reports
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 14.06.2022
AT: Flughafen Wien - Significant hike of FY 22 guidance (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Starting share buyback programme for up to 1% of share capital (positive) AT: STRABAG - Resignation of Peter Krammer became effective as of June 12 (neutral) RO: Medlife - Medlife opens a new clinic in Targu Mures, and expands its regional presence through two acquisitions (positive) RU: Transneft, RusHydro - Government decree provides for RUB 23.3 bn in 2021 dividends from RusHydro and RUB 76 bn from T...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 31.05.2022
MSCI May Index Review - Standard indices (STD) changes: DEL: Raiffeisen Bank Intl.; SmallCap indices (SC) changes: ADD: STRABAG SE, DEL: Zumtobel Oil&Gas: Oil price - EU agreed to ban most of Russia oil imports AT: STRABAG - Double digit output growth and backlog at new high in Q1, FY 22 guidance reiterated (positive) CZ: Moneta Money Bank - PPF and Moneta terminate the acquisition of AirBank group / cancelation of the capital increase and mandatory tender offer by PPF HU: Makro - Ra...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 30.03.2022
AT: FACC - FY 21 results in line with preliminaries, outlook wording confirmed AT: Utilities - Drought likely to affect Q1 22 hydro output (negative) AT: Wienerberger - 0.69% of the capital repurchased so far (neutral) DE: Encavis - Encavis delivers on results and guidance beat (positive) RU: Inter RAO - Not discussing delisting from the Moscow Exchange (positive) RU: RusHydro - Paying agent blocks coupon payment on RUB eurobond over British sanctions (negative) RU: Russia - Minist...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 02.03.2022
STOXX Europe 600 Index review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe AT: Andritz - Andritz received equipment order from Essity in the U.S. (neutral) AT: EVN, OMV - Infrastructure Minister announces new law for gas reserves (neutral) AT: Flughafen Wien - Airport operator confirms FY 22 guidance with Q4 reporting (neutral) AT: OMV - OMV decided not to invest in Achimov IV/V gas field in Russia, involvement in the Nord Stream 2 under review (neutral) AT: RBI - RBI ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CEZ CEZ AS
EVN EVN AG
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
HYDR FEDERAL HYDRO-GENERATING COMPANY - RUSHYDRO PJSC
GAZP GAZPROM PJSC
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 2, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
- Alisa Zakirova
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Sidorova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Olga Sterina
- Research Team
- Rodion Lomivorotov
- Sergey Kolesnikov
- FRM
Debt Markets Today - March 2, 2022. Supply Shock Affecting Prices, Oil...
CIS EUROBOND MARKETRussian sovereign Eurobond quotes continued to fall yesterday, sliding another 12-30 pp to 27-35% of par. The market is still illiquid due to the significant uncertainty related to sanctions. Meanwhile, Ukrainian sovereign Eurobond quotes are in the 32-35% price range.GOVERNMENT DEBTAs was the case on Monday, there was no trading in local government bonds yesterday. Meanwhile, Euroclear and Clearstream announced that their accounts with the National Settlement Depository of Ru...
- Alisa Zakirova
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Sidorova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Igor Rapokhin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Olga Sterina
- Research Team
- Rodion Lomivorotov
- Sergey Kolesnikov
- FRM
Долговые рынки сегодня - 2 марта 2022. Финансовые результаты Полюса и ...
РЫНОК ВНЕШНЕГО ДОЛГА СТРАН СНГВчера котировки российских суверенных еврооблигаций продолжали снижаться, отступив еще на 12-30 п. п. до 27-35% от номинальной стои-мости. На рынке по-прежнему очень низкая ликвидность из-за высокого уровня неопределенности вокруг санкций. В то же время цены суверенных еврооблигаций Украины держались в пределах 32-35% от номинальной стоимости. ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ ЦЕННЫЕ БУМАГИВчера торги рублевыми гособлигациями не проводились, как и в понедельник. В то же время Eurocle...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 2 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
RusHydro - 2021 IFRS Results and Dividend Plans Above Expectations
RusHydro reported a strong set of 2021 IFRS results, which beat our estimates and the consensus. The company plans to pay a record-high DPS of R0.089 for 2021, which was also above our expectations and the consensus. RusHydro's key challenges this year will likely be refinancing more than R80 bln in debt and heavy capex spending.> 2021 numbers above our estimates and consensus. RusHydro's revenues including subsidies grew 7.1% y-o-y to R460.1 bln, 2% and 1% above our forecast and the consensus. ...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - February 28, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - NONRESIDENT SECURITY SALES FROZEN; POSSIBLE RUSSIA-UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS IN FOCUSThe RTS finished the week with a 33% decline to 937 and valuations at levels not seen since 2008 or earlier. This morning, the CBR froze security sales for nonresidents and delayed the opening of stock trading until at least 13:00 Moscow time. Negotiations scheduled between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are the obvious focal point for markets, as well as any other news flow on market restrictions or sa...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 28 февраля 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЗАПРЕТ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ НА ПРОДАЖУ РОССИЙСКИХ ЦЕННЫХ БУМАГ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ МЕЖДУ УКРАИНОЙ И РОССИЕЙИндекс РТС по итогам прошлой недели упал на 33% до 937 пунктов, рыночные оценки достигли уровней, которые не наблюдались как минимум с 2008 года. Сегодня утром Банк России ввел запрет для нерезидентов на продажу российских ценных бумаг и отложил начало торгов на рынке акций до 15:00 мск. В центре внимания сейчас, конечно, переговоры между Россией и Украиной, а ...
