GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
A Glimpse Of Renewable Energy Potential In Australia A recent visit to a Sydney solar farm suggests ample opportunity to grow RE capacity as Australia embarks on aggressive targets (82% RE mix by 2030). Separately, we believe TNB’s 1H25 net profit may see a healthy growth of 5-8% yoy in the absence of tax provisions arising from the recent court ruling. Importantly, we continue to expect an interim DPS of at least 25 sen/share in 1H25 (1H24: 25 sen/share), which will signal robust underlying cas...
China’s Anti-Involution Policy May Be An Emerging Headwind In RE Sector The anti-involution policy may see solar module prices rising 12% to US$0.10/watt by Dec 25, causing the overall cost of a large-scale solar plant to potentially rise 20% and negatively impact project IRRs by 1-1.5%. EPCC contractors may face margin pressure as a result. However, this will be partly offset by an elevated orderbook in the next three years. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Pekat Group will likely demonstrate its ability t...
Winners/Losers Of China’s Anti-Involution Policy While still in early days, the recent momentum in China’s anti-involution policy/ movement to curb excessive domestic competition should create winners and losers among Bursa-listed companies. This policy, which should lead to more rational pricing within China’s ultra-competitive sectors, should benefit selected Malaysian companies which export to have associates or subsidiaries in China. Losers could include some China-dependent importers (eg so...
13MP: Elevation, Empowerment And Reformation 13MP aims to transform Malaysia into a high-tech, high value-added economy, anchored on balanced domestic development and deeper global integration that uplifts the Rakyat. While market response has remained subdued amid lingering macro uncertainties, we anticipate a market recovery in 2H25, driven by renewed risk-on sentiment following greater tariff clarity. A more favourable outcome could catalyse a rebound in selective, beaten-down export-oriented...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Rebound falters, weighed down by weaker construction and input cost pressures. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales pressured by anti-involution initiatives. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.26/Target: HK$12.00) ...
Additional RM840m Tax Notice From IRB For Year Of Assessment 2022 In a Bursa Malaysia announcement, Tenaga Nasional (Tenaga) said that it has received the notice of additional assessment from the Inland Revenue Board (IRB) amounting to RM840.13m for the Year of Assessment (YA) 2022. This comes after losing its RM1.25b tax assessment dispute in the Federal Court for YA 2018 earlier this month, as it wrongly claimed tax relief meant for manufacturers instead of utility companies, which is smaller.
Government Approves RM1.87b In FIT Renewable Energy Projects PETRA recently approved 48 renewable energy generation projects (180.8MW) under the FIT programme as part of its aggressive ramp-up to achieve its net zero target. These biogas, biomass and small hydropower plant projects will benefit RE players. The expected EPCC contract from this FIT 2.0 programme is valued at approximately RM1.87b, benefitting the likes of TNB Genco. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Tenaga, Malakoff and Pekat Group.
A Busy Season: New Gas-Fired Power Plants And New Regasification Plants Robust demand for electricity together with net-zero emission goals by the government suggest that gas-fired will be the primary base load fuel in the future. The government is looking to extend and build 6-8GW of gas-fired plants between 2025-29. Additionally, the government is inviting bids for RGTs by 2029/30. Key beneficiaries are Petronas Gas, Gas Malaysia and TNB. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: TNB, Malakoff and Pekat...
GREATER CHINA Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$80.55/Target: HK$110.00) Becoming a significant player in the weight management market in China. INDONESIA Sector Automobile Weak Jun 25 sales; BYD recently increased prices. Update XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,230/Target: Rp2,600) Focusing on long-term benefits of positive synergies from the merger, upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Sector...
Ride Out The Storm, Eye For The Turn Despite the US’ unexpectedly harsher tariff stance on Malaysia, the country remains a relative beneficiary of trade diversion and onshoring flows within ASEAN. We also see room for potential tariff negotiations that could mitigate longer-term downside risks. While we maintain a defensive bias with a focus on domestically-oriented beneficiaries, we advocate a gradual shift toward risk-on sentiment upon policy clarity, potential dislocation on the Western marke...
2H25 Strategy – Re-Charging For Outperformance While Malaysian equities predictably kicked off the year with caution, the FBMKLCI is still being re-charged by easing global risk aversion and robust domestic-driven liquidity. We anticipate the market will progressively adopt a risk-on mode as signals of pragmatic US trade accords have re-sparked business capex cycles and spending. Capitalise on the anticipated “summer lull” for western equities and the upcoming soft 2Q25 reporting season, to posi...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 6.9% yoy on last-minute buying before promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Mastersystem Infotama (MSTI IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,295) Prominent ICT player with strong fundamentals and undemanding valuation. MALAYSIA Strategy 2H25 Strategy - Re-Charging For Outperformance ...
Re-Charging For Outperformance Malaysian equities re-charging for outperformance. The FBMKLCI has partly reversed some of its 2024’s regional outperformance in 1H25 (having fallen 8.3% and 2.8% in local currency and US dollar terms respectively), as the US Trump administration’s overbearing and erratic US import tariff threats have driven up risk aversion in emerging countries. Meanwhile, the FBMKLCI is being re-energised for outperformance in 2H25 amid calmer global investment sentiments. The i...
A director at Tenaga Nasional Berhad sold 20,000 shares at 14.500MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
Court Rules In Favour of IRB, TNB is Liable To Pay RM1.25b - The Federal Court has ruled that the Court of Appeal was wrong to rule that TNB is in the business of manufacturing electricity when it should actually have been considered a utility company under Schedule 7B of the Income Tax Act 1967 (ITA). - Consequently, TNB is liable to pay IRB a total sum of RM1.25b. - Additionally, the court advised that TNB’s application for a reinvestment allowance (RA) in seeking tax relief under Schedule 7A ...
New Tariff Structure Promotes Efficiency In The Power Sector The new tariff structure will result in bill reductions for 70% of medium voltage users while the remaining customers will have an adverse impact due to inefficient use of the system. We expect Tenaga to benefit from monthly tariff setting and solar players to benefit from improving economics of CRESS. This is expected to be partly offset by a potential slowdown in residential rooftop demand (longer payback period under new tariff). Ma...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
Positive Regulatory Outlook And Defensive Earnings The electricity tariff is set to be decoupled from the government’s purview, with prices to be set on a monthly basis instead of twice a year. While this is neutral to Tenaga’s earnings, it is positive on a cash flow basis. In the longer run, this will pave the way for a higher dividend payout. We upgraded Tenaga to BUY with a higher DCF-based target price of RM16.30. Upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT as we seek defensive bets amid market volatil...
GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance Weighing the risks and returns. Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$65.15/Target: HK$100.00) Takeaways from 2025 Investor Day. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile ...
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