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Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

ACS: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.953 Bn (+17.0% vs. +15.5% BS(e) and +15.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 522.0 M (+6.3% vs. +11.3% BS(e) and +27.6% consensus); EBIT: € 272.0 M (-11.4% vs. -8.7% BS(e) and -0.4% consensus); Net Profit: € 189.0 M (-1.0% vs. -82.3% BS(e) and -16.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 29.702 Bn (+12.5% vs. +12.0% BS(e) and +11.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 1.679 Bn (+17.8% vs. +19.5% BS(e) and +25.2% consensus); EBIT: € 1.079 Bn (+11.0% vs. +11.9% BS(e) and +14.5% co...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

ACS: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 10.953 M euros (+17,0% vs +15,5% BS(e) y +15,2% consenso); EBITDA: 522,0 M euros (+6,3% vs +11,3% BS(e) y +27,6% consenso); EBIT: 272,0 M euros (-11,4% vs -8,7% BS(e) y -0,4% consenso); BDI: 189,0 M euros (-1,0% vs -82,3% BS(e) y -16,8% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 29.702 M euros (+12,5% vs +12,0% BS(e) y +11,9% consenso); EBITDA: 1.679 M euros (+17,8% vs +19,5% BS(e) y +25,2% consenso); EBIT: 1.079 M euros (+11,0% vs +11,9% BS(e) y +14,5% consen...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T'24. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 13 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, REAL ESTATE SECTOR, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Germany to hold elections in February The contagion from Asia, along with the increased geopolitical risk, dragged down European stock markets. In the STOXX 600, only Technology ended in gree...

Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez

ACS : In line results both on P&L and cash flow

>Good operating performance… - ACS’s Q3 2024 operating results were in line with our estimates: revenues 1% or € 155m above our estimates and EBITDA € 521m vs € 519m ODDO BHFe (i.e. 1% or € 3m above). More importantly, once excluding the Hochtief results already reported, Dragados, the main operating division outside Hochtief, posted EBITDA slightly ahead of our estimates. The beat, was the result of the strong margin reported in the division that more than offset the...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 12 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, MINOR HOTELS, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO, SECTOR SEGUROS. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los mercados se estabilizan En una jornada de pocos catalizadores las bolsas europeas rebotaron, compensand...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 12 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, INSURANCE SECTOR, MINOR HOTELS, REAL ESTATE SECTOR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Markets stabilise In a session with few drivers, European stock markets rallied, offsetting part of the drop from the previous week. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors in th...

Bankinter S.A.: 1 director

A director at Bankinter S.A. sold 13,500 shares at 7.640EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT hybrid yields trended lower/Move up in quality

In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have performed well. However, we now think the tightening potential over senior notes is more limited. One can move up in quality (or lower duration) without giving up much additional spread.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Telefonica (Neutral, €4.5, +7%) Q3 24 – Revenue, EBITDA and FCF beat

Telefonica’s Q3 results are solid, being marginally ahead of consensus across the board. In particular, strong KPIs in Spain and high organic growth in Brazil stands out, and with all guidance reiterated, we believe there could be some upside to consensus estimates.

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: MENSAJES DE LA CONFERENCE CALL RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

De la conference call de Rdos. 3T’24 destacamos los siguientes mensajes:  España: A pesar de un entorno de mayor competencia en el segmento de bajo costo,

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.023 Bn (-2.9% vs. -3.7% BS(e) and -3.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.946 Bn (-11.5% vs. -2.2% BS(e) and -3.2% consensus); EBIT: € 740.0 M (-30.0% vs. -9.3% BS(e) and -2.6% consensus); Net Profit: € 10.0 M (-98.0% vs. -50.2% BS(e) and -34.5% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 30.418 Bn (-0.3% vs. -0.6% BS(e) and -0.4% consensus); EBITDA: € 9.37 Bn (-2.3% vs. +0.9% BS(e) and +0.5% consensus); EBIT: € 2.803 Bn (-5.8% vs. +1.6% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus); Net...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/07/2024

Banco BPM reports strong Q3 results and launches a takeover bid on Anima. Coty: cautious tone after Q1 results. Call and tender offer on certain bonds maturing in 2026.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 07/11/2024

Banco BPM publie de solides résultats T3 et lance une offre sur Anima Coty : un ton prudent après les résultats T1. Rachat de certaines obligations 2026.>...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telefonica : Q3 2024: better group FCF growth on non-recurring items

>Q3 2024 results 1% with consensus - Q3 2024 revenues are down 3% y-o-y to € 10,023m, due to negative forex changes, and in line with consensus (consensus € 9,983m, ODDO BHF € 10,356m). Q3 2024 EBITDA was down 2.5% y-o-y to € 3,260m or 1% above consensus (consensus € 3,224m). EBITDAaL was down 3.4% at € 2,595m, also 1% above expectations (consensus € 2,564m, ODDO BHF € 2,683m).2024 targets are confirmed: revenue growth of 1%, EBITDA 1-2%A, FCF > 10%. The targets ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telefonica : Q3 2024: better group FCF growth on non-recurring items

>Q3 2024 results 1% with consensus - Q3 2024 revenues are down 3% y-o-y to € 10,023m, due to negative forex changes, and in line with consensus (consensus € 9,983m, ODDO BHF € 10,356m). Q3 2024 EBITDA was down 2.5% y-o-y to € 3,260m or 1% above consensus (consensus € 3,224m). EBITDAaL was down 3.4% at € 2,595m, also 1% above expectations (consensus € 2,564m, ODDO BHF € 2,683m).2024 targets are confirmed: revenue growth of 1%, EBITDA 1-2%A, FCF > 10%. The targets ...

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