HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: solid 3Q25 bottom line, but waiting for a change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q25 results do not bring much to the table NEUTRAL • Zabka: 3Q25 a notch above the consensus POSITIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 3Q25 results – sales up 59% yoy, to PLN 7.34m POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 results – CCS EBITDA above estimates POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 results – net income beat NEUTRAL • Borouge: 3Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 fin...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 3Q25 – operating recovery overshadowed by loss on bottom line, full-year guidance lowered NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 October) • DIGI Communications: chooses banks to list its Spanish unit POSITIVE • Titan: Fitch improves outlook to Positive, citing strong financial profile POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron wins tender for four new Greek offshore E&P blocks, as expected NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: CFO steps down NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: ann...
We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...
HEADLINES: • Duna House: good momentum in all three key markets (stays BUY) • Tofas: amendments to two agreements with Stellantis NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: UKE launches consultations on 900MHz band extension NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 31 October) • CCC: 3Q25E prelims preview – 11% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 6 November, TBC) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 3Q25E preview (due on 6 November) • LPP: 3Q25E results preview – 31% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 11 December) NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...
The EUR 455m new October 2030 bond that GTC is using to refinance the EUR 494m June 2025 maturity has been priced at 95 cents to the EUR, translating into a 7.7% yield to maturity. This marks a key milestone for the company, which will be able to use the proceeds to repay the EUR 494m June 2026E tranche. This removes a key near-term going concern threat for GTC. However, it does not mean that the company will be out of the woods completely. GTC needs to still extend the bank loans in Germany and...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: high steam pressure needs to cool off (downgraded to SELL) • Diagnostyka: testing positive (downgraded to HOLD) • Dom Development: 3Q25 – record sales, strong handovers, optimistic outlook POSITIVE • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond on 3 October POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margins • 4iG: signs letter of intent with Axiom Space NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange...
HEADLINES: • Czech macro: parliamentary elections – 3-4 October • Text: preliminary 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – MRR of USD 7.06m (down 1.5% qoq, up 0.3% yoy) NEGATIVE • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: TSS sends open letter to ACP's shareholders and proposes new incentive scheme NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong momentum in light vehicle sales continued in September • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
Yesterday, GTC announced that it has started to refinance the EUR 500m June 2026 bond tranche, of which there is EUR 494m outstanding. It is aiming to issue an EUR 455m 5Y (October 2030) secured bond with a 6.5% coupon. The new tranche will be issued initially by an entity separate from GTC Group. The liabilities would be later assumed by GTC, secured by pledges on its assets. The new tranche is anchored by Schroders, which may buy EUR 275-300m of the new notes. If successful, the refinancing wo...
HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
HEADLINES: • Zabka Group: 2026-28E rollout targets raised to 1.3k stores p.a.; dividend policy announced POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 losses deeper qoq on lower revenue and material write-offs • Rainbow Tours: consolidated August sales +17.6% yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales +7.9% yoy POSITIVE • Polish utilities: electricity sales tariffs for 4Q25 set at PLN 573/MWh POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: September Sensor Tower bookings estimates flat mom, improvement in core games N...
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