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Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

IAG: NUEVAS OPCIONES DE M&A (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Nuevas opciones de M&A. Ajustamos P.O. hasta 3,00 euros/acc. SOBREPONDERAR Tras no salir adelante la compra de Air Europa (AE) en el corto plazo está TAP Portugal, a la que IAG ya ha guiñado el ojo. Creemos que tiene sentido estratégico principalmente por su posicionamiento en LatAm (cuota de mercado c. 7%; con menores solapamientos vs AE) y porque ahonda en la concentración del sector y además se generan sinergias (entre 250-600 M euros BS(e)). El éxito de la operación dependerá de las condicio...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. Stock markets rallied last week Stock markets ended with gains on both sides of the Atlantic last week, recovering part of the latest corrections and trying to return to the highs hit thanks to cyclical and growth sectors. The Ibex35 led gains last week, hitting new annual highs above 11,500 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 most sectors closed with gains, led by Technology and Retail, with Autos and Consumer Goods being the only sectors ending in negative terr...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. EUROPA: ENI. Semana de rebote en las bolsas Las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana pasada con avances a ambos lados del Atlántico, recuperando parte de las últimas caídas y buscando volver a su zona de máximos de la mano de los cíclicos y el growth. El Ibex 35 lideró las subidas de la semana, marcando nuevos máximos anuales por encima de los 11.500 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 mayoría de ganancias en los sectores, lideradas ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 13 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, CHANGES IBEX, IBERDROLA, OHLA. ECB follows the script Another session of gains in Europe that was largely unaffected by the ECB, which lowered rates as expected. The IBEX again led the advance, closing above 11,400 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 almost all sectors closed with gains, led by Basic Materials and Technology, with Utilities and Pharma being the worst performers with slight drops. On the macro side, the ECB lowered the deposit facility rate by -25bps and the margin...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, IBERDROLA, OHLA. EUROPA: VINCI. El BCE sigue su curso Nueva jornada de ganancias en Europa sin verse muy afectadas por un BCE que bajó los tipos como esperado. El Ibex lideró nuevamente los avances hasta cerrar al filo de los 11.400 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 casi todos los sectores cerraron con ganancias, lideradas por Recursos Básicos y Tecnología frente al peor comportamiento de Utilities y Farma que mostraron modestas caí...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 AUGUST (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS. Third week of gains for stock markets, with the Ibex exceeding the 11,200-point level Stock markets saw weekly gains >+1.00% after the good macroeconomic data and J. Powell’s speech suggesting that the Fed will initiate a gradual rate cut cycle in September to fuel the US job market. The Ibex was one of the best-performing indices, climbing +3.0%. In the STOXX 600, Retail, Real Estate and Autos led gains, whereas Energy and Technology were the only sectors ending in negative ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 AGOSTO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS. Tercera semana de alzas en las bolsas y el Ibex supera los 11.200 puntos Las bolsas festejaron con subidas semanales superiores al +1,0% los datos macro y las palabras de J. Powell dejando entrever que en septiembre la Fed empezará un ciclo gradual de bajadas de tipos para apuntalar el mercado laboral estadounidense. El Ibex fue uno de los mejores con avances del +3,0%. En el STOXX 600 lideraron las subidas los sectores de Retail, Inmobiliario...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 AUGUST (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACS. US macro data spurs markets on both sides of the Atlantic The session ended better than it began, with retail sales and weekly jobless claims in the US boosting gains on both sides of the Atlantic, with better performance from growth and cyclicals in Europe. In the STOXX 600, Technology and Banks led the gains, whereas Utilities was the only sector in the red, and Real Estate along with Telecoms rose the least. On the macro side, in the UK the 2Q’24 GDP data confirme...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 AGOSTO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACS. EUROPA: BAYER. La macro americana impulsa las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico Día de menos a más donde las ventas al por menor y el paro semanal en EE.UU. impulsaron las ganancias a ambos lados del Atlántico, con mejor comportamiento del growth y las cíclicas en Europa. En el STOXX 600 Tecnología y Bancos lideraron las subidas mientras que Utilities fue el único en negativo e Inmobiliario junto con Telecos registraron las menores ga...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

