reports
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics and discussion
This week, NCS February production was broadly in line with the NOD’s expectations, with total output flat MOM but down 2.4% YOY. Aker BP showed solid January production, while Equinor, Vår Energi, OKEA and DNO showed declines MOM. Halten East is now on stream, but its slow ramp-up limits Vår Energi’s 2025 uplift to ~5kboed, reinforcing the downside risk to its 330–360kboed guidance. Also, DNO successfully placed a new USD600m bond (8.5% coupon) to refinance DNO04 and for general corporate purpo...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Oliver Dunvold
- Steffen Evjen
NCS February production in line
The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for February showed liquids production of 1,938kboed (in line with its forecast) and gas production of 355mcm/d (3.8% above its estimate). Overall production was 4.17mmboed, flat MOM (1.8% above its forecast), but down 2.4% YOY. Company-wise, Aker BP reported solid production in January, while Equinor, Vår Energi, OKEA and DNO all reported production down MOM.
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Deepwater fixture activity set to increase
After a slow start to the year for deepwater awards, we see long- and short-term jobs nearing rig selection. On the positive side, we believe the capital markets will appreciate increasing fixture activity and oil companies committing to long-term development jobs, supporting cycle duration. From a dayrate perspective, we see the bifurcation thesis unfolding, as some contractors are more focused on prioritising utilisation, also with counterparty, rig quality and region playing a role. Hence, as...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
In a mid-cycle plateau
Following recent updates from E&P companies, we have reduced our 2025 offshore spending estimate to 0.5% (from c3% earlier this year). This is driven by a combination of actual 2024 spending being higher than expected (8% versus 4% previously), creating tougher comparables and a reduction in spending plans from Pemex in 2025. Despite growth flattening out, we still see the cycle building in duration, with execution of deepwater developments remaining on the agenda, albeit with a delayed executio...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- Steffen Evjen
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
DNO Completes USD 600 Million Bond Placement
DNO Completes USD 600 Million Bond Placement 14 March 2025 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today completed the private placement of USD 600 million of new five-year senior unsecured bonds with a coupon rate of 8.5 percent. The bond placement met strong investor demand across US, Nordic and international markets and was significantly oversubscribed. “With this issue, we extend our flawless record to 20 successful bond placements over the past 24 years, with no waivers, no amendments and certainly no defaults,” said DNO’s Executive Chairman Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani. “The enthusi...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, BlueNord cut its Q1 production guidance by ~25% due to a breaker failure at Tyra, implying a 5% hit to 2025 guidance and likely delaying the first dividend from March to May. Following DNO’s Sval Energi acquisition, we upgraded OKEA to BUY (HOLD) and raised our target price to NOK23 (20). We believe historical NCS transaction multiples provide valuation support for OKEA. Meanwhile, the sector is down 10–20% since Brent peaked at USD82/bbl in mid-January, with scarce oil macro support ...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Felix Fischer
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Trung Nguyen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
Mandatory Notification of Trade
Mandatory Notification of Trade Please refer to the attached forms of notification of settlement of synthetic shares by certain primary insiders under the DNO ASA Employee Synthetic Share Program which vested on 11 March 2025 under the terms of the Program. These synthetic shares were awarded as a component of annual bonuses to Executive Management in March 2023 with a two-year vesting period. This notification has been submitted pursuant to the Norwegian Securities Trading Act § 5-12 and MAR Article 19 no. 3. Attachments ...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
DNO to Hold Fixed Income Investor Meetings
DNO to Hold Fixed Income Investor Meetings 11 March 2025 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today announced it has engaged DNB Markets, a part of DNB Bank ASA, and Pareto Securities AS as Global Coordinators and Joint Bookrunners, to arrange fixed income investor meetings. Clarksons Securities AS, Fearnley Securities AS and SpareBank 1 Markets AS have been retained as Co-Lead Managers. Subject to inter alia market conditions and acceptable terms, a new senior unsecured bond issue with a tenor of five years may follow. The contemplated bond will materially have the same terms as ...
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
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