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Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Safe Bulkers Minor model adjustments

We have updated our estimates, owing to the Q1 report and its updated contract backlog at healthy rates providing visibility on cash flows for the coming quarters. The market is still pricing Safe Bulkers at c50% of NAV, which screens at a noticeable discount to peers’ average P/NAV of ~0.8x. This, along with its contract portfolio, continues to provide relatively attractive exposure to the dry bulk segment, despite potential downside risk to demand on fundamental drivers in China (importer of ~...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Are the Lows "In" for this Pullback? While we are not yet out of the woods, we continue to see evidence that suggests the lows may be "in" for this pullback. Last week (4/23/24 Compass) we discussed the possibility that further downside was limited on the S&P 500 due to a multitude of reasons (SPX had simply filled 2/22/24 gap support that we had been discussing since late-February, Russell 2000 and Equal-Weighted S&P 500 were holding above key supports, short-term oversold conditions, subdued ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2024 Results and Declares Div...

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2024 Results and Declares Dividend on Common Stock MONACO, April 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today its unaudited financial results for the three month periods ended March 31, 2024. The Board of Directors of the Company also declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per share of outstanding common stock. Financial highlights    In million U.S. Dollars except per share dataQ1 2024Q4 2023Q3 2023Q2 2023Q1 2023Net revenues81.782...

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Safe Bulkers (Buy, TP: USD5.70) - Still discounted dry bulk exposure

The market is pricing Safe Bulkers at a ~50% discount to NAV, which we believe mitigates any potential vessel value risk and leaves a still-favourable risk/reward towards the dry bulk supply-side narrative. However, we find the recent dry bulk freight market strength counter to fundamental demand drivers in China (importer of ~75% of seaborne iron ore volumes and ~50% of overall volumes), and see some market downside risk near-term. Still, at today’s share price, we see an attractive 17% earning...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Announces Agreement for the Acquisition of One Newb...

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Announces Agreement for the Acquisition of One Newbuild Japanese Kamsarmax Class Dry-bulk Vessel MONACO, April 26, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the Company) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that it has entered into an agreement for the acquisition of a Japanese, 82,000 dwt, dry-bulk, Kamsarmax class vessel, with a scheduled delivery date within the fourth quarter of 2026. The newbuild vessel is designed to meet the Phase 3 requirements of Energy Efficiency Design Index related to the reduct...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Sets Date for the First Quarter 2024 Results, Confe...

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Sets Date for the First Quarter 2024 Results, Conference Call, and Webcast Earnings Release: Monday, April 29, 2024, After Market Closes Conference Call and Webcast: Tuesday, April 30, 2024, at 10:00 A.M. Eastern Time MONACO, April 24, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the Company) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that it will release its results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024, after the market closes in New York on Monday, April 29, 2024. On Tuesday, April 30, 2024, at...

Star Bulk Carriers Corp: 1 director

A director at Star Bulk Carriers Corp sold 30,000 shares at 23.490USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...

 PRESS RELEASE

Star Bulk Completes Merger With Eagle Bulk

Star Bulk Completes Merger With Eagle Bulk ATHENS, Greece, April 09, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (“Star Bulk”) (Nasdaq: SBLK), a global shipping company focusing on the transportation of dry bulk cargoes, today announced that it has completed its merger with Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle”). Under the terms of the merger agreement, each Eagle shareholder received 2.6211 shares of Star Bulk common stock for each share of Eagle common stock owned. Eagle common stock has ceased trading and will no longer be listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Petros Pappas, C...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend on its 8.00% Series C C...

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend on its 8.00% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares; 8.00% Series D Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares MONACO, April 03, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that the Company’s Board of Directors has declared: a cash dividend of $0.50 per share on its 8.00% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares (the “Series C Preferred Shares”) (NYSE: SB.PR.C) for the period from January ...

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

A brewing challenge for the yards

Our 17th Annual Energy & Shipping Conference was well attended by investors and industry executives showcasing the still-growing interest for the sectors. Limited yard capacity is fuelling high newbuilding prices and raising freight rate expectations for the vast fleet renewal necessary in the coming decade. Long lead times underpin a bullish supply story for much of shipping in the coming years, albeit exposed to geopolitical risks affecting trade patterns. Our overall impression was general op...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Announces the Sale of Two Dry-bulk Vessels

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Announces the Sale of Two Dry-bulk Vessels MONACO, March 06, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the Company) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that it has entered into two separate agreements, for the sale of MV Panayiota K, a 2010-built Post-Panamax class dry-bulk vessel, at a gross sale price of $20.45 million and delivery date in April 2024 and of MV Paraskevi 2, a 2011-built, Panamax class, dry-bulk vessel, at a gross sale price of $20.3 million and forward delivery date in July 2024. Dr. Louk...

