We lower our target price on Austrian Post to € 30 from € 31 and downgrade the stock from Neutral to Underperform. Our more cautious stance reflects the view that the sharper-than-expected structural decline in Austrian mail volumes is likely to drive a sustained erosion of segment earnings. At the same time, increasing competitive intensity in international parcel markets — particularly across CEE/SEE — is expected to remain a meaningful headwind to both profitability and volume growth. Against...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Very high flow rate at latest hz well boosts reserves, production and exploration upside – The K‑46 horizontal well has delivered an excellent result, flowing at rates of up to 18.3 mmcf/d. It has been choked back to a stable 15.5 mmcf/d to mitigate the risk of gas‑hydrate formation. The flowing pressure of 1,235 psi is very high. With an initial reservoir pressure of 2,695 p...
HEADLINES: • Czechoslovak Group: ReArming Europe – from ammo to armour (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Develia: strong handovers in 1Q26 (2.3x higher yoy), slightly disappointing sales (10% lower yoy) NEUTRAL • Kruk: 1Q26 trading update NEUTRAL • Kruk: recommends PLN 20 DPS • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q26 revenue at USD 56.5m, down 9% yoy and 4% qoq NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 190m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 1Q26E NEUTRAL • Budimex: FBSerwis to remain within the group NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • Develia : 4Q25 EBIT and net income 26% above our expectations, following stronger gross margin and lower SG&As POSITIVE • Develia: preliminary agreement to acquire major residential project in Gdańsk POSITIVE • Text: 4Q25-26 (calendar 1Q26) preliminary results – MRR of USD 6.93m (down 0.7% qoq and 2.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call • 11 bit studios: announces DLC for Frostpunk 2 and Nintendo Switch port of Frostpunk POSITIVE • Jeronimo Marti...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at M-11. Very strong performance at Mateguafa Attic Hz wells – The M‑11 well has been brought online from the C7 formation, which contains 18 ft of net pay, at 784 bbl/d (392 bbl/d net) with a 26% water cut. The well also intersected ~30 ft of net oil pay in the C9, which will be brought into production at a later stage. Net production from the M‑7 and M‑9 ...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 4Q25 review – net profit up 4.5x yoy, in line with the consensus; 2026 backlog up 19% yoy NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 4Q25 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kety: preliminary 1Q26 EBITDA and net profit above our expectations POSITIVE • PGE: decent 4Q25 preliminary results (adjusted recurring EBITDA 17% above expectations), distorted by one-offs POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: announces tender to acquire own...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
HEADLINES: OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY) Benefit Systems: 4Q25 miss on adjusted EBIT; supportive update of 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE Huuuge Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA above expectations, DTC channel continues to grow POSITIVE DIGI Communications: takes steps to enter UK telco market NEUTRAL GEK Terna: increases EYDAP stake to 12.8% POSITIVE EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 March) Austriacard: expands US footprint with new card personalisation facility POSITIVE
We maintain our BUY on OMV, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 70.2 (from EUR 61.7), offering upside of 19.0%. The conflict in the Persian Gulf has pushed margins up across OMV’s business and we expect these effects to continue, even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Temporary closures at petchems producers are driving margins. The Borealis/Borouge merger is almost upon us and OMV should benefit from high margins across the portfolio. OMV has growth projects which should be completed soo...
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