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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOC AV; DIA PW; ALR PW; MONET CP; MYTIL GA; 11B PW; MBR PW...

HEADLINES: • DO & CO: the art of the meal (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Diagnostyka: strong 4Q24, in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q25 a little below 1Q25E expectations, but valuation (1Q25 P/BV at 1.2x) still very low NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q25 results almost in line with expectations, ROE of 18% fully priced in by 1Q25 P/BV of 2.2x NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1Q25 sales +31% yoy, to EUR 1.5bn, in line NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: strategy update, expands pipeline to...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WPL PW; OMV AV; BDX PW; BDX PW; CPS PW; ENA PW; 11B PW

HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: shifting up a gear for e-commerce growth (stays BUY) • OMV: making chemical bonds (stays BUY) • Budimex: final 4Q24 results confirm prelims fully NEUTRAL • Budimex: recommends PLN 25.43 DPS from the 2024 earnings, 4.5% dividend yield NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Enea: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: release date of The Alters set as 13 June NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ENA PW; CPS PW; KRU PW; AEGN GA; THYAO TI; APR PW; MIL PW;...

HEADLINES: • Enea: full 4Q24 results in line with preliminaries; PLN 7.9bn capex planned in 2025E NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 15% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Kruk: issues 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – a strong start to the year POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – 4% ASK growth yoy NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: March sales growth recovers to 13% yoy, but still well below our FY expectations NEUTRAL • Bank M...

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG ... (+8)

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – US Tariffs; VGO PW; BFT PW; BFT PW; O...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: tariff impact – a preliminary assessment • VIGO Photonics: signs framework agreement with PCO on infrared arrays; minimum 2026-31 contract value of PLN 191.9m POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: confirms 4Q24 preliminary EBITDA of PLN 261m NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: Medicover gets conditional approval to acquire CityFit gyms NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO wants to nationalise CEZ • Richter: proposes D...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MTELEKOM HB; DAT PW; LPP PW; TXT PW; CZG CP; EU Oil and Ga...

HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: regulatory risk outweighs the growth story (downgraded to HOLD) • DataWalk: actual 4Q24 figures in line with the prelims; strong hikes in sales funnel and value of acquired contracts in 1Q25 POSITIVE • LPP: key takeaways from 4Q24 and the strategy update presentation POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q24-25 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: management's initial comment on US tariffs NEGATIVE • European oil and gas monthly: March 2025 – refi...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: March 2025 – refining margins shaky agai...

Average Brent crude oil prices were down by USD 3.5/bbl in March vs. the previous month, and OPEC+ promised to mitigate increased supply with compensatory cuts from countries above quota. The WOOD benchmark was down USD 4.0/bbl, to USD 8.0/bbl, the lowest margin since September 2024. Only fuel oil cracks improved, while crude differentials worsened. Petrochemicals continue to disappoint.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; EEMEA Macro; TRESTATE GA; MOH GA; EUR PW; TXT PW; ...

HEADLINES: • LPP: mediocre 4Q24 – EBIT 4-5% below expectations, but decent start to the year; FY25E guidance broadly maintained, and FY26-27E guidance of stable margins, despite major sales growth acceleration POSITIVE • EEMEA macro: US reciprocal tariff effects • Trade Estates: strong 2024 results POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus, but net income weak NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 4Q24 in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q24-25 (calendar 1Q25) prelimi...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MAVI TI; TL Banks; GPW PW; BFT PW; MOL HB; EU Macro; DNP P...

HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Can Demir ... (+2)
  • Can Demir
  • Miguel Dias

Turkish Banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, I...

Despite the near-term relief from expected rate cuts, we believe that the Turkish banks continue to operate in a structurally-challenging environment – characterised by cut-throat competition, stringent regulation, and bouts of macro uncertainty – where the risks to their long-term economic viability, particularly in the face of today’s high cost of capital, remain high. We would seek better entry points, which err on the side of caution regarding the banks’ long-term earnings power and do not r...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (1 April 2025)

HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, on higher costs, but proposed DPS in line with expectations NEUTRAL • AROBS Transilvania Software: publishes its 2025 budget POSITIVE • MedLife: publishes its 2025 budget NEGATIVE • CCC: new financing agreement, extending factoring line POSITIVE • DataWalk: sale to Coöperatieve Rabobank; total contract value reaches PLN 66.1m POSITIVE • Orlen: 2024 consolidated results to be affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Poland macro: preliminary Mar...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SHO PW; KTY PW; ACP PW; AQ RO; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly

HEADLINES: • Shoper: 4Q24 results in line with prelims, sound cash flow generation NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results close to our expectations and relatively flat yoy NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: publishes 2025 budget POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (24-30 March)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; ACP PW; INPST NA; KTY PW; HSBK LI; TITC GA; GPP ...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...

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