reports
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
Pegasus Airlines: another good year (stays HOLD)
We have increased our 12M price target (PT) for Pegasus to TRY 248/share, while maintaining our HOLD rating. After two years of stellar margins, 2024E is shaping up to be another good year. We expect Pegasus to fly 13% more ASK, while keeping its RASK flat yoy (lower fares offset by a higher load factor). Pegasus remains one of the lowest unit cost producers globally. Its efficiency is underpinned by its modern neo fleet, which is not affected by the P&W GTF engine issue – an important competiti...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALARABIA AB; NOVAL GA; MOH GA; CAR PW; LAMDA GA; MBK PW; C...
HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...
- Dmitry Vlasov
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to...
We have downgraded our rating for Al Arabia to HOLD (from Buy), with an updated price target (PT) of SAR 214, which offers 7% upside. We still like Al Arabia for its market-leading position, strong growth prospects, position as an Outdoor Advertising champion, and as one of the beneficiaries of the Vision 2030 programme. We note, however, that the upcoming revenue growth will be slower than originally expected, with more pressure on the gross margin, while new projects are yet to be announced. T...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GEV CP; APR PW; CCC PW; NRP NA; KTY PW
HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: 2Q24 EBITDA down 12% yoy on one-off costs NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q24 slightly ahead of expectations NEUTRAL • CCC: change of Modivo CEO NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: potential acquisition of Magnolia Park • Kety: 3Q24E preview – stable EBITDA (+4% yoy) expected (due on 19 September)
MBank S.A.: 1 director
A director at MBank S.A. sold 200 shares at 630.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; LAMDA GA; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCH LN
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (stays HOLD) • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 September) • Bank of Cyprus: AGM approves delisting from the LSE, and relisting on the ATHEX POSITIVE • Short News (CEZ, RICHT)
Moody’s upgrades our rating to investment grade
Moody’s upgrades our rating to investment grade ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Sept. 13, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Moody’s has upgraded its long-term deposit ratings to investment grade Baa3 from Ba1 with a stable outlook for Kaspi Bank, a core part of Kaspi.kz’s Fintech Platform. Moody’s cited sound profitability, liquidity and the resilience of Kaspi.kz’s proven business model including Fintech, Payments and Marketplace Platforms. According to Moody’s: Kaspi.kz’s proven business model has demonstrated resilience throughout the economic cycle.Kaspi.kz has sound fundamentals, such as profitability,...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA; CZG CP; PKN PW; VGO PW; KMGZ KZ; PCO PW
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 1H24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • Orlen: discussing possible deals for Grupa Azoty’s polyolefins business NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: signs a conditional agreement with the EIB for the financing of the HyperPIC project NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: begins construction of a polyethylene complex NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 4Q24E trading update preview (due on 26 September)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ASELS TI; CAR PW; CAR PW; PCF PW; SPL PW; KAP LI
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: WP boosts media margins (stays BUY) • Aselsan: 2Q24 IAS 29 results – strong execution POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q24 EBITDA 10% above our forecast and 5% above the consensus, on higher margin POSITIVE • Inter Cars: August sales growth at 8% yoy, in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: new work-for-hire agreement with Krafton; PLN 7m write-off on Project Red POSITIVE • Santander Bank Polska: strategic investor wants to reduce its stake • Kazatomprom: obtains...
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Wirtualna Polska: WP boosts media margins (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY rating on Wirtualna Polska (WPL) and lift our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 133.2/share (from PLN 131.5), implying c.44% upside. WPL’s share price has declined 22% ytd, due mainly to the Media segment’s growth stalling, even despite the relatively solid market environment. It seems that, finally, the group’s management has recognised the reasons behind the issues, and has implemented a series of initiatives aimed at boosting the growth and profitability of the segment, includi...
- Adrian Kowollik
- Egor Fedorov
- Maureen Schuller
CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
- Egor Fedorov
- Maureen Schuller
CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CDR PW; 11B PW; MOL HB; ALE PW
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: expensive after the rally (downgraded to SELL) • 11 bit studios: interview with CEO – “very satisfied” with Frostpunk 2 pre-orders POSITIVE • MOL: secures new agreements for crude supply via Druzhba POSITIVE • Allegro: 2Q24E results preview – 28% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 19 September) • Short News (CEZ)
- Maria Mickiewicz
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
CD Projekt: expensive after the rally (downgraded to SELL)
We have downgraded CD Projekt (CDR) to SELL (from Hold), on valuation grounds. We have revised up our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 157 (from PLN 120), mostly to reflect our increased price point assumption for AAA games in the mid-term, corresponding with rising games’ development budgets. We also implement slightly more optimistic assumptions for the back-catalogue sales and the Cyberpunk sequel (Orion) sales volumes. At the same time, we note that CDR’s share price has rallied by 50% since our...
Med Life SA: 1 director
A director at Med Life SA sold 1,500,000 shares at 5.710RON and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DUNAHOUS HB; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; HUG PW; APR PW; CD...
HEADLINES: • Duna House: loan ranger, with dividends to boot (BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 September) • Huuuge Games: 2Q24 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to just 7% yoy NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: class action lawsuit in the US regarding technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: termination of credit facilities at Bank Pekao NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: delivers first part of FTTH network in Spain NEUTRAL
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
Duna House: loan ranger, with dividends to boot (BUY)
In this report, we update our forecasts for Duna House (DH), a financial intermediary, a real estate broker and a developer. We set our new price target (PT) at HUF 1,189/share, implying 35% upside, and our rating at BUY (vs. no rating or PT previously). DH works with a network of over 4k entrepreneurs in Italy, Poland, Hungary, Poland, and the Czech Republic, across a network of over 240, mostly franchise, offices. Following its 2022 entry into Italy, financial intermediation accounts for aroun...
CEZ: 4 directors
Four Directors at CEZ sold 25,000 shares at between 855.600CZK and 862.290CZK. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
- Krisztian Karikas
Growth from Italy resulted in solid Q2 results
Duna House continued the strong performance in the second quarter of this year. Revenues increased by 34% YoY, cleaned core EBITDA was up by 47% YoY and cleaned core net profit came 17% higher YoY mainly supported by the continued growth in loan intermediation thanks to the awakening Italian market and the solid growth in the Hungarian segment.
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