HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: regulatory risk outweighs the growth story (downgraded to HOLD) • DataWalk: actual 4Q24 figures in line with the prelims; strong hikes in sales funnel and value of acquired contracts in 1Q25 POSITIVE • LPP: key takeaways from 4Q24 and the strategy update presentation POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q24-25 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: management's initial comment on US tariffs NEGATIVE • European oil and gas monthly: March 2025 – refi...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
Despite the near-term relief from expected rate cuts, we believe that the Turkish banks continue to operate in a structurally-challenging environment – characterised by cut-throat competition, stringent regulation, and bouts of macro uncertainty – where the risks to their long-term economic viability, particularly in the face of today’s high cost of capital, remain high. We would seek better entry points, which err on the side of caution regarding the banks’ long-term earnings power and do not r...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Financial Stability Committee mentions sanction of free credit risk for consumer loans portfolio NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q24 results – sales up 19% yoy, to PLN 9.09m POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: putting the CBRT’s emergency rate hike into context • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 March) • GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after State Audit Office of Hungary's report • Banca Transilvania: dividend proposal from the 2024 profits NEUTRA...
Charging in a new era; Prefer power companies over refineries – The Greek energy market underwent structural shifts in 2024, with disruptions in Eastern Europe driving high intraday volatility in electricity prices, which is likely to persist as long as Greece remains a net electricity importer. Since regulatory interventions were lifted in 2024, power generation units saw a step-up in their spark spreads, capturing 2-digit premia vs baseload prices amidst daily price spikes, while the retail ma...
Charging in a new era; Prefer power companies over refineries – The Greek energy market underwent structural shifts in 2024, with disruptions in Eastern Europe driving high intraday volatility in electricity prices, which is likely to persist as long as Greece remains a net electricity importer. Since regulatory interventions were lifted in 2024, power generation units saw a step-up in their spark spreads, capturing 2-digit premia vs baseload prices amidst daily price spikes, while the retail ma...
A director at Public Power Corp S.A. sold 2,500 shares at 12.470EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.
Sisecam Acquires Ciner Group's Shares in U.S. Soda Ash Operations Sisecam’s U.S. Move to Bring Global Leadership ISTANBUL, Dec. 27, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sisecam takes a significant step toward global leadership in soda ash industry by acquiring all shares of its partner Ciner Group in the U.S. soda investments and operations. Sisecam, a global player in the glass and chemicals industries, has taken another significant step toward global leadership in soda ash industry by acquiring all shares of Ciner Group, in Sisecam Chemicals Resources LLC and Pacific Soda LLC in the U.S. ...
Activity in EM Credit markets finally slowed down in the end of the year – determined more by the normal ‘slow' pre-festive season rather than chaotic trading on the back of unexpected political / geopolitical news. Central banks sent its Christmas cards to the markets with the most important one from the Fed and its cut by 25bp, however, with some bitter taste.
HEADLINES: • Kety: key takeaways from the FY25E guidance conference call NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: parliament may table draft bill to repay municipal power bills POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: agrees to sell Depa Commercial to the Greek State for EUR 0.2bn POSITIVE • GEK Terna: Terna Energy – Masdar files for public offer to take out the minorities POSITIVE • Short News (PEO)
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: court in Liechtenstein appoints administrator for Zygmunt Solorz’s foundations NEGATIVE • Polish banks: to face the same dividend guidance from the watchdog as last year NEUTRAL • PZU: PFSA issues dividend payment guidance for 2025 NEUTRAL • PCF Group: limits scope of work on Project Bifrost and suspends work on Project Victoria NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: releases new Update 2.2 for Cyberpunk 2077 NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: cancellation of own shares NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
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