OMV Petrom reported a Clean CCS EBIT of RON 1,368 mn, slightly missing consensus by 2.6%, mainly due to the E&P segment. E&P was heavily impacted by impairment charges and higher-than-expected depreciation; excluding the increase in depreciation, its Clean CCS EBIT would have been around RON 510 mn, roughly halfway between the analyst consensus and Concorde’s estimate. We had been more optimistic on realized gas prices, depending on the share of gas sold at market versus capped prices. Oth...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Airlines: buy the dip (upgraded to BUY) • Cimsa: 3Q25 financial results review POSITIVE • Tupras: 3Q25 results – net income beats expectations NEUTRAL • Isbank: 3Q25 highlights – slower margin rebound and 11% miss vs.to our estimate • Elm: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Arabian Drilling: 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: receives recalls for three land rigs POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • CEZ: nationalisation in draft government plan, bu...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q25 beat, mostly on one-off, but core result also stronger; current valuation levels justified, while waiting for finalisation of acquisition in Poland POSITIVE • Brisa: delivers 3Q25 earnings turnaround POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 financial results review – mixed NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 3Q25 results – operating recovery overshadowed by bottom-line losses NEUTRAL • Yapi Kredi: 3Q25 – first look • ADNOC Distribution: 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 3Q25 high...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: solid 3Q25 bottom line, but waiting for a change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q25 results do not bring much to the table NEUTRAL • Zabka: 3Q25 a notch above the consensus POSITIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 3Q25 results – sales up 59% yoy, to PLN 7.34m POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 results – CCS EBITDA above estimates POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 results – net income beat NEUTRAL • Borouge: 3Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 fin...
HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: crude headwinds (downgraded to HOLD) • Budimex: 3Q25 EBITDA flat yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 3Q25 results – in line with expectations NEUTRAL • WOOD Flash – Georgia Capital: solid 3Q25 financial results – positive view maintained, discount to NAV remains attractive POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • OTE: increases prices by 2.6% from December 2025 POSITIVE • Borouge: 3Q25E results preview (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OMV: 3Q25E r...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 3Q25 – operating recovery overshadowed by loss on bottom line, full-year guidance lowered NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 October) • DIGI Communications: chooses banks to list its Spanish unit POSITIVE • Titan: Fitch improves outlook to Positive, citing strong financial profile POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron wins tender for four new Greek offshore E&P blocks, as expected NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: CFO steps down NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: ann...
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: a flash in the pan (Enea and Tauron stay HOLD, PGE stays SELL) • Bank Millennium: posts solid 3Q25, all priced in NEUTRAL • Akbank: 3Q25 highlights – no major surprises, but NIM recovery remains slow and 2026E COR guidance appears cautious NEUTRAL • Kety: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: wins USD 146m from Gazprom POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bps cut, in line with the co...
We have updated our forecasts for the Polish utilities, following the companies’ new strategies, and the strong results in 1H25, which are likely to deteriorate in 2H25E and 2026E. All three are planning record-high capex until 2035E (PGE PLN 235bn; Enea PLN 107.5bn; Tauron PLN 100bn), mitigated partly by the favourable regulated returns and the new support for conventional generation, plus the low-cost National Recovery Plan financing (0.5% interest). This supports the ambitious investment plan...
HEADLINES: • Hidroelectrica: water should yield more (SELL - transfer of coverage) • MONETA Money Bank: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 2% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Kety: full 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 3Q trading update slightly below expectations; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • MOL: to become a holding company NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO favours Poland ...
HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...
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