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Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange Belgium (Neutral, TP: €21.6, +12%) H2 25 results: Numbers beat...

OBEL has reported a good set of numbers, with EBITDAaL c+3% ahead of consensus and 2026 EBITDAaL guidance is better than consensus expectations. There is evidence of a Digi impact in MSR and ARPU, but KPIs are OK, suggesting that OBEL is protecting share over ARPU - OBEL has c30% of revs from mobile only, which are vulnerable to Digi in our view.

Atenor SA: 1 director

A director at Atenor SA bought 251,231 shares at 2.800EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat

 PRESS RELEASE

Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported ...

Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported by sustained commercial performance, synergies and efficiencies Press releaseEmbargo until 6 February 2026 at 7:00 am Regulated information – Inside information Financial information for the second semester and full year 2025 Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported by sustained commercial performance, synergies and efficiencies Mobile postpaid customer base +2.5% yoy / Cable customer base +1.8% yoyH2 Revenues -1.5% yoy / FY 2025 Revenues -1.5% yoyH2 EBITDAaL +3.4% yoy / FY 2025 EBITDAaL +...

 PRESS RELEASE

Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, on...

Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, ondersteund door stabiele commerciële prestaties, synergiën en efficiëntiewinst PersberichtEmbargo tot 6 februari 2026 om 7.00 u. Gereglementeerde informatie – Voorwetenschap Financiële informatie voor het tweede halfjaar en het volledige jaar 2025 Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, ondersteund door stabiele commerciële prestaties, synergiën en efficiëntiewinst Aantal mobiele postpaidklanten +2.5% j-o-j / Aantal kabelklanten +1.8% j-o-jOmzet in H2 -1,5% j-o-j / Omzet 2025 -1,5% j-o-jEBITD...

 PRESS RELEASE

Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions p...

Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions pour 2025, supportée par des performances commerciales soutenues, des synergies et des gains d'efficacité Communiqué de presseEmbargo jusqu'au 6 février 2026 à 7h00 Information réglementée – informations confidentielles Information financière relative au second semestre et à l'exercice 2025 Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions pour 2025, supportée par des performances commerciales soutenues, des synergies et des gains d'efficacité Base clients mobiles postpayés +2.5% / Base clients câble ...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Presents supportive three-year Bimzelx data in HS at EHSF

UCB announced that three-year data from the BE HEARD trials for Bimzelx in moderate to severe HS will be presented at the Conference of the European Hidradenitis Suppurativa Foundation EHSF, being held 4–6 February in Malta. The data show high rates of total HS resolution at 3 years, high rates of improvement from moderate or severe HS to mild disease, as well as strong draining tunnel resolution. This continues to highlight Bimzelx' benefit in this patient group, which we believe will further d...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Model update ahead of FY25 results

Following the second guidance upgrade for FY25 (announced 5 December 2025), we update our UCB model ahead of FY25 results. UCB now expects revenue to exceed €7.6bn, representing +24% y/y (previously at least €7bn). The upgraded guidance reflects - next to the continued growth of Rystiggo, Zilbrysq, Fintepla and Evenity – strong performance of Bimzelx, including a strong momentum in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and a favourable payer mix in the US. Our model update increases Bimzelx FY25 sales t...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Kygevvi receives positive CHMP opinion in ultra-rare disease TK2d

Friday during trading hours, UCB announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) adopted a positive opinion recommending the granting of marketing authorisation under exceptional circumstances for Kygevvi (doxecitine and doxribtimine) for the treatment of pediatric and adult patients with genetically confirmed thymidine kinase 2 deficiency (TK2d) with an age of symptom onset on or before 12 years. Following the positive CHMP opinion...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Conditional approval for the acquisition of Delfood / Bekaert: Acquires Bridgestone's €80m tyre cord business in China and Thailand / KPN: In-line Q4, 2026 guidance, cash returns / NSI: Results in line, further vacancy weighing on 2026 and cautious tone on new developments / UCB: Cimzia included in Medicare's price negotiations for 2028

David Vagman ... (+16)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Michiel Vereycken
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...

We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...

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