1 Nov 25. We lift our 2025 earnings estimates by 8.9% to factor in the 3Q25 positiv...
Renewable Energy: UOB Kay Hian Green Economy Conference Wrap-Up Highlights Our recent Green Economy Conference featured distinguished industry leaders and experts, who provided valuable insights into Malaysia’s renewable energy landscape and outlook. As Malaysia strives to achieve its Net Zero target by 2050, industry players look to navigate and capitalise on the evolving regulatory landscape with the introduction of new regulations on carbon tax, renewable energy PPAs and adoption schemes,...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
Budget 2026: Grid Enhancement, Rural Off-Grid Infrastructure And LSS6 A Boon To Solar EPCC Players Highlights In the Budget 2026 tabling, the government reaffirmed the continuation of the flagship Large-Scale Solar (LSS) programme, with an estimated allocation of 2GW for the upcoming LSS6 programme. Additionally, the Solar ATAP is expected to garner adoptions of up to 500MW of installations among residential, commercial and industrial, and government facilities. Tenaga Nasional and Petronas ...
Budget 2026: The People’s Budget Highlights While the Fourth MADANI Budget, themed “The People’s Budget”, is broadly market-neutral as anticipated. Its expansionary stance anchored by tighter fiscal discipline provides a more resilient buffer against external uncertainties. Key highlights include marginally higher development expenditure, a stronger boost to high-value industries, continued cash assistance, Visit Malaysia Year 2026 handouts, higher sin taxes, the introduction of a carbon tax...
BESS: The Balancing Act For Malaysia’s RE Programme Highlights BESS adoption is expected to see robust growth, driven by regulatory mandates and solutions on maximum demand reduction among C&I consumers. Payback periods are expected to improve on the back of tax incentives/allowances and falling battery prices. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Sector top picks are Pekat and Malakoff.
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
A director at Tenaga Nasional Berhad sold 10,000 shares at 13.440MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
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