reports
- FIMA Research
Fima Daily Insight 30 April 2024
Please find enclosed our daily market report.Market CommentCroatia Plava Laguna proposes EUR 15 per share dividend (DIVY 4%) HPB’s net profit surges by 33% in Q1 Dalekovod swings to net profit in Q1 ZABA reports 25% higher net profit YoY in Q1 Slovenia SBI TOP up in mixed trading Romania OMV Petrom sets new all time high today after posting Q1'24 results Bulgaria Shelly Group widens Q1 non-cons net loss
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; SIPCHEM AB; KRU PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; T...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak bottom-line performance in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Sipchem: 1Q24 results – weak net income NEGATIVE • Kruk: issues flash 1Q24 net profit of PLN 338m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 April) • Türkiye macro: MPC takes a pause, but hiking cycle not over yet • OTP Bank: CEO Csanyi speaks at AGM on future acquisitions and Russian exposure POSITIVE • Budimex: BXF Energia acquires 60 MW photovoltaic project NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: dividend policy for 2023-25E and p...
- Gabor Bukta
- Szabolcs Pal
CEE Banks – Great opportunities with different risk profiles
The CEE region is expected to deliver a moderate rebound of GDP growth in 2024,following the preceding year’s weak growth, fuelling expectations of sustainable profits inthe banking sector. Inflation is seen to be twin faced in our region, similar to most of the coreeconomies. Even with a diminished potential for much intra-year improvement of the inflationpath in 2024, this inflation provides several CEE central banks more room to cut policy ratesthis year. Lower interest rates are expected to ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KSPI LI; KRU PW; TUPRS TI; TL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; JMT PL; E...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: 1Q24 highlights Kruk: buys more portfolios in Italy • Tupras: launches USD 256m propylene investment NEUTRAL • Turkish banks: coverage UNDER REVIEW • Sipchem: 1Q24E results preview (due on 25 April) NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 1Q24E results preview – 11% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 April, before the open) • Erste Bank: 1Q24E preview (due on 30 April) • BRD-GSG: 1Q24E preview (due on 2 May) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 1Q24E preview (due on 9 May) • Banca Transilvania: 1Q24E...
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/04/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water. The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget. The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in. A...
GPRK GEOPARK
CVX CHEVRON CORPORATION
OMV OMV AG
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
REP REPSOL SA
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
MAHA-A MAHA ENERGY AB
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TPEIR GA; CPS PW; PKN PW; ING ...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: life after the windfall (Alpha, Eurobank, NBG and Piraeus – transfer of coverage) • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: announces PLN 1.6bn of probable trading losses NEGATIVE • ING BSK: AGM approves PLN 33.35 DPS NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: partners with Mytilineos for 2GW solar portfolio NEUTRAL • InPost: PPF realises option to buy 10% stake • ONE United Properties: founders and others selling up to 9.5% in ABB • PKO BP: ...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
INPST INPOST S.A.
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SNP RO; OMV AV; MIL PW; PL Utilities; EME Macro/Strategy W...
HEADLINES: • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 1Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24E CHF mortgage saga provisions land at PLN 507m NEUTRAL • Polish gencos: IndMin floats notion of alternative solution to the NABE NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 April) • Halyk Savings Bank: pays off State aid fully POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the interview with the CTO NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 1Q24 NEUTRAL • Pub...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – TL; PGE PW; THYAO TI; GPP PW; EU Oil ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Türkiye – unprecedented CHP victory in local elections • PGE: 4Q23 fully in line with prelims NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • European oil and gas monthly: March 2024 – winter was survived, as expected • Poland macro: MPC keeps rates on hold, as expected • Romania macro: rates on hold, with a word of caution • Arabian Drilling: may have three offshore contracts...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GEV CP; THYAO TI; GPP PW; MOH GA; ENA PW; TXT PW; BGEO LN;...
HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: the power of powder (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 – ending a very good year on a strong note POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q23 results – adjusted EBITDA up 18% yoy, 8% above the market consensus POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q23 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 4Q23 results POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q23-24 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: finalises Ameria acquisition POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q24 traffic – goo...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: mixed market performances in March
EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
AROBS GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
4071 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
H2O ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIR ASTANA JSC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TR macro, HU macro, ASELS TI, DNP PW, BFT PW, 11B PW, CEZ ...
HEADLINES: • Türkiye macro: MPC surprises with a 500bp hike • Hungary macro: Hungary ends the cap on bank deposits • Aselsan: new USD 0.6bn contract • Dino: 8-10% EBITDA miss in 4Q23 - qoq sales erosion • Benefit Systems: conference call takeaways - solid 2024E outlook, Türkiye promising, churn-related risks from the Czech Republic should not materialise in Poland • 11 bit studios: Indika release date set for 8 May • CEZ: takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call • Jahez: conference call takeaways •...
