For Apr 24, our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 0.4% mom on an equal-weighted basis, underperforming the STI slightly by 1.7ppt. It was a mixed performance from our portfolio with the top performers being MPM, BAL and CD while FRKN, LREIT and ST underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has outperformed the STI in three out of the past four months. For May 24, we add FEHT, MPACT, GENS; remove BAL, LREIT and CLAS.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
GREATER CHINA Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$34.95/Target: HK$44.00) 1Q24: Earnings miss on muted fee income and higher cost-to-income ratio. China Resources Building Materials Tech (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.34/Target: HK$1.83) 1Q24: Mixed bag of results; regaining cement market share. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.52/Target: Rmb29.10) 1Q24: Margins miss likely due to product mix, AI business remains robust. Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$27.10/Target: ...
Singtel announced an 11-year A$1.6b network sharing deal with TPG in regional Australia, receiving around A$900m of incremental cashflows over 11 years. However, we expect minimal near-term earnings impact for Singtel. The group also announced S$3.1b of non-cash impairment provisions, which will result in a net loss for 2HFY24. This was largely due to a significant S$2b impairment on Optus, dragged by the enterprise segment. Maintain BUY with the same target price of S$2.99.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP/BUY/S$1.26/Target: S$1.89): 4QFY24: Turning around towards an upward trajectory. Wilmar International (WIL SP/HOLD/S$3.34/Target: S$3.35): 1Q24: Results below our expectations due to weaker-than-expected margins from feed & industrial products despite higher sales volume. Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$2.35/Target: S$2.99): Striking a deal in regional Australia. TRADERS’ CORNER Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCN...
SingTel announced two separate pieces of news today: 1) Optus' network sharing agreement with TPG, and 2) S$3.1bn of non-cash write down related to Optus and its Australian Enterprise businesses. As news flow was overshadowed by the latter, shares were down 3% today.
With Bharti in sight of US$100bn market cap and SingTel languishing after the abortive sale of a stake in Optus, SingTel’s stake in Bharti is now worth the same as SingTel’s entire market cap. This also means that SingTel’s SOP discount is at all-time highs of 50%. In this note we look at how management could address this through buybacks, and what the accretion impact of selling stakes in Bharti to buy back SingTel shares would be.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 6.0% mom on an equal-weighted basis, outperforming the STI by a material 3.4ppt. The outperformance was driven by broad-based strength across most of our portfolio with the best showing coming from Riverstone, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Singtel. In 1Q24, our Alpha Picks portfolio surged by 13.7% qoq, surpassing the STI by a hefty 14.2ppt qoq. For Apr 24, we add CSE and LREIT while removing MINT, CVL and FEH.
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare: Government’s draft plan seeks to promote a more supportive drug innovation ecosystem. Results Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.35/Target: Rmb29.10): 4Q23: Top-line beat but margins miss; raise estimates on the AI business. INDONESIA ASEAN Gems Conference Highlights Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ/BUY/Rp5,250/Target: Rp7,300): Tariff adjustments at 12 toll road sections to drive 19.3% core NPAT growth in 2024. MALAYSIA Results Bermaz Auto (BAUTO MK/BUY/RM2...
Responding to The Australian Financial Review article on the potential sale of Optus for A$16b, Singtel stated that there is no impending deal at this juncture. That said, management is regularly reviewing its underlying assets. We believe this news helped illuminate value of its underlying asset as Singtel’s current market capitalisation reflects little value of its Singapore consumer business and Optus asset. Operationally, Optus’ operating trend is on an uptrend. Maintain BUY. Target price: S...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$2.48/Target: S$2.99): Optus: While management focuses on network reach and a search for CEO, news on stake sales has helped to illuminate value on the inherent asset. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP): Trading BUY City Developments (CIT SP): Trading SELL
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
Although the FSSTI recorded a decline of 0.4% mom in Feb 24, more than half of our picks, especially the small/mid-caps (Frencken, Marco Polo Marine and Food Empire), recorded decent gains. Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 1.6% mom on an equal-weighted basis, outperforming the FSSTI by 2.0ppt. For Mar 24, we add Riverstone, and take profit on SATS and Valuetronics.
GREATER CHINA Update The United Laboratories International (3933 HK/BUY/HK$8.17/Target: HK$10.00): 2023 earnings expected to beat consensus forecasts. INDONESIA Results Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ/SELL/Rp6,850 /Target: Rp5,715): 4Q23: Results below expectations. Downgrade to SELL. MALAYSIA Results Greatech Technology (GREATEC MK/BUY/RM4.90/Target: RM6.20): 2023: Within expectations. Orderbook is at an elevated quantum of RM1.04b; aiming to spearhead more projects in 2024. IOI Corporation (IO...
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