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
Russian Utilities - Following Interest Rate Trend
The shares of Russian power-generating companies (gencos) dropped 12% in ruble terms in 2021, underperforming the broader market by 27 pp amid an acceleration in inflation and rise in interest rates in Russia, which dimmed the dividend outlooks and the increased capex risks. Given the depressed current share prices, most of the stocks offer attractive returns. We expect to see investors become a bit more interested in the sector during the dividend season in June-July, but we do not anticipate a...
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Maria Martynova
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
- Sergey Donskoy
CIS Market Daily - January 28, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - SHARPEST GAIN SINCE MARCH 2020 AS INVESTORS WELCOME LACK OF POLITICAL NEWSThe RTS soared 5.7% to almost 1,400 as a lack of worrisome headlines allowed investors to focus back in on Russia's valuations, which have reached record cheap levels. Global markets have been more mixed, with stock markets struggling but cyclicals outperforming. The preference for cyclicals and a decent to bullish backdrop for Russia assets specifically look supportive this morning.STORIES> Polymetal post...
- Anton Chernyshev
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Maria Martynova
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
- Sergey Donskoy
CIS Market Daily - 28 января 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РОССИЙСКИЙ РЫНОК ПОКАЗАЛ САМЫЙ ЗНАЧИТЕЛЬНЫЙ РОСТ С МАРТА 2020 ГОДА НА ФОНЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИХ НОВОСТЕЙИндекс РТС вчера вырос на 5,7% почти до 1 400 пунктов. В отсутствие негативных новостей инвесторы снова сфокусировали внимание на рыночной оценке российских акций, которые подешевели до рекордно низких уровней. На глобальных рынках динамика была разнонаправленной, фондовые рынки испытывали давление, однако цикличные сектора показали опережающую динамику. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть ...
PJSC RUSHYDRO ADR reduced its risk exposure resulting in an upgrade to...
PJSC RUSHYDRO ADR (RU), a company active in the Multiutilities industry, reduced its market risk and raised its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener awarded an improved star rating to the company, which now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars; its market behaviour has improved and can be considered as defensive. theScreener believes that this new assessment merits an overall rating upgrade to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date January 18, 2022, the closing price ...
RusHydro confirmed at BUY, TP RUB 1.01 - All eyes on Zagorskaya-2 and ...
New dividend policy and guaranteed-return projects steady DY close to 10% long term (and already for 21e) and minimize unprofitable investments We estimate NPV of guaranteed-return modernisation investment at around 4% of Market Cap Excl. these investments, FCFY to reach 13% in 2023e and be enough to cover dividend payments The biggest positive short-term trigger is the decision on Zagorskaya-2 which could add >20% to Market Cap BUY confirmed, TP of RUB 1.01
- Alisa Zakirova
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Ekaterina Sidorova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Igor Rapokhin
- Research Team
- Rodion Lomivorotov
Debt Markets Today - November 26, 2021. Russia Economic Monthly, RusHy...
CIS EUROBOND MARKETThe CIS Eurobond market was inactive due to the US holiday. GOVERNMENT DEBTOFZ yields dropped 10-11 bps yesterday, paring back some of what seems to have been an excessive selloff in recent days. An addition to a stronger ruble and improvement in the news backdrop, another catalyst was comments by the CBR's Ksenia Yudaeva, who said that a slowdown in inflation is being seen in November relative to October. Also, given that the ruble is stronger now than at the beginning of the...
- Alisa Zakirova
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Ekaterina Sidorova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Igor Rapokhin
- Research Team
- Rodion Lomivorotov
- Sergey Kolesnikov
- FRM
Долговые рынки сегодня - 26 ноября 2021. Результаты РусГидро за 3К21 п...
РЫНОК ВНЕШНЕГО ДОЛГА СТРАН СНГРынок еврооблигаций региона вчера был малоактивным в связи с выходным днем в США.ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ ЦЕННЫЕ БУМАГИДоходности ОФЗ вчера снизились на 10-11 б. п., отыгрывая избыточное ослабление котировок в последние дни. Помимо укрепления рубля и улучшения новостного фона дополнительным стимулом послужили комментарии первого зампреда ЦБ РФ Ксении Юдаевой. Она сообщила, что регулятор наблюдает замедление инфляции в ноябре по сравнению с октябрем, а влияние курса рубля пок...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 26 ноября 2021
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВЫЙ ШТАММ КОРОНАВИРУСА ИЗ АФРИКИ СПРОВОЦИРОВАЛ ВОЛНУ ПРОДАЖ НА МИРОВЫХ РЫНКАХРынки в США вчера были закрыты в связи с праздником, индекс РТС подрос на 0,3% до 1 666 пунктов, MSCI EM - на 0,1%, MSCI Europe - на 0,5%. Впрочем, сегодня рынки АТР и фьючерсы на мировые фондовые индексы резко снизились после сообщений о новом штамме коронавируса, который появился в Африке. Небольшие объемы торгов из-за выходного дня в США, а также подготовка инвесторов к концу года, вероятно,...
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