A director at Xl Axiata Tbk PT sold 3,125,400 shares at 2,288.969IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 87/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
XL AXIATA (ID), a company active in the Mobile Telecommunications industry, reduced its market risk and raised its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener awarded an improved star rating to the company, which now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars; its market behaviour has improved and can be considered as defensive. theScreener believes that this new assessment merits an overall rating upgrade to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date March 22, 2022, the closing price...
We had another relatively bullish call this evening Jakarta time with XL Axiata. XL (like PT Telkom) believes that the consolidation of the industry means Indonesian mobile is at a turning point, with prices likely to stabliise/recover going forward.
REGIONAL Sector Gaming: The Genting Group’s ASEAN-listed gaming stocks are set for a winning streak with valuations gradually re-rating to price in business and dividend normalisation trends. GREATER CHINA Strategy What to expect from the Two Sessions? INDONESIA Results XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,860/Target: Rp3,750): 4Q21: Higher-than-expected net profit; moving towards position of no.1 converged operator. MALAYSIA Results Axiata (AXIATA MK/BUY/RM3.89/Target: RM4.45): 4Q21: Above expectation...
EXCL’s 4Q21 net profit came in higher despite expectation of a qoq decline. Fullyear 2021 net profit of Rp1.3t was the highest since 2013. EXCL has increased the prices of its data. It booked 11% convergence penetration from fixed broadband in 2021 and expects to scale up with LINK. EXCL still can explore maximum synergistic benefits with LINK, even though EXCL only holds minority interest. Maintain BUY with a target price of Rp3,750.
Both XL Axiata and Indosat have reported strong growth in Q4. Consensus has growth slowing for PT Telkom. Read-across from peers suggests acceleration is more likely, implying the market leader is likely to beat expectations materially
Axiata Group announced its acquisition of 66% of LINK for Rp8.72t. EXCL will acquire 20% (550m) of LINK’s shares. Our calculation shows that EXCL could enjoy earnings accretion of Rp46b-118b of net profit or 3-9% additional net income in 2023. The LINK acquisition is expected to generate synergies from sharing fibre optic infrastructure and bringing additional revenue to LINK with referrals to EXCL’s 58m customers. Maintain BUY with a target price of Rp3,900.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Growth risks mount. INDONESIA Results Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/HOLD/Rp7,775/Target: Rp7,460): 4Q21: Net profit dropped 5.9% qoq as provision increased 51.9% qoq. Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp3,290/Target: Rp3,900): Earnings accretion and synergistic benefits from 20% investment in LINK. MALAYSIA Results Bursa Malaysia (BURSA MK/Hold/RM6.18/Target: RM6.00): 4Q21: Results marginally above expectations. As ADV may have found a bottom coupled with valuation curren...
Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/HOLD/Rp7,775/Target: Rp7,460): 4Q21: Net profit dropped 5.9% qoq as provision increased 51.9% qoq. XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp3,290/Target: Rp3,900): Earnings accretion and synergistic benefits from 20% investment in LINK. TRADERS’ CORNER Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ): Technical BUY Pelat Timah Nusantara (NIKL IJ): Technical BUY
Omicron variant infections are rising across the globe and Indonesia has recorded 509 cases. Omicron is expected to peak in Feb 22 with new cases rising to as high as 60,000 cases daily. The impact of social restrictions could be milder. Healthcare (MIKA) and pharmaceutical (KLBF, SIDO) companies could see higher demand. A correction in the JCI should offer an opportunity to buy financial (BMRI, BBNI, BBTN), retail (MAPI, ERAA), consumer (UNVR, MYOR) and telecommunications (TLKM, EXCL) stocks.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: We expect the indices to rebound in January on better policy news flow and improving investor sentiments. Add Venus MedTech, replace JD.com with Alibaba on our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Drop SMRA, ERAA and Add BBNI: Our picks: UNVR, SIDO, JSMR, BMRI, TLKM, KLBF, ROTI, EXCL and BBNI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Embracing The High Beta Picks: Dec 21 alpha picks portfolio significantly outperformed the FBMKLCI, cappi...
We expect the GDP recovery to further drive corporate earnings growth in 2022. Corporate earnings growth historically has an 85% correlation with JCI levels. The recovery story should continue until 1H22. We suggest investors continue focusing on laggards and undervalued names. We have set 7,400 as our 2022 year-end JCI target. The risks to our bullish view will be higher-than-expected inflation and sooner-thanexpected interest rate hikes. Top 5 picks: BMRI, UNVR, JSMR, TLKM and KLBF.
We expect the GDP recovery to further drive corporate earnings growth in 2022. Corporate earnings growth historically has an 85% correlation with JCI levels. The recovery story should continue until 1H22. We suggest investors continue to focus on laggards and undervalued names. We have set 7,400 as our 2022 year-end JCI target. The risks to our bullish view will be higher-than-expected inflation and sooner-than-expected interest rate hikes. Top 5 picks: BMRI, UNVR, JSMR, TLKM and KLBF. • GDP gro...
After four consecutive months of outperformance, our portfolio underperformed in Dec 21 by delivering a -1.0% return, compared with a 1.2% rise in the JCI. In 4Q21, our portfolio outperformed the JCI by delivering an 8.4% return vs the index’s 4.7%. We drop SMRA and ERAA to reduce our portfolio exposure to small caps. We add BBNI due to the potential 40% NPAT growth in 2022 and -1SD P/B valuation. Our picks are: UNVR, SIDO, JSMR, BMRI, TLKM, KLBF, ROTI, EXCL and BBNI.
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