GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$19.50/Target: HK$23.60) 2024: Results in line with profit warning; operating margin beat; targeting low single digit revenue growth for 2025. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$45.90/Target: HK$49.00) 2024: Improving fundamentals but valuation is no longer attractive; downgrade to HOLD. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.47/Target: HK$6.80) ...
For 4Q24, the sector’s 18% yoy earnings growth was within expectations, driven by Singtel’s regional associates, strong performance from the enterprise businesses and better overall cost discipline. We expect decent earnings growth for 1Q25, backed by strong earnings visibility, cost-saving initiatives and robust Enterprise business outlook. We like Singtel for its regional exposure and value-unlocking initiatives, Starhub’s attractive yield and NetLink’s defensive earnings. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
February was another good month for our top EM Telcos, now up 15% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. With performance strong so far, we make no changes to our picks.
A director at Singapore Telecommunications Ltd bought 30,000 shares at 3.280SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
GREATER CHINA Sector Dairy: Retail demand remains weak; price recovery and healthier inventories to drive shipment normalisation. Healthcare: Outperformers empowered by AI revolution. INDONESIA Update Champ Resto Indonesia (ENAK IJ/BUY/Rp585/Target: Rp740): 2025 revenue to grow 16% yoy; more conservative on 4Q24 performance. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Results Duopharma Biotech (DBB MK/BUY/RM1.28/Target: RM1.39): 4Q24: Largely delivers on earnings. Public sector sales anchor growth while margins im...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.052/Target:S$0.072) 1QFY25: Ready to ride the green energy wave in 2HFY25. Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.37/Target: S$3.58) 9MFY25: Results in line as business outlook improves. United Overseas Bank (UOB SP/NOT RATED/S$38.58) 4Q24: Sets out action plan for capital management. TRADERS' CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY Hong Fok Co...
For 9MFY25, Singtel reported a higher underlying net profit of S$1,870m (+11% yoy), driven by higher contributions from Optus and NCS, good cost discipline from the group’s cost-out programme and higher associate earnings (mainly from Airtel and AIS). The results are in line with expectations at 73% of our full-year forecasts. Singtel expects to pay 16.5 cents DPS for FY25 as the group has identified S$6b of capital recycling for sustainable shareholder returns. In view of a decent dividend yiel...
Singtel delivered a good set of numbers with underlying revenue growing and EBIT expanding on continued cost optimisation despite ongoing growth investments at Digital Infraco which led to steady growth in underlying net profits.
While sounding a word of caution for medium-term government revenues, Prime Minister Wong delivered a budget that continued to defray the pain of inflation with an eye toward clean energy, climate change and helping lower-income households. No new equities market proposals were announced, which may disappoint investors in the short term. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, OCBC, STE, STM, SCI, ST, VMS and YZJSGD.
We update the NSR GEM Top Picks list. No stocks are dropped, and we add LILAC and TIM Brasil to our list, extending it to a Top-10 list from Top-8. Our picks had a good start, up 12% on average since the start of the year. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Per capita tourism spending weakens further despite a yoy increase in visitor numbers; 2025 will continue to be a challenging year. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.74/Target: HK$4.00): Business operations deteriorate in 4Q24; being cautious on new store openings; continuous closures of underperforming stores may happen in 2025. INDONESIA Sector Property: Undemanding valuation amid increased uncertainty. MALAYSIA Update Hap Seng Plantati...
In line with Singtel’s ST28 growth plan, its value-unlocking initiatives remain on track which we reckon would come from paring down stakes in its regional associates and non-core fixed assets, likely leading to higher VRDs in the next 3-5 years. The group continues to improve its ROIC through better core operational performance while also doubling down on its future growth drivers, NCS and Nxera. In view of a decent dividend yield of 5.2%, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$3.58.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.15/Target: S$3.58) Driving shareholder value through active capital management and operational efficiency, particularly in Australia. Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$12.71/Target: S$15.55) Remain focused and cautiously optimistic for the medium term. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Post (SPOST SP): Trading BUY DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP): Trading ...
Indian press is reporting that the Indian government is planning to cut AGR liabilities for the industry by around INR 1 trn (c. $12bn), by cutting 50% of interest and 100% of penalties and interest on penalties relating to the AGR fines. Implication would be a c. INR 520bn (US$ 6.2bn) reduction in liabilities for Vodafone IDEA and around INR 380bn (US $4.5bn) for Bharti.
2024 saw good performance from the Thai telcos and Singtel and more mixed in Malaysia and Indonesia. In 2025, we think the benefit of consolidation should be more apparent in the latter. Singtel and TRUE remain our top picks in the region.
In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.
We remain constructive on EM Telcos despite the major stocks generally performing well through 2023 and 2024. As the long telco cycle inflects, and the industry consolidates, conditions still seem ripe for GDP+ revenue growth and rising ROIC we think. In this note, we run through the themes we think investors should follow in 2025. In a separate note, also published today we introduce the NSR EM Telco – Top 8, our top EM picks in the Telco and Towers space.
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