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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: 1Q24, new unexpected SBB, underlying OCG better, strong ratios across. Belgian telecoms: Digi to start with mobile. CFE: Preview - forecasting revenue numbers… D'Ieteren: Belron US peer Boyd 1Q24 below consensus, warns on 2Q24 growth. Econocom: Joins consortium formed by Onepoint and Butler Industries to acquire Atos. KBC: 1Q24 better across, special dividend, capital distribution pushed back to 1H25. Syensqo: 1Q24 a touch better, positive earnings momentum confirmed. Umicore:...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview - steady in difficult markets. ABN AMRO: 1Q24 overshadowed by weaker capital, even if a strong set. AEGON: 1Q24 Preview (trading update). Alfen: Preview - clarity on one-off Pacto costs crucial. B&S Group: Bolt-on acquisition in Personal Care. Belgian telcos: BIPT notes that fibre cooperation negotiations not ready by 15 May. EVS: 1Q24 preview. Euronext: Another record, with Beats by Boujnah. Montea: €12m acquisition in the Port of Ghent. Staffing: Dutch Perio...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Eurocommercial Properties: Westland acquisition stopped. Euronext: 1Q24 Preview. Proximus: Press reports possible interest for Syniverse, a carrier/CPaaS peer. Staffing: French staffing - further improvement in March, April outlook also better

Kris Kippers
  • Kris Kippers

Proximus - Rumours interest in Syniverse seems overdone

US telco services provider Syniverse is put up for sale and Proximus is rumoured to be looking at the file carrying a price tag of EUR 1.4-1.9bnAlthough we do see the potential synergies given Proximus' presence in such services with Telesign, BICS and Route Mobile, it seems too far fetchedIn the coming weeks, we expect positive newsflow from collaboration on fiber in Belgium and a mini-CMD on Route MobileAll in all, we stick to our BUY rating and DCF-derived TP of EUR 11.0 per share. Proxi...

Kris Kippers
  • Kris Kippers

Proximus - Fiber talks ongoing with both Telenet & OBEL

• Local press article stating that Proximus aims for a fiber deal with Wyre• With the May 15 deadline approaching, more should come in due course• Any reduction in fiber capex is positive for the investment case - BUY

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CTP: An excellent start to the year. Proximus: Completes acquisition of 83% stake in Route Mobile

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Kris Kippers
  • Kris Kippers

Proximus - Completion of the Route Mobile transaction

• Following regulatory clearing, Proximus announced the closing of the Route Mobile transaction• Post-reinvestment of Route Mobile shareholders, the net cash out for Proximus would be EUR 634m. A webcast will be organized on June 3• We stick to our BUY rating and EUR 11.0 TP, DCF-based

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: First sign of portfolio valuation stabilization. ArcelorMittal: Solid 1Q24 EBITDA beat, softer FCF reflects WC and CAPEX phasing. Belgian telcos: Peer Telenet 1Q24 results, still weak commercial performance. dsm-firmenich AG: Vita-still not-min. IBA: Contract to install a P1 system in Connecticut. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 1Q24 results confirm fixed losses, mobile weaker QoQ. Shell plc: Good start to the year

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Proximus/1Q24 postview, model update/HOLD

We fine tune our estimates post 1Q24, raising our EPS forecasts by 4.9% in 2024F, 1.2% in 2025F and 1.6% in 2026F. We maintain our HOLD rating and keep our target price at €7.5. We are 1% above the FY24 EBITDAal guidance.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Proximus (Neutral, TP: €10.0, +30%) Q1 24: Good domestic revenue and ...

Proximus has reported a good set of numbers, with domestic EBITDA +2.7% ahead of consensus, with domestic EBITDA growth of +4.7% y/y from +0.8% y/y in Q4 23. Guidance has not been lifted, which is unusual given the pace of growth and the scale of the growth, but the Digi launch later in the year provides uncertainty.

Konrad Zomer
  • Konrad Zomer

Proximus : Q1 results a 3% beat with FY guidance now conservative

>A clear consensus beat which makes the FY guidance look conservative - In Q1, Proximus reported domestic underlying revenue growth of 4.5% at €1,201m, some 2.4% higher than consensus. This includes 5.9% growth in Residential (customer service revenues +6.5% and convergent revenues +10.9%, both strong) and 3.1% growth in Business (IT services +7.8% and fixed voice -5.6%). Wholesale revenue growth was -4.9% in Q1, with the loss of low margin interconnect revenues (like...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/IBM, Cellnex, Proximus, Unibail and Gecina

Technology - IBM 1Q24 figures reasonable, but potential acquisition could worsen credit metrics

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: 1Q24 update in line, FY24 outlook in line with consensus at mid-point. bpost: Agreement on Flemish newspaper delivery; risk of provisions largely removed. Cofinimmo: Q1 results in line. Corbion: Tail wags the dog. IMCD: The last hurdle was a harsh clip. Proximus: Strong start to the year, guidance unchanged ahead of Digi arrival. Recticel: Kingspan 1Q24 trading update. Signify: 1Q24 results; revenue decline accelerates. Umicore: Confirms FY 2024 EBITDA guidance range. ...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : BFIT NA, BPOST BB, COFB BB, CRBN NA, MTLS US, PROX BB,...

: BFIT NA, BPOST BB, COFB BB, CRBN NA, MTLS US, PROX BB, UMI BB, XFAB FP, XIOR BB, IMCD NA

Kris Kippers
  • Kris Kippers

Proximus - Commercial momentum continues, EBITDA +5% - guidance reiter...

• In Q1, Proximus' commercial momentum continued driven by its Domestic business where both sales & EBITDA growth exceeded expectations. International was again weak on sales but strong on margins• Costs are more under control and capex is gradually coming down as guided, altering its FCF profile• We stick to our BUY rating and EUR 11.0 TP, DCF-based

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, ...

: ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, HOMI BB, KIN BB, VGP BB, WDP BB, XFAB FP, AZE BB, ONWD BB

Francesca Ferragina
  • Francesca Ferragina

WDP/Good 1Q, more investments would be welcome/BUY

1Q24 was good, with 11.8% growth in rental income and LFL at 3.5%. Occupancy was stable at 98.4%, with impressive 15% rental uplift on recent contracts and c.13% reversionary potential. The small positive €25.8m revaluation on the portfolio, after many quarters of write offs, is a positive sign. On multiples WDP trades at 19.2% premium to NTA and has underperformed peers recently (-12.4% YTD, vs peers' -7.8%). We would welcome an investment spending acceleration, considering the 9.1% yield seen ...

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