AT: Flughafen Wien - Significant hike of FY 22 guidance (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Starting share buyback programme for up to 1% of share capital (positive) AT: STRABAG - Resignation of Peter Krammer became effective as of June 12 (neutral) RO: Medlife - Medlife opens a new clinic in Targu Mures, and expands its regional presence through two acquisitions (positive) RU: Transneft, RusHydro - Government decree provides for RUB 23.3 bn in 2021 dividends from RusHydro and RUB 76 bn from T...
AT: CA Immo - Q1 ahead of expectations, additional valuation effects (positive) AT: EVN - Q2 operating result above expectations, net income affected by goodwill impairment, net guidance confirmed though (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Solid Q1, no new guidance or dividend announcement yet (neutral) AT: UBM Development - Relatively uneventful Q1 with results in line with pre pandemic years HU: OTP - OTP bought 100k of its shares (neutral) PL: CCC - Interview with HalfPrice CEO (neutral) RO: BRD-GSG,...
AT: AMAG - Multi-year order from Ruag Aerostructures (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Radka Doehring appointed as a memeber of the executive board (neutral) AT: Polytec - FY 21 results broadly in line with expectations, no guidance on FY 22 (neutral) CZ: CEZ - CEZ to extend Detmarovice hard coal-fired power plant life byond H1 2023 for security of supply reasons (neutral) PL: PGNiG - Disappointing crude output and lower gas distribution volumes to weigh on Q1 earning (negative) RU: Fertil...
AT: Flughafen Wien - March traffic statistics show sequential improvements (positive) AT: S IMMO - Acquisition of 41.5 k sqm Business Park in Bucharest (neutral) HU: Magyar Telekom - AGM approves HUF 15 bn dividend (neutral) PL: Bank Millennium - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: Bank Pekao - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: LPP - Higher inventories maintained allowing for 4 months of sales (neutral) PL: mBank - Informing about Q1 level of FX mortgage related risk provisio...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: homebuilders critical to alleviating shortage (stays BUY) • 11 bit studios: solid 4Q21 results, with good quality beat vs. both our and market's expectations POSITIVE • Kety: final 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above preliminary forecast POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • PKO BP/Alior Bank: another switch in the management board NEGATIVE • Transelectrica: proposes to dis...
MARKET COMMENT - EQUITIES FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS REMAIN AMID FALLOUT OF "SPECIAL MILITARY OPERATION"EPAM Systems surged 8% and VEON 22%, while Polymetal fell 14% on Friday. The ruble fell 1.6-1.7% both in Moscow and offshore to trade around USD/RUB 104-105. While equities remain frozen, trading of ruble-denominated OFZ sovereign debt will resume today. STORIES> How the balance of payments is likely to evolve amid the crisis> Monetary policy set to be stimulatory for a couple of years> CBR Revi...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГОВЛЯ АКЦИЯМИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНА, ОГРАНИЧЕНИЯ НА ДВИЖЕНИЕ КАПИТАЛА СОХРАНЯЮТСЯБумаги EPAM Systems выросли в пятницу в цене на 8%, VEON - на 22%, Polymetal подешевел на 14%. Рубль в Москве и на зарубежных площадках ослаб на 1,6-1,7% до 104-105 за доллар. Торговля акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему заморожена, но сегодня должны возобновиться торги ОФЗ. НОВОСТИ> Денежно-кредитная политика станет стимулирующей> Перспективы платежного баланса в условиях кризиса> Итоги засе...
EME Equity Market – February 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities bled in February due to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. The MSCI EME Europe Index declined by 38.7% in EUR terms and 38.8% in USD terms. Russian stocks, represented by the MOEX Index, lost the most in February, declining by 34.6% in EUR terms and 30.0% in RUB terms. The Hungarian BUX Index lost 21.8% in EUR terms and 18.2% in HUF terms; while the Polish WIG20 Index declined by 11.7% in EUR and 9.5% in PLN. In Prague, the...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
AT: EVN - Q1 21/22 EBITDA in line, net better than expected, EUR 200-240 mn net income guidance confirmed (neutral) AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI reaches 53.3% stake in IMMOFINANZ (neutral) AT: Rosenbauer - Company intends to increase stake in its American subsidiary (positive) AT: Wienerberger - Divestment of French plastic piping business planned (positive) HR: Ericsson Nikola Tesla - Good performance in Q4 21 at all levels (positive) HR: Hrvatski Telekom - EBITDA margin set to further impr...