 PRESS RELEASE

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Announces Change Of Transfer Agent And Regist...

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Announces Change Of Transfer Agent And Registrar ATHENS, Greece, March 04, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (the "Company" or "Star Bulk") (Nasdaq: SBLK) a global shipping company focusing on the transportation of dry bulk cargoes announced that, effective immediately, COMPUTERSHARE TRUST COMPANY, N.A. (“COMPUTERSHARE”) is appointed as the Company’s Sole Transfer Agent and Registrar of its shares trading under ticker symbol SBLK on NASDAQ. Shareholders need take no action in respect of the change in registrar and transfer agent services. All inqu...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers Announces Filing of 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F

Safe Bulkers Announces Filing of 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F MONACO, Feb. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (“Safe Bulkers”) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that it has filed its 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). The 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F is available by link through the Company’s website, , under Investors and SEC Filings. Alternatively, shareholders may also receive a hard copy of the 2023 Annual Report on Form 20- F, free of charge, ...

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Star Bulk (Buy, TP: USD25.00) - Pricing in much of 2024e potential

We expect Star Bulk’s Q4–Q1 trading to deliver ~13% in run-rate earnings yield, which we believe underpins the current share price ahead of an expected earnings dip for the seasonally softer Q2–Q3, where we forecast an annualised earnings yield of ~4%. Hence, the risk/reward looks more balanced, but supported by the material NAV discount on strong ~15-year high vessel values. We reiterate our BUY and USD25 target price.

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Safe Bulkers (Buy, TP: USD5.70) - Showcasing cash flow potential

Safe Bulkers beat expectations, with a Q4 run-rate earnings yield of ~23%, aided by its ~50% discount to NAV boosting equity returns, which we believe highlights the favourable risk/reward. Despite our relatively cautious 2024 forecasts versus consensus, and decoupled earnings and values, in our view Safe Bulkers offers discounted exposure to dry bulk and the favourable supply-side therein. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to USD5.7 (5.3).

 PRESS RELEASE

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Reports Net Profit of $39.7 Million for the F...

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Reports Net Profit of $39.7 Million for the Fourth Quarter of 2023, and Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.45 Per Share ATHENS, Greece, Feb. 12, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (the "Company" or "Star Bulk") (Nasdaq: SBLK), a global shipping company focusing on the transportation of dry bulk cargoes, today announced its unaudited financial and operating results for the fourth quarter of 2023. Unless otherwise indicated or unless the context requires otherwise, all references in this press release to "we," "us," "our," or similar references, mean S...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Twelve Months 2023 Resul...

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Twelve Months 2023 Results and Declares Dividend on Common Stock MONACO, Feb. 12, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today its unaudited financial results for the three and twelve month periods ended December 31, 2023. The Board of Directors of the Company also declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per share of outstanding common stock. Financial highlightsIn million U.S. Dollars except per share dataQ42023Q32023Q22023Q12023Q42022Twe...

 PRESS RELEASE

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Announces Sale of One Panamax Class Dry-bulk Vessel

Safe Bulkers, Inc. Announces Sale of One Panamax Class Dry-bulk Vessel MONACO, Feb. 12, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the Company) (NYSE: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that it has entered into an agreement for the sale of MV Maritsa, a 2005 Japanese-built, Panamax class, dry-bulk vessel, the oldest vessel in its fleet, at a gross sale price of $12.2 million and a forward delivery date from April 2024 to May 2024. Dr. Loukas Barmparis, President of the Company commented: “We continue our strategy to selectively sel...

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Star Bulk (Buy, TP: USD25.00) - Near-term forecasts lowered

We have cut our Q4 estimates after a modelling change to better reflect the guidance and revenue timing against the latest freight rate movements. We have lowered our 2023e adj. EBITDA by 7%, while 2024–2025e are largely unchanged. This leaves us 8% above Bloomberg consensus adj. EBITDA for Q4 and still considerably above (40%) for Q1. Our valuation is unaltered, and we reiterate our BUY and USD25 target price.

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