In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the impact of the Middle East conflict on our Asian Coverage Universe. In addition, we review the performance of major Asian credit indices and UST curve movements in March 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of ...
Macau’s Mar 26 GGR reached MOP22.6b, up 15% yoy and 10% mom, recovering to 88% of the 2019 level. The figure exceeded market consensus by 4%, supported by an easier base and a strong tailwind following the Chinese New Year holiday. In Feb 26, visitations to Macau increased 14% mom and 33% yoy to 4.2m, up 18% vs 2019 levels. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...
Macau’s Feb 26 GGR reached MOP20.6b, up 4% yoy but down 9% mom, despite benefitting from the nine-day Chinese New Year holiday. Feb 26’s GGR figure missed market consensus by 5%, and recovered to 81% of 2019’s level. According to DSEC, non-gaming per capita visitor spending in 4Q25 showed a sequential improvement, rising 8% qoq to MOP2,104. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
The CNY consumption data exhibited accelerated growth momentum compared with the two Golden Weeks last year, which we view as early signs of a broader consumption recovery. We favour companies benefitting from: a) segments showing initial signals of recovery, such as restaurants; b) exposure to China’s structural consumption growth drivers, particularly in services and experiential consumption; c) potential policy tailwinds; and d) overseas growth. Our preferred stocks include Anta, CR Beer, CTG...
Macau’s Jan 26 GGR reached MOP22.6b, up 8% mom and 24% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level. The Jan 26 GGR number beat market consensus by 5%. Macau visitations for the full-year increased 15% yoy to 40.1m, up 2% vs 2019's level, setting a new historical high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in January 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
Highlights In 4Q25, normalised property EBITDA reached US$582m (-3% qoq, -2% yoy), and normalised property EBITDA was at 28.9% (-2.6ppt qoq, -3.9ppt yoy). Management attributed the qoq decline in normalised property EBITDA margin to higher reinvestments, increased operating expenses, and a lower non-rolling chip win. Looking ahead, management considers the low-30s to be a comfortable margin level for the business. The potential margin improvement may come from the recovery of the base mass s...
In our inaugural Asia Monthly for 2026, we share our regional credit outlook for the year, with a focus on China, Macau, India and Indonesia. We also provide a review of 2025, in which we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements for the year. In addition, we provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases in December 2025, summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well a...
Macau’s Dec 25 GGR reached MOP20.9b, down 1% mom but up 15% yoy. The Dec 25 GGR number recovered to 91% of 2019’s level, missing market consensus by 3% and reflecting a relatively subdued year-end performance. For 2025, GGR reached MOP247.4b, rising 9% yoy and recovering to 85% of 2019’s level. Looking ahead to 2026, we expect GGR to reach MOP258.6b, up 5% yoy and recovering to 88% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Top Stories Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary, pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to an uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers. ...
Greater China Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers....
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% of 2019’s level. For 11M25, GGR reached MOP 226.5b, up 9% yoy and recovering to 84% of 2019’s level. In Oct 25, visitations to Macau increased 25% mom and 11% yoy to 3.5m, up 8% vs 2019’s level. Both hotel occupancy rates and average room rates rose mom in Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
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