A director at Umicore S.A. bought 5,100 shares at 19.820EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
AEGON: 1Q24, new unexpected SBB, underlying OCG better, strong ratios across. Belgian telecoms: Digi to start with mobile. CFE: Preview - forecasting revenue numbers… D'Ieteren: Belron US peer Boyd 1Q24 below consensus, warns on 2Q24 growth. Econocom: Joins consortium formed by Onepoint and Butler Industries to acquire Atos. KBC: 1Q24 better across, special dividend, capital distribution pushed back to 1H25. Syensqo: 1Q24 a touch better, positive earnings momentum confirmed. Umicore:...
Umicore has nominated its Catalysis head Bart Sap as new group CEO, in succession of Mathias Miedreich, who is stepping down in mutual agreement with the Board. The press release points out that capex spend will be re-evaluated under the new CEO, suggesting that the company might slow down its growth plans somewhat in light of the slower battery materials market growth and taking into account the balance sheet implications of the initial capex plans. We continue to believe Umicore is well placed...
• As of today CEO Mathias Miedreich will be replaced by Bart Sap, who was leading the Catalysis division. • Priority of the new CEO will be to review all the developments plans in Battery materials.• We always had our question marks and doubts on all these investments and the return profile of Battery materials and this is only further increased by this surprising news. We put our rating (Hold), estimates and TP (was EUR 23) under review.
>Belgian sovereign wealth fund takes 5% stake via public market purchases - The Belgian sovereign wealth fund SFPIM has announced it has built up a stake of 5% in Umicore. The unit acquired the shares in the market (3% threshold crossed on May 3rd, 5% threshold crossed on May 8), explaining the unexplained run up in the shares last week. For those that do not know SFPIM, it is an investment fund that takes stakes in listed and unlisted companies with a mission that is...
>Underperform, price target to €19 (was €25.5) - We change our rating to Underperform (was Neutral) and lower our TP to €19 per share (relative valuation outcome €17.5, weight 40% and DCF, outcome €20, weight 60%). Our investment thesis remains unchanged with declining volumes and thus sales and margins for Recycling and Catalysis in the medium and long term and lower than projected revenues and margins (and thus returns) for Battery Materials. Due to the material c...
>Reiterating 2024 EBITDA guidance of €900-€950m - Umicore has published a 1 page qualitative trading update about Q1 2024 in which it reiterated EBITDA guidance for 2024 (€900-€950m) so in that sense there are little surprises. Consensus is at €932m and we are at €909m. No analyst call is planned.Catalysis and Recycling performing in line with expectations - Umicore states that Catalysis is making headway on costs and efficiency gains (also in WC) whi...
Basic-Fit: 1Q24 update in line, FY24 outlook in line with consensus at mid-point. bpost: Agreement on Flemish newspaper delivery; risk of provisions largely removed. Cofinimmo: Q1 results in line. Corbion: Tail wags the dog. IMCD: The last hurdle was a harsh clip. Proximus: Strong start to the year, guidance unchanged ahead of Digi arrival. Recticel: Kingspan 1Q24 trading update. Signify: 1Q24 results; revenue decline accelerates. Umicore: Confirms FY 2024 EBITDA guidance range. ...
Umicore commented that market dynamics in 1Q were in line with its expectations and the company reiterated its FY24 adj EBITDA guidance range of € 900-950m which represents at midpoint a 5% drop y/y. We continue to believe Umicore is well placed to play an important role in the electrification of transportation as we believe that global OEMs are still determined to establish local supply chains in Europe and North America. HLM and solid-state technologies will in our opinion support the position...
• In its qualitative Q1-24 trading update Umicore indicated that so far market dynamics are in line with its expectations. It confirms its FY24 EBITDA guidance range of EUR 900-950m.• We stick to our view that the doubts on battery materials are unlikely to be removed soon and that 2024 will be another transition year.• We stick to Hold and TP of EUR 23 based on our SOTP with an overall target EV/EBITDA of around 8x.
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