GREATER CHINA Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00): 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; mini shop and potential blockbuster as key catalysts. INDONESIA Results Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp835/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q24: NPAT up 13.7% yoy; slightly above consensus expectations. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.44/Target: RM0.70): 1H24: Positively surprises on project cost claims. Marine segment still weakened by competi...
For 1HFY25, Singtel reported a higher underlying net profit of S$1.2b (+6.1% yoy), driven by higher contributions from Optus and NCS, coupled with better cost discipline from the group’s cost-out programme. The group has identified about S$6b of capital recycling which we reckon would likely come from paring down its stakes in its regional associates and non-core fixed assets. In view of a decent dividend yield of 5.2% and an improving outlook, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$3.5...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Strong beat; add STM and remove CENT, MPM and FEHT from our portfolio. Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 0.8% mom in Aug 24 on an equal-weighted basis, beating the STI by 1.2ppt. TRADERS' CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY AEM Holdings (AEM SP): Trading BUY
Our Alpha Picks portfolio had a solid month in August, rising 0.8% mom on an equal-weighted basis, beating the STI by 1.2ppt. The outperformance was driven by CENT, MINT and FEHT, while MPM, VMS and CVL underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has now outperformed the STI in seven out of the past eight months. For Sep 24, we add STM while removing CENT, MPM and FEHT.
Singtel held its Investor Day today. Overall tone was more positive relative to last year as the core is beginning to bear fruits from its cost-out initiatives in addition to the clear capex and shareholder remuneration pathway as echoed by its ST28 strategy. The stock remains one of our top picks despite the recent rally as we continue to see good value.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
Following strong Q1 figures, and ahead of their investor day, we look at the near-term outlook for the shares. When the company first announced the Value Realisation Dividend, our initial response was to be underwhelmed. We now realise this was too hasty. We have changed our mind, and this note runs through why. We see Singtel rising fairly quickly to S$3.75 to S$4. Recommendation remains Buy, pt S$4.6.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Another month of lacklustre growth. Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV market share tops record 53% on increased subsidies. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Desay SV. Top SELLs: XPeng and Nexteer. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$76.40/Target: HK$95.00) 1QFY25: Solid cloud re...
Singtel reported higher 1QFY25 underlying net profit (+5.6% yoy), driven by better margins from the core businesses and ongoing cost optimisation efforts. Optus outperformed from price uplifts while Singtel Singapore posted better margins from cost-cutting initiatives. NCS booked higher order wins while the digital infraco segment was weighed down by investment costs. Backed by a decent dividend yield of 5.5% and an improving outlook, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$3.58.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/HOLD/S$1.42/Target: S$1.56): 2Q24: Strong quarter; in line, boosted by A2B and UK business. Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.02/Target: S$3.58): 1QFY25: Strong results as margins expand; on track to exceed FY25 guidance. United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP/BUY/US$0.43/Target: US$0.62): 1H24: New leases provide higher occupancy and rental uplift. Update Singapore Airlines (SIA SP/SELL/S$6.12/Target: S$5.71): Jul 24 operational da...
Singtel started its financial year on a strong footing as core mobile remained steady while profitability improved for both core (Singapore and Australia) and NCS. Headline operating profits (+27%) were also ahead of the upper end of high-single to low double digit FY25 guidance.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising The M&A And Monetisation Bets: Our Alpha Picks marginally beat the KLCI. Jul 24 picks: Ekovest, Gamu...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Stuck in a soft patch. Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$69.25/Target: US$90.00) 4QFY24: Earnings miss; impact from East Buy to carve out after 1QFY25. Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/HOLD/HK$3.71/Target: HK$4.00) 1H24: In line; murky demand outlook ahead. Downgrade to HOLD. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$69.90/Target: HK$12...
For Jul 24, our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 4.7% mom on an equal-weighted basis, beating the STI by 1.0ppt. The strong outperformance was driven by CVL, CSE and ST, while FRKN, SCI and GENS underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has now outperformed the STI in six out of the past seven months. For Aug 24, we add SPOST while removing SIAEC from our Alpha Picks portfolio.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.02/Target: S$3.58): Early progress in driving shareholder value and its growth engines. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP): Trading BUY
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