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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Monitoring for a Pullback We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $257 on IWM (up from $245) continue to hold. We continue to see deterioration in market dynamics, and while we expect a period of consolidation/pullback, the afo...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Kinepolis/Moment of truth in 2026, M&A case gets real/BUY

The stock underperforms 56% since end-2024, 15% YTD, as the long-awaited attendance recovery failed to materialise and a convincing mid-size M&A deal could not turn the tide yet. The stock has derated to 7x EV/EBITDAL 26F, close to our €20 bear case, investors becoming sceptical on the long-term story, while studios consolidation (Netflix/Warner Bros) fuels fears of dangerous structural changes at play. We acknowledge them but also see the upsides, among others, self-help and converting Netflix ...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: (Ti)me delay. Belgian telecoms: Telenet increases price as of March. Fastned: Funding step-up, Fastned secures €200m loan. Lotus Bakeries: Preview FY25. MICC: Preview FY25. Signify: 4Q25 preview. Van Lanschot Kempen: Large AuM win in Fiduciary

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Belgian Competition Authority approves the deal / AEGON: Sale of UK picking up early momentum / Allfunds Group PLC: Of Bourse they agreed / Ontex: Peer Essity 4Q25 results / Telecoms: Digital Networks Act take-aways / WDP: Catena to raise c.€255m via an ABB with WDP participating pro-rata for c.€26m

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Consensus FY25 and FY26 released / Belgian Telecoms: DIGI Belgium introduces 5G FWA at €7 per month and increased data on mobile-only offers / NSI: €50m seven-year unsecured notes issuance with a 4.59% coupon / Sofina: Newsletter #17: NAV per share underperforms

 PRESS RELEASE

Publication of a transparency notification

Publication of a transparency notification Kinepolis Group NVPress releaseRegulated information Publication of a transparency notification (Article 14, first paragraph, of the law of 2 May 2007 on disclosure of major holdings) 20 January 2026, 17h45 On 16 January 2026, Kinepolis Group NV has received a transparency notification from BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding, notifying that, following a transfer of securities with voting rights, the companies that are controlled by it own 2.98% of the voting rights attached to shares of Kinepolis Group NV, and therefore the threshold of 3% ha...

 PRESS RELEASE

Publication relative à une notification de transparence

Publication relative à une notification de transparence Kinepolis Group SACommuniqué de presseInformation réglementée Publication relative à une notification de transparence (article 14, alinéa 1er de la loi du 2 mai 2007 relative à la publicité des participations importantes) 20 janvier 2026, 17h45 Le 16 janvier 2026, Kinepolis Group SA a reçu une notification de transparence de la part de BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding, dont il résulte que, suite à un transfert de titres conférant le droit de vote par les sociétés qu’elle contrôle, celles-ci possèdent au total 2,98% des droits d...

 PRESS RELEASE

Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving

Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving Kinepolis GroupPersberichtGereglementeerde informatie Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving (artikel 14, eerste lid, van de wet van 2 mei 2007 op de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen) 20 januari 2026, 17u45 Op 16 januari 2026 heeft Kinepolis Group NV een kennisgeving ontvangen van BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding waaruit blijkt dat de door haar gecontroleerde ondernemingen, door een overdracht van stemrechtverlenende effecten, in totaal 2,98% van de stemrechten van Kinepolis Group NV bezitten en aldus de deelnemin...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Pre-close 4Q: positive read, but with recent CMD, no surprises on guidance / Ahold Delhaize: New US distribution centre to be leased from Blackstone / Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex December 2025 box office revenue at 89% of 2019 level, up 3% YoY / Randstad: Preview 4Q25F results due 11 February; consensus released / Staffing sector: Hays' 2Q26 trading update; miss vs consensus / Zabka: Peer Biedronka FY25 sales.

Guy Sips ... (+2)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Kinepolis Group One Battle After Another

Following weaker-than-expected December 2025 admissions in North America and Europe, we updated our Kinepolis visitor model to reflect a softer 4Q25 and FY25 than originally anticipated. In the US, December Box Office declined -2.3% y/y, resulting in a –6.9% quarter as an overcrowded release slate diluted demand across major titles. This drove FY25 admissions below expectations, despite a 1% y/y increase in Box Office revenue supported by premium pricing. We expect Canada to show the same patter...

 PRESS RELEASE

Publication relative à une notification de transparence

Publication relative à une notification de transparence Kinepolis Group SACommuniqué de presseInformation réglementée Publication relative à une notification de transparence(article 14, alinéa 1er de la loi du 2 mai 2007 relative à la publicité des participations importantes) 12 janvier 2026, 17h45 Le 8 janvier 2026, Kinepolis Group SA a reçu une notification de transparence de la part de BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding, dont il résulte que, suite à une acquisition de titres conférant le droit de vote par les sociétés qu’elle contrôle, celles-ci possèdent au total 3,16% des droits d...

 PRESS RELEASE

Publication of a transparency notification

Publication of a transparency notification Kinepolis Group NVPress releaseRegulated information Publication of a transparency notification(Article 14, first paragraph, of the law of 2 May 2007 on disclosure of major holdings) 12 January 2026, 17h45 On 8 January 2026, Kinepolis Group NV has received a transparency notification from BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding, notifying that, following an acquisition of securities with voting rights, the companies that are controlled by it own 3.16% of the voting rights attached to shares of Kinepolis Group NV, and therefore the threshold of 3% h...

 PRESS RELEASE

Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving

Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving Kinepolis GroupPersberichtGereglementeerde informatie Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving(artikel 14, eerste lid, van de wet van 2 mei 2007 op de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen) 12 januari 2026, 17u45 Op 8 januari 2026 heeft Kinepolis Group NV een kennisgeving ontvangen van BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding waaruit blijkt dat de door haar gecontroleerde ondernemingen, door een verwerving van stemrechtverlenende effecten, in totaal 3,16% van de stemrechten van Kinepolis Group NV bezitten en aldus de deelnemingsd...

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