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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 25 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AEDAS HOMES, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets deflate European stock markets started the session off well but began to deflate, eventually closing with losses after US stock markets opened in the red and following a new rise in sovereign de...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 25 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AEDAS, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: BASF, BNP, PERNOD RICARD, SANOFI, SCHNEIDER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de más a menos Las bolsas europeas comenzaron bien la jornada, pero fueron perdiendo fuelle...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/22/2024 Date Performance sin...

EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 22/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 22 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MELIÁ, MERLIN, NATURGY. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Semana de retrocesos en Europa con la excepción de la periferia El viernes volvió a ser un día de aversión al riesgo por el riesgo geopolítico pero los miedos se fueron d...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Continued growth for European hotels in March

>European hotels up 7.7% in March - In March, RevPAR growth came to +7.7% y-o-y for western Europe (according to STR figures), driven by both price increases (+6.2%) and a continued improvement in occupancy rates (OR up +0.9 pt). With the marked growth seen in January (+11.7%) and February (+9.3%), the cumulative change in Q1 works out at +8.9% (+1.7 pt for OR and +5.7% for ADR); for now, this is better than forecast and could, ultimately, render the estimates for lim...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 22 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

NEWS SUMMARY: MELIÁ HOTELS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A week of losses in Europe, except in the periphery Friday was another day of risk aversion due to the geopolitical risk, but fears began to subside throughout the session, although this was not enough to prevent the...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Croissance continue de l’hôtellerie européenne en mars

>L’hôtellerie européenne est en croissance de 7.7% en mars - En mars, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +7.7% yoy pour l’Europe de l’Ouest (selon les chiffres STR), portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+6.2%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +0.9 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%) et en février (+9.3%), la variation cumulée sur le T1 ressort à +8.9% (+1.7 pt sur les TO et +5.7% sur les prix), c’est un chiffre qui...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

ACS: CMD’24 - CRECIMIENTO SIN RIESGO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

CMD’24: Crecimiento sin riesgo. COMPRAR Del CMD’24 celebrado ayer destacamos su previsión de CF Neto Operativo’24-26 ~3.300 M euros, lo que unido a desinversiones (>2.000 M euros) dejaría >2.500 M euros disponibles para adquisición de activos concesionales (brownfield y greenfield) y M&A para acelerar la expansión de Turner (EE.UU). Revisamos estimaciones +5% y +12% en EBITDA/BDI’24-26 (-6% y -7% vs consenso) por mejor evolución operativa (Turner/Cimic) y situamos P.O. en 43,00 euros/acc. (+11% ...

Research Department
  • Research Department
DG VINCI SA
BN DANONE SA ... (+6)

INFORME DIARIO 18 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, NATURGY, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: DANONE, NOKIA, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex rebota Europa se recuperó después de las fuertes caídas del martes con las rentabilidades soberanas estrechando y destacando el Ibex ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 18 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, NATURGY, VISCOFAN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex rallies Europe recovered ground after the strong corrections seen last Tuesday, with sovereign yields tightening and with the Ibex climbing >1.0% after its worst annual session. In the STOXX 600, most sectors ended with gains...

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

ACS : A de-risking strategy as a general principle, to result in € 850...

>New targets lead to € 850-1,000m net profit in 2026… - ACS hosted yesterday a CMD in which it 1/ provided a guidance of € 850-1,000m net profit in 2026, revenues of c.€ 43bn (c.€ 48bn if including Thiess) also in 2026 and cumulative FCF of € 3.3-4.0bn in the 2024-2026 period; 2/ forecast accumulated dividends surpassing € 2bn in the 2024-2026 period (from € 0.6bn in 2023); 3/ provided a self-valuation of c.€ 50 per share; and 4/ confirmed being in negotiations to ac...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 12 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T'24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, MELIÁ. EUROPA: UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE no para la recogida de beneficios Tras una breve transición durante la comparecencia de la presidenta del BCE donde el Euro STOXX 50 llegó ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 12 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

mNEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, MELIÁ HOTELS. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB unable to stem profit taking After a brief period during the ECB President’s speech when the EuroSTOXX 50 managed to dilute its losses, European stock markets began to fall once again, but this time dragged down by ...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : What if the water deficit undermined energy security?

>Alberta: drought in Canada’s leading oil province - The province of Alberta (Canada) is in a situation of water stress for the fourth consecutive year. On a scale of 1 to 5, the region is currently at stage 4 and if stage 5 were reached the government would be obliged to use directives in order to manage the situation. This province generates significant revenues from the oil and gas industry (around 15% of GDP) and agriculture (wheat, beef, etc.) which are extr...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : Et si le déficit en eau mettait à mal l’Energy Security ?

>L’Alberta : sécheresse dans la principale province pétrolière canadienne - La province de l’Alberta (Canada) fait face à un stress hydrique pour la 4ème année consécutive. Sur une échelle de 1 à 5, la région est actuellement au stade 4 et si le stade 5 était atteint, le gouvernement serait alors amené à gérer par des directives. Cette province bénéficie de revenus importants en provenance de l’industrie du Oil&Gas (environ 15% du PIB) et de l’agriculture (blé, b...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 28 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, VIDRALA. Stock markets continue to gain ground European stock exchanges saw new gains, lacking significant drivers in a session with low trading volume again. In the STOXX 600, Retail and Utilities were the best performers, whereas cyclical sectors linked to raw materials such as Energy and Travel&Leisure saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Spain, March’s inflation climbed more than expected to 3.2% whereas the core data moderated more than expected to 3.3%. In...

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Delphine Brault
  • Sven Edelfelt

ODDO : Focus on Construction: a bitter present (2024), a sweeter futur...

With the exception of the US, construction markets should continue to shrink in 2024 (-2% in Europe) before rebounding on the back of lower interest rates. Against this backdrop, groups will be differentiated mainly on the basis of their resilience (geographical and price/cost mix), capital allocation (and special situations) and valuation. In this context, we are upgrading our recommendations on KONE (modernisation as an alternative source of growth to China) and Holcim (a subst...

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