IAG : Confidence in demand contrasts with competitors' views

>Transatlantic routes and return of corporates will underpin direction of RASK - Following airline warnings about prices and demand, IAG's Q2 results publication was clearly a relief. The company posted a good performance across all its networks (RASK up 2% on transatlantic routes, with ASK up 6.1%; up 1% in Europe, with capacity up 5.8%; down 2.3% on domestic routes, with capacity up 5.4%; down 4. 7% in Latin America & Caribbean despite a 17.2% increase in capacity,...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

IAG : Une confiance sur la demande qui tranche avec la vision des conc...

>Le transatlantique et le retour des corporates soutiendront l’orientation du RASK - Suite aux warnings des compagnies aériennes sur le prix et la demande, la publication du T2 chez IAG a été clairement un soulagement. En effet, la compagnie a affiché une bonne performance sur l’ensemble de ses réseaux (RASK à +2% sur le transatlantique pour des ASK en hausse de 6.1%, +1% en Europe pour des capacités en hausse de 5.8%, -2.3% sur le domestique pour des capacités en ha...

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell
Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
DHL DHL GROUP
AXA AXA ... (+19)

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 08/02/2024

The Stoxx 600 gained just 1.1% in July after shedding 1.3% in June, driven by the SMI (+2.5%) and the Footsie 100 (+2.7%). With business sentiment indicators continuing to weaken, defensive stocks outperformed cyclicals in July, and many healthcare stocks were among the best performers of the Stoxx 600. Long-term interest rates have fallen sharply (probably too much), but this has not benefited tech and luxury goods stocks, penalised by their disappointing results publications. - ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 08/02/2024

In addition to its strong interim results, AXA announced the sale of AXA IM to BNP Paribas and the acquisition of Italian insurer NobisForvia : S&P lowers outlook to Negative on BB ratingZF Friedrichshafen: Disillusioning H1 24 earnings release, revises down revenue guidance and later narrows marginELO (Auchan): S&P has downgraded the group's rating to BB with a negative outlookFlos B&B Italia: reassuring Q2 results and good prospects for H2>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 02/08/2024

Flos B&B Italia : une publication rassurante au T2 et un S2 qui s’annonce bienEn plus de solides résultats semestriels, AXA annonce la cession d’AXA IM à BNP et l’acquisition d’un assureur italien, Nobis.ELO (Auchan) : S&P a dégradé le rating à BB/négatifForvia : S&P abaisse sa perspective à Négative sur la notation BBZF Friedrichshafen : Disillusioning H1 24 earnings release, revises down revenue guidance and later narrows margin>...

Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
DHL DHL GROUP
AXA AXA ... (+17)

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 02/08/2024

Le Stoxx 600 ne progresse que de 1,1% en juillet après sa baisse de 1,3% en juin, tiré par le SMI (+2,5%) et le Footsie 100 (+2,7%). Avec la poursuite du fléchissement des indicateurs de climat des affaires, les défensives ont surperformé les cycliques en juillet, et de nombreuses valeurs Santé sont présentes parmi les meilleures performances du Stoxx 600. Les taux d’intérêt longs ont nettement reflué (sans doute trop) sans que cela profite aux valeurs de la Tech ou du Luxe qui ont s...

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

IAG: 2Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

2Q'24 vs. 2Q'23 Results EBIT: € 1.241 Bn (-0.8% vs. -11.5% BS(e) and -13.5% consensus); 1H'24 vs. 1H'23 Results EBIT: € 1.309 Bn (+3.9% vs. -6.7% BS(e) and -8.7% consensus);

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

IAG: RDOS. 2T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 2T'24 vs 2T'23: EBIT: 1.241 M euros (-0,8% vs -11,5% BS(e) y -13,5% consenso); Rdos. 1S'24 vs 1S'23: EBIT: 1.309 M euros (+3,9% vs -6,7% BS(e) y -8,7% consenso).

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