reports
- Egor Fedorov
- James Wilson
EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly
After some relief for markets on the data front this week, a period of quiet in terms of macro news should offer a further window for new supply to come from EM issuers ahead of an expected summer lull. Spread levels remain well anchored and EM credit should continue to see robust demand from yield-seeking investors.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; MTELEKOM HB; PBK RO; GEV CP; MBR PW; DAT PW; IGN1L...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...
HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 14 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de transición en las bolsas En una sesión sin referencias macroeconómicas y con la campaña de resultados com...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 14 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A transition session for stock markets In a session without macroeconomic references and with the earnings season being the only catalyst, most European indices (with t...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...
HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...
MOL MOL NYRT
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
4IG 4IG NYRT
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Egor Fedorov
- James Wilson
- Oleksiy Soroka
- CFA
EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly
Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...
KRU KRUK S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
CTPNV CTP NV
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; GEV CP; DAT PW; WPL PW; GPP PW; ACP PW
HEADLINES: • mBank: revises up 1Q24 FX mortgage saga costs NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q23 results broadly in line; new contracts from Poland and Sweden NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 1Q24 results – sales up 100% yoy, to PLN 6.43m POSITIVE • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 1Q24 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: real users in April 2024 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24E preview – 9% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 21 May) • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q24E results preview – flat y...
- Jerôme Bodin
LR LEGRAND SA
FRA FRAPORT AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ORSTED ORSTED
RAA RATIONAL AG
INGA ING GROEP NV
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
MRNA MODERNA INC.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
LR LEGRAND SA
FRA FRAPORT AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ORSTED ORSTED
RAA RATIONAL AG
INGA ING GROEP NV
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
MRNA MODERNA INC.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Santander : A robust start to 2024 and guidance confirmed
>Outperform rating maintained - Target price raised to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4) - Santander’s Q1 2024 results underpin our Outperform rating and lead us to increase our net profit estimates (+2% on average over the period 2024-2026e), due to a slightly more favourable stance on the top line trend. Our target price has thus been lifted to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4). The trend in the group’s operating performances remains broadly solid with the validation of the main financial targets se...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Santander : Début d’année 2024 solide & guidances confirmées
>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €) - Les résultats T1 2024 de Santander viennent conforter notre opinion Surperformance et nous amènent à rehausser nos estimations de RN (+2% en moyenne sur la période 2024-26), en raison d’un biais un peu plus favorable notamment sur l’évolution de la topline. Notre OC est en conséquence porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €). L’évolution des performances opérationnelles du groupe reste globalement solides avec une vali...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Carole Braudeau
Credit Morning 04/30/2024
Iliad Holding plans to issue new bonds to fund the investment in Tele2 and a tender on Iliad Holding 2026 notesIsabel Marant: well preserved liquidity but further deep fall in the wholesale order bookVerisure markets new bonds with two special covenants linked to a potential IPOBUT/Mobilux: new bond offering with the inclusion of Conforama into the scope>...
- Carole Braudeau
Morning Crédit 30/04/2024
Isabel Marant : liquidité supérieure aux attentes mais nouvelle chute du carnet de commandesBUT/Mobilux : Nouvelle émