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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

DT vs. BT: 160% total return over 10 years. Which one? DT (Buy, €32, +...

It’s been a busy day and we have now wrapped on the BT full-year results meeting and the DT earnings call and share our key takeaways from the day on the similarities and differences between the two.

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/16/2024

Altice designates certain subsidiaries as unrestricted (Bloomberg)Elior: good H1 23/24 results and confidence in targetsMoody's upgrades Monte's ratings by one notch to Ba2 senior and Ba3 Tier 2Avolta (ex-Dufry): solid first quarter, guidance confirmedMaxeda: after a difficult FY 2023 (leverage above 5x), the group is counting on its free cash flow generation in 2024 to deleverage before refinancing next year.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 16/05/2024

Maxeda : après une année 2023 difficile (levier au-dessus de 5x), le groupe mise sur sa génération de free cash-flow en 2024 pour se désendetter avant son refinancement l’an prochainAltice désigne certaines filiales comme non restreintes (Bloomberg)Moody’s réhausse d’un cran les notes de Monte, à Ba2 en senior et à Ba3 en Tier 2Elior : bonne publication au S1 23/24 et confiance sur les objectifs fixésAvolta (ex-Dufry) : Très bon trimestre, guidances confirmées...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Slow start for FCF in Q1 (+4%) but 2024 guidance co...

>EBITDAaL above (Europe), FCF below (WCR) - Q1 2024 revenues up 0.4% y-o-y at € 27.942bn (consensus € 27.993bn), with an increase of 2.9% for service revenues driven by TMUS (+2%) and Europe (+7%). Q1 EBITDAaL came in 5% higher at € 10.473bn (ahead of cons. of € 10.249bn) or +6% on a comparable basis. FCFaL up 3.6% at € 3.708bn (cons. € 3.879bn), with weaker growth driven by capex down by just 2% and a weaker WCR than expected. However, for 2024, the group confir...

Benoit Valleaux
  • Benoit Valleaux

Allianz : Favourable operating trends in Q1

>Robust revenue growth in Q1 - Allianz released its Q1 2024 results yesterday. Revenues stood at € 48.4bn, up 7.5% l-f-l and 5.3% reported, with l-f-l growth at 7.5% in P&C insurance (continuing sharp price hikes in Q1 at 7.4% on average for renewed businesses, notably for individuals), 7.6% in health insurance and 5.7% in AM. In life insurance, the new business volume was sharply up (+20.6%), far above forecasts, with a new business margin that remained high at 5.7% ...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Démarrage lent des FCF au T1 (+4%) mais objectif 20...

>EBITDAaL au-dessus (Europe), FCF en-dessous (BFR) - CA du T1 2024 en hausse de 0,4% sur un an à 27 942 M€ (consensus 27 993 M€), dont une hausse de 2,9% sur le CA de services tiré par TMUS (+2%) et l'Europe (+7%). L’EBITDAaL du T1 ressort en hausse de 5% à 10 473 M€ (au-dessus du cons. de 10 249 M€) ou +6% à base comparable. Les FCFaL sont en hausse de 3,6% à 3 708 M€ (cons. 3 879 M€), en croissance plus faible en raison des investissements seulement en baisse de 2% ...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Deutsche Telekom (Buy, €32, +44%) Q1 24: Financial strength over KPI s...

Big picture: all guidance has been reiterated and domestic & European EBITDA has beaten expectations and the underlying dynamics in the German market are likely to remain strong.

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

DEUTSCHE TELEKOM: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 27.942 M euros (+0,4% vs -0,3% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); EBITDA: 10.473 M euros (+5,1% vs +3,2% BS(e) y +2,9% consenso); BDI: 2.238 M euros (+14,2% vs -3,9% BS(e) y -4,2% consenso).

Benoit Valleaux
  • Benoit Valleaux

Allianz : Des tendances opérationnelles favorables au T1

>Forte croissance des revenus au T1 - Allianz a publié hier son RN du T1 2024. Les revenus ont été de 48.4 Md€, en hausse de 7.5% à données comparables et de 5.3% en publié, avec des croissances à données comparables de 7.5% en assurance dommages (poursuite des fortes hausses tarifaires au T1 de 7.4% en moyenne sur les affaires renouvelées, notamment pour les particuliers), de 7.6% en assurance vie et santé et de 5.7% en AM. En assurance vie, le volume d’affaires nouv...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, ENI, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Las bolsas siguen de fiesta Nueva jornada de avances, con el Ibex liderando y consolidando má...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets continue to rally It was a new session of gains, with the Ibex standing out and consolidating 2015 highs, and with sovereign yields tightening significantly after the US inflatio...

Moody's Ratings upgrades IAG's ratings to Investment Grade (Baa3); out...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded the senior unsecured ratings of International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (IAG or the company) to Baa3 from Ba2. Concurrently, the rating agency assigned a Baa3 long-term issuer rating to the company and withdrew its Ba1 corporate family rating (CFR...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/15/2024

With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 15/05/2024

Air France-KLM : Nouvelle émission obligataire IGT : T1 2024 largement au-dessus des attentes, permettant un relèvement de la guidance >...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/05/2024

Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...

Maria Paz Ojeda
  • Maria Paz Ojeda

ALLIANZ: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Primas: 48.410 M euros (+5,3% vs +7,0% BS(e)). Rdo. Operativo: 3.986 M euros (+6,8% vs +4,2% BS(e) y +4,3% consenso); BDI: 2.475 M euros (+21,8% vs +11,0% BS(e) y +15,8% consenso).

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