reports
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/11/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The work-overs of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed. The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up. With a total cost of 100 wells on Condor’s fields includ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SEPL SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
EOG EUROPA OIL & GAS (HOLDINGS) PLC
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
TOU TLOU ENERGY
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
DELT DELTIC ENERGY
BP. BP P.L.C.
AOI AFRICA OIL CORP
OKEA OKEA
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
SEAPT NO SEACREST PETROLEO BERMUDA - SEAPT NO
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
CDR CONDOR ENERGIES INC
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): UK budget better than feared
• While the new fiscal regime for UK upstream oil and gas in yesterday’s UK budget incorporates a 3% increase in EPL (to 38%) and the elimination of the 29% investment uplift allowance for EPL purposes, this is a better outcome than feared. • While these changes were expected, the industry and investors had been concerned by the possibility that capex investment might not be fully deductible for EPL purposes. That risk has now been removed. • In addition, the 62.5% investment uplift allowance f...
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Operational glitch creates an opportunit...
• Production at the Triton FPSO has been interrupted due to potential dry gas seal failure at the A gas compressor. The vulnerability of Triton to an issue with the single compressor was flagged previously, and improving the robustness of production was highlighted by Serica’s new CEO as a priority. The second compressor would have reduced the operational vulnerability of the FPSO but it has not yet been repaired. This second compressor is now expected to be brought back in service in 1Q25 inste...
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Very high flow rate at new Bittern well
• The B6 well on the Bittern field is now in production at a stable gross rate of ~8 mboe/d. Net to Serica, this represents ~5.2 mboe/d. This is well above our expectations of ~3 mboe/d (net). • This result showcases the quality of the subsurface team at Serica, something emphasised by the CEO at the HY results, as the well was drilled horizontally in a thin 245 m long reservoir section just above the oil-water contact. • Overall production is now above 50 mboe/d. Given a slow ramp-up following ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/09/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX CN)C; Target price A$0.75 per share: Production boost at Anshof in October – The ANS-2A sidetrack well has encountered a 6.5 m net vertical oil column in high quality Eocene-aged sandstone reservoir. The reservoir quality encountered at ANS-2A is consistent with ANS-2 (porosity and permeability ~20% higher than at ANS-3). The oil-water contact was encountered very close to the top of the water wet reservoir encountered ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY -136/09/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price £0.40 per share: Anchois-3 encounters gas in the appraisal targets but one of the exploration target is dry – The Anchois-3 well has 3 objectives. While the initial pilot hole encountered the targeted reservoirs at the Anchois Footwall prospect, they were interpreted as water wet. Our ReNAV for this prospect was £0.03/sh. The well was sidetracked in the B sands which are the main appraisal targets. Prel...
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Cumulative free cash flow near market ca...
• 1H24 production was 43.7 mboe/d, which is in line with our expectations. Net cash of ~US$143 mm at the end of June was also near our forecasts. • The FY24 production is expected to be towards the bottom end of the guidance of 41-46 mboe/d, mostly due to more downtime than expected at the Triton hub. The summer maintenance lasted >61 days instead of scheduled 40 days. • With further visibility on the UK fiscal regime expected at the end of October, the key takeaway from the announcement is Seri...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 02/08/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target of A$0.75 per share: Reflections on Welchau – IIndependent consultants have calculated that each of the three reservoirs encountered at Welchau (Reifling - 128 metres, Steinalm -118 metres and the Guttenstein - 111 metres) are hydrocarbon bearing with uncertainty on the hydrocarbon type. Laboratory work on the Steinalm reservoir has confirmed the full properties ofthe 43° API light sweet oil that was recove...
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC CLASS A
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
OMV OMV AG
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BP. BP P.L.C.
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BWEFF BW ENERGY LTD
TCF TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Reflections on the UK fiscal regime chan...
• As expected, the rate of the Energy Profits Levy (EPL) will increase from 35% to 38% and the 29% investment allowance introduced with the EPL will be removed. The changes will be effective from 01 November 2024 and run until 31 March 2030. • The government has also signalled that capital allowances (including first year allowances) in relation to the EPL will be reduced, but has said that the extent of this will be established after consultation with stakeholders and published in the 30 Octobe...