NOVATEK OAO (RU), a company active in the Exploration & Production industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the fundamental rating of 2 stars out of 4, as well as the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. However, environmental deterioration penalises the general evaluation, which is downgraded to Neutral. As of the analysis date February 22, 2022, the closing price was USD 160.05 and its expected value was estima...
MARKET COMMENT - GRIM DONBASS HEADLINES, HOPES FOR A PRESIDENTS' SUMMITThe RTS fell 4% on Friday to 1,391 following bearish headlines from southern Russia and eastern Ukraine late in the afternoon. Global markets were also soft, the MSCI ACWI slipping 0.9%. Russia assets are higher early this morning, corresponding with news of a more mixed global environment and hopes for a summit between the Russian and US presidents. STORIES> Sharp escalation in tensions ahead of diplomatic meetings this week...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ПЕССИМИСТИЧНЫЕ СООБЩЕНИЯ О СИТУАЦИИ НА ДОНБАССЕ, НАДЕЖДЫ НА САММИТ ПРЕЗИДЕНТОВ РФ И СШАИндекс РТС в пятницу упал на 4% до 1 391 пункта после появления к вечеру пессимистичных сообщений о ситуации на востоке Украины. Глобальные рынки также снижались, индекс MSCI ACWI отступил на 0,9%. Сегодня утром российские активы растут в цене на фоне сообщений о неоднозначной ситуации на глобальных рынках и надежд на саммит президентов России и США. НОВОСТИ> ВВП России в 2021 году увел...
AT: Rosenbauer - Preliminary FY 21 results in line with reduced guidance and RBIe but weaker than expected margin outlook for FY 22 (negative) AT: Vienna Insurance Group - Headline FY 21 figures to exceed guidance and expectations (positive) HU: MOL - Clean Q4 earnings slightly above consensus, but lower 2022 earnings and sFCF guidance (neutral) RU: Novatek - Capex program is set at RUB 200 bn for 2022e (neutral) RU: Russian Steel - FAS fines should be based on 2020 revenue (positive)
HEADLINES: • Turkcell: 4Q21 results - low-quality NI beat, ambitious FY22E guidance POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 4Q21 results - strong beat, bullish FY22E guidance POSITIVE • MOL: 4Q21 results - EBITDA in line with expectations • SOK Marketler Ticaret: 4Q21 broadly in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kazakhstan macro: political revamp proceeding, but country strategy appears unchanged • Russian banks: rate hike damage assessment • Turkey macro: CBT on hold, as expected • Novatek: 4Q21 conferenc...
MARKET COMMENT - NEW RUSSIA-US DIPLOMATIC MEETING EASES SOME MARKET CONCERNSThe RTS sank 4.9% to 1,450 yesterday, sharply underperforming peers after a series of concerning political headlines in the afternoon. However, the announcement of a meeting next week between the top Russian and US diplomats has helped ease the tensions, and RTS futures are up 1.8% early this morning. The global backdrop has also improved to mixed after a weak day for global stock markets.STORIES> EPFR: Russia sees bette...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВАЯ ЗАПЛАНИРОВАННАЯ ВСТРЕЧА ПРЕДСТАВИТЕЛЕЙ РОССИИ И США НЕСКОЛЬКО УСПОКОИЛА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера снизился на 4,9% до 1 450 пунктов, сильно отстав от других развивающихся рынков после ряда тревожных политических новостей. Однако сообщение о запланированной на следующую неделю встрече российских и американских дипломатов немного сгладило ситуацию, и сегодня утром фьючерсы на индекс РТС прибавили 1,8%. Ситуация на глобальных фондовых рынках также немного улучшилась. НОВОС...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: value and growth (stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: NII recovery delivered as the bank rebuilds its bond portfolio POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 4Q21 results - adjusted EBITDAaL up 8% yoy, 4% above our estimate, 2% above consensus POSITIVE • Aygaz: 4Q21 results review - strong, above the consensus POSITIVE • Novatek: 4Q21 - strong results, in line with the consensus estimates • Tupras: 4Q21 results - big beat for net income on inventory gains • Sistema: may conduct IPO of Binno...
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