3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 838.0 M (-2.3% vs. +9.7% BS(e) and +11.3% consensus); EBIT: € 35.0 M (-18.6% vs. +16.7% BS(e) and +16.3% consensus); Net Profit: € 9.0 M (-52.6% vs. +47.4% BS(e) and +36.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 2.918 Bn (+6.7% vs. +10.5% BS(e) and +11.0% consensus); EBIT: € 137.0 M (+7.0% vs. +18.9% BS(e) and +18.8% consensus); Net Profit: € 61.0 M (+15.1% vs. +50.9% BS(e) and +47.2% consensus);
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB’s target nearly met The Euro STOXX 50 had its best day since late September, while the ECB’s meeting minutes suggested the 2% inflation target will be met earlier than expected, thus cementing t...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, REAL ESTATE SECTOR, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Germany to hold elections in February The contagion from Asia, along with the increased geopolitical risk, dragged down European stock markets. In the STOXX 600, only Technology ended in gree...
Neinor Homes upsizes its Green Bond to €325mn on strong demand with €1,300mn orderbook - 4x oversubscribed Neinor’s bond issuance saw strong investor demand upsizing it to €325mn while also improving Neinor’s overall corporate cost of debt to 5.875% (from 6.5%) and extending maturities to 5.25 years (from 2 years)The use of proceeds is mainly focused on the refinancing of the existing corporate debt (€175mn) and the remaining proceeds (€150mn) will be allocated to growth opportunitiesEven after the upsizing and cost optimization, investors demand has largely surpassed the offer size bein...
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 219.6 M (+28.6% vs. +26.2% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 51.6 M (€ -1.8 M in 3Q'23 vs. € 50.8 M BS(e)); EBIT: € 26.1 M (€ -28.2 M in 3Q'23 vs. € 25.8 M BS(e)); Net Profit: € 14.3 M (€ -24.0 M in 3Q'23 vs. € 12.2 M BS(e)); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 668.1 M (+6.1% vs. +5.5% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 152.5 M (+139.8% vs. +138.5% BS(e)); EBIT: € 71.1 M (€ -17.6 M in 9M'23 vs. € 70.8 M BS(e)); Net Profit: € 40.8 M (€ -28.2 M in 9M'23 vs. € 38.7 M BS(e)); Results came in slightly a...
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 219,6 M euros (+28,6% vs +26,2% BS(e)); EBITDA: 51,6 M euros (-1,8 M euros en 3T'23 vs 50,8 M euros BS(e)); EBIT: 26,1 M euros (-28,2 M euros en 3T'23 vs 25,8 M euros BS(e)); BDI: 14,3 M euros (-24,0 M euros en 3T'23 vs 12,2 M euros BS(e)). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 668,1 M euros (+6,1% vs +5,5% BS(e)); EBITDA: 152,5 M euros (+139,8% vs +138,5% BS(e)); EBIT: 71,1 M euros (-17,6 M euros en 9meses'23 vs 70,8 M euros BS(e)); BDI: 40,8 M euros (-28,2 M euros...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Market moved by earnings releases European stock markets closed with slight drops, highly conditioned by the business results calendar and penalised by the new rise in...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BASF, KERING, SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El mercado al son de los beneficios empresariales ...
>Production disruptions and wood costs add pressure to FY 2024 estimates - Ence’s Q3 2024 results were modest but still superior to our quarterly estimates which reflected the decline in pulp prices (-15% vs Q3 2024 averages) and the announced production disruptions at Navia due to a cogeneration turbine break-up which does not affect pulp volumes but requires higher energy purchases (€ 2m extra cost in the quarter, not reflected in cash costs). Cash cost stood at € ...
Actualizamos P.O. por mejores perspectivas sectoriales y negocio de co-inversión. SOBREPONDERAR. Hemos revisado al alza nuestro P.O. un +19% hasta 17,14 euros/acc (potencial +18%) tras añadir a nuestro modelo los últimos acuerdos en el negocio de co-inversión, revisar al alza nuestras estimaciones de margen de los próximos años, ante las buenas perspectivas del sector y realizar el roll-over del modelo a dic’25. Reiteramos nuestra recomendación de SOBREPONDERAR. Tenemos una visión positiva sobre...
NEWS SUMMARY: IAG, NEINOR, SACYR, TALGO. The earnings season kicked off to a good start It was a positive week for most European indices, driven by the earnings release of large banks in the US last Friday, with the Ibex closing above 11,700 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600, most sectors closed with gains (15/20), led by Pharma and Insurance vs. the bigger losses of Basic Resources and consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the US, September’s production prices climbed more than expected and the U...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, NEINOR, SACYR, TALGO. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La campaña de Rdos. empezó con buen pie Terminó una semana positiva para la mayoría de las bolsas europeas, alentadas el viernes por la presentación de Rdos. de algunos...
A director at Neinor Homes S.A. sold 10,327 shares at 15.010EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
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