Serica Energy: 1 director
A director at Serica Energy bought 306,597 shares at 139p and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/07/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK52 per share: About to commence drilling in EG – The drilling rig has arrived in EG. The drilling campaign is about to commence. It will include two development wells plus an exploration well at the high impact Akeng Deep prospect. Serica Energy (SQZ LN)C: target price of £2.90 per share: RBL redetermination – Reflecting the increased reserves, the borrowing base has been increased from US$...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/06/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: target price of £0.50 per share: Key step towards developing future gas to industry business onshore Morocco – Chariot has signed Heads of Terms with Vivo Energy for the future offtake from the Loukos onshore licence where natural gas has been encountered at Dartois. Up to 3 mmcf/d would be initially sold to the CNG midstream business under a long-term gas sales agreement. Vivo intends to design, fund, construct and...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
ENI ENI S.P.A.
AOI. AFRICA OIL
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
MATD PETRO MATAD
MAY MELBANA ENERGY LIMITED
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
LBE LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
BCE BEACON ENERGY PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Operations on track. High net cash.
• 2023 production to date was 43,781 boe/d. very close to our expectations of 44.3 mboe/d. • Production in June at the Bruce Hub of 25,771 boe/d was particularly strong following the recent Light Well Intervention Vessel campaign. This partially offsets the low production in May at the Triton Hub following a trip of a compressor that shut down production for three weeks (the production at Triton has been restored since then). • A 90 day well intervention campaign at Bruce from mid-July is like...
- Stephane Foucaud
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Initiating Coverage
Serica Energy is a ~US800 mm market cap company with >40 mboe/d production and 140 mmboe of 2P reserves in the UK North Sea. The investment case is about value and generous shareholder distributions. The strategy is to maximize the value of two key producing hubs, depending on the UK’s tax policy, to develop a third one at Buchan Horst and to grow via M&A. Over the last 2 years, the share price has been negatively impacted by the reduction in UK gas prices and fiscal uncertainty. Serica’s divide...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/06/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN) C: target price of £0.50 per share: High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August – The FY23 financials were in line with our forecasts. The high impact Anchois East well is expected to spud in August. A drilling success could increase the size of Anchois to over 1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot). Our overall unrisked NAV for Anchois, including Anchois East Footwall and Anchois East North Flank, is £0.42 p...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/04/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
SOU SOUND ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
I3E I3 ENERGY
RHC ROYAL HELIUM LTD
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
ITH ITHACA ENERGY PLC
TCF TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC. (TCF)
SEAPT NO SEACREST PETROLEO BERMUDA - SEAPT NO
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
LNGE LNG ENERGY GROUP CORP.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth. This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of l...
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ENI ENI S.P.A.
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
EME EMPYREAN ENERGY
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
PMG PARKMEAD GROUP
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
ZPHR CANACOL ENERGY LTD
TETY ZEPHYR ENERGY
CORO TETHYS OIL AB
CRCL CORO ENERGY
AXL. CORCEL
I3E ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
BCOW I3 ENERGY
ITH 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
MEN ITHACA ENERGY PLC
PLSR CN MOLECULAR ENERGIES PLC
ADX PULSAR HELIUM INC.
ADX ENERGY LTD
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/03/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK47 per share: Hibiscus South on stream at 5-6 mbbl/d – The Hibiscus South well has been put in production at a rate of 5-6 mbbl/d. Once stabilized this should take production at Dussafu to ~30 mbbl/d. Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN)C; target price of C$0.80 per share: High Helium concentration at high impact appraisal well – The Jetstream #1 appraisal well at the Topaz helium project in Minnesota en...
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
AOI. AFRICA OIL
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
EOG. ECO ATLANTIC OIL & GAS
BPV BAHAMAS PETROLEUM CO. PLC
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
BLOE BLOCK ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
HE1 HELIUM ONE GLOBAL
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
HHR HARTSHEAD RESOURCES NL
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
IVZ INVICTUS ENERGY
- Daniel Slater
Audio Note: Serica Energy - Scotland site visit review
In this audio note, Zeus’ Dan Slater summarises the recent site visit with Serica Energy in Edinburgh. Recently, we attended a site visit with Serica Energy in Scotland. We toured facilities near Edinburgh into which liquids from the company’s Bruce, Keith, Rhum, Erskine and Columbus assets are received via the Forties pipeline system, processed, and then re-exported to market. Listen to the audio note below, and read the full research here.
- Daniel Slater
Serica Energy (SQZ LN) - Scotland site visit review
Last week we attended a site visit with Serica Energy in Scotland. We toured facilities near Edinburgh into which liquids from the company’s Bruce, Keith, Rhum, Erskine and Columbus assets are received via the Forties pipeline system, processed, and then re-exported to market.
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