- Mihaly Gajda
Challenging Transformation Journey Amid Energy Security and Geopolitic...
Our target price for OMV is EUR 48.1, indicating a 27% upside potential, inclusive of the announced EUR 5.05 dividend. For MOL, we propose a target price of HUF 3,245, suggesting an 18% upside potential, factoring in an estimated dividend of HUF 250. We recommend 'Buy' for OMV and 'Accumulate' for MOL. In our opinion OMV holds a smaller risk. Despite challenges in the petrochemical sector, the company has achieved greater success with its international E&P portfolio, boasts more efficient refini...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: HUG PW; KMGZ KZ; ENA PW; MONET CP; KOMB CP; MOL HB; SAR GA...
HEADLINES: • Huuuge Games: 4Q23 slightly above the consensus; up to USD 70m buyback announced (14% yield) POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 4Q23 results – weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Enea: announces significant impairment charges (PLN 2.9bn) affecting the FY23 figures NEGATIVE • MONETA Money Bank/Komercni Banka: negative impact from the drop in mortgage rates NEGATIVE • MOL: updated strategy for 2030E – conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Sarantis: key takeaways from the Investor Day • Allegro: key ta...
EQS-News: AUSTRIAN POST 2023 Results: Increase in 2023 revenue and ear...
EQS-News: Österreichische Post AG / Key word(s): Annual Results AUSTRIAN POST 2023 Results: Increase in 2023 revenue and earnings driven by strong parcel growth and improvement in bank99 13.03.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. AUSTRIAN POST 2023 RESULTS: Increase in 2023 revenue and earnings driven by strong parcel growth and improvement in bank99 Revenue in 2023 Revenue +8.7 % to EUR 2,740.8m Mail –2.3 % to EUR 1,190.4m Parcel & Logistics +16.6 % to EUR 1,416.5m Retail & Bank +37.6 % to ...
EQS-News: ÖSTERREICHISCHE POST 2023: Umsatz- und Ergebnisanstieg 2023 ...
EQS-News: Österreichische Post AG / Schlagwort(e): Jahresergebnis ÖSTERREICHISCHE POST 2023: Umsatz- und Ergebnisanstieg 2023 geprägt von starkem Paketwachstum und Verbesserung der bank99 13.03.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. ÖSTERREICHISCHE POST 2023: Umsatz- und Ergebnisanstieg 2023 geprägt von starkem Paketwachstum und Verbesserung der bank99 Umsatz 2023 Umsatzerlöse +8,7 % auf 2.740,8 Mio EUR Brief & Werbepost –2,3 % auf 1.190,4 Mio EUR Paket & Logistik +16,6 % auf 1.416,5 Mio EUR ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EL RO; ELM AB; HTO GA; OMV AV; INPST NA
HEADLINES: • Electrica: takeaways from the FY23 earnings call NEGATIVE • Elm: 4Q23 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • OTE: planning to spin off its mobile infrastructure POSITIVE • OMV: acquires retail sites in Austria and Slovakia NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q23E preview – adjusted EBITDA growth of 41% yoy expected (due on 28 March)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OMV AV; PGSUS TI; TUPRS TI; AROBS RO; SIPCHEM AB; ETEL EY;...
HEADLINES: • OMV: Chemical Brothers (stays BUY) • Pegasus Airlines: 4Q23 – decent end to another stellar year NEUTRAL • Tupras: FY23 results, using inflation accounting POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: FY23 results – awaiting the calming of IT spending headwinds NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 4Q23 interim results NEGATIVE • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tofas: proposes distribution of a DPS of TRY 20 NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: strong player reviews of The Thaumatur...
OMV OMV AG
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
OMV: Chemical Brothers (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY rating on OMV, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 56.4 (from EUR 53.9), offering upside of 37.3%. While we await the final announcement on the Borealis/Borouge merger, OMV’s petrochemicals business continues to grow in both Europe and UAE, in the teeth of poor margins. The gas business is now less profitable, but energy expenses have plunged as well, as gas prices in Europe normalise. We expect 2024E to deliver better refining margins, before normalising in 2025E. The d...
- Hai Thanh Le Phuong
Neutral results, Bank targets EUR 500 mln share buyback
Erste’s net income came to EUR 688 mln in Q4, down by 16% q-o-q and up by 34% y-o-y while the figure came 3% ahead of consensus and slightly below our estimate. The market beat came from provisioning mainly as the Bank released FLI provisions in the amount of EUR 200 mln in the Other Austria Segment. Risk cost was allocated mainly at savings banks due to SME and medium-sized real estate projects. NII declined 3% q-o-q due to moderately rising deposit pass-through rates, interest rate caps in ...
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