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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - muddling through? Belgian telcos: Competition Authority investigation on Proximus/Orange Belgium MoU. Brunel International: 2Q25 below, 3Q25 outlook cut, cost savings protect FY25 estimates. Euronext: Another record set of results. Fugro: Sharper V-shape? GBL: Weak NAV performance, as expected. KBC Ancora: Cooperative CERA increasing its stake to 51.24%, using excess cash. UCB: Renewed US threats to cut drug prices. Umicore: 1H25 and guide broadly in-line, new S...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

UCB - Still Plenty of Upside – PT up to €270 (BUY, TP €270 [250], 8pgs...

We upgrade our 2026 Bimzelx sales to be €0.9bn higher than consensus with conservative assumptions & and are now 11% above consensus on 2026 group sales & 19% on EBITDA. We upgrade our already above-consensus ‘27 EBITDA by 5%. Using our proprietary product-by-product Contribution Analysis, we show that the gross margin is highly sensitive to Bimzelx growth. We analyse the galvokimig data, which looks very strong Vs Dupi. Whilst UCB pipeline readouts & Moonlake risk will dominate specialists’ tho...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB 1H25 conference call feedback

UCB reported 1H25 results this morning with a clear beat on CSS. In this note we summarise our key takeaways from the conference call with management.

Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Martial Descoutures
  • Martial Descoutures
Martial Descoutures
  • Martial Descoutures
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB 1H25 earnings beat driven by Bimzelx, raises FY25 guidance

UCB's growth continues with 1H25 earnings increasing to € 3.49b, beating CSS expectations by approx. 8%. We note that Bimzelx performed significantly higher vs. expectations bringing in € 799m (CSS: € 615m) continuing its solid growth momentum. The company updated its FY25 guidance to revenue of at least € 7b based on a strong outlook for the remainder of the year. We reiterate our €214 TP and Accumulate.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, F...

: ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, UCB BB, AZE BB, SYENS BB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Light 1H performance, lowers FY25 outlook. Acomo: Hot chocolate. BAM Group: Solid 1H25 performance. BE Semiconductor Industries: 2Q25 results, light at the end of the tunnel. Econocom: 1H25 REBITA in line, net profit hit by €18m loss on discontinued. Orange Belgium: Better 1H25, guidance increased but MSA hurt perception. RELX: 1H25 results – powering ahead. UCB: 1H25 Preview: focus on US expansion.

Atenor SA: 1 director

A director at Atenor SA bought 9,223 shares at 2.810EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update

We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 27 January 2025, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: First hydronic flow control takeover in US; Ahold Delhaize: Preview 2Q25; EVS: Wins 2026 world cup contract Big Event Rental; Exor: A tad more Philips; Via Transportation reviving IPO plans; Heijmans: 1H25 preview; looks to be on track; KPN: 2Q25 preview; Montea: €24m acquisition in Dutch logistics hotspot; Ontex: Peer Essity 2Q25 results; RELX: 1H25 preview; Sligro: Weak 1H25 calls for 7.5% downgrade to consensus at EBITDA level; Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: Cineplex June 2025 box office rev at 91% of 2019, outperforming N America. TomTom: Preview 2Q25 - restructuring impact. Vopak: JV with IHI to start up ammonia by 2030

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 pre-close call feedback. Azelis: Attractive acquisition in personal care Italy. Econocom: Two UK/Ireland AV acquisitions disclosed. Staffing: Better French volumes in May even with easier comps, June outlook sluggish. Staffing: Dutch figs Period 6 volume and revenues weaker on tougher comps. UCB: Trump threatens a 200% tariff on pharmaceutical products

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: June 2025 Box office revenue/ attendance in US/Canada and France down. Utilities – Offshore Wind: Big Not So Beautiful Bill

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update July: Removing Fagron and Melexis, Adding...

Since the last publication of our Dynamic Top Pick List on 5 June 2025, our selection has seen again a nice outperformance versus the reverence indices (AEX, Bel20 and Eurostoxx50) of on average 3.3%. Our July update brings 3 adjustments to the list : Since being added to the list in December 2024, Fagron's share price has surged +/-22%, driven by strong Q1 2025 results and robust growth across all regions. Fagron reaffirmed its FY25 guidance and unveiled its “Compounding for Growth” strategy, ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Buyout deal, second in as many months, similar size (€660m). Flow Traders: Sticky digits. IMCD: Small but solid acquisition in India. Randstad: Preliminary preview of 2Q25F results due 23 July. UCB: Fintepla meets primary endpoint in CDKL5 Deficiency Disorder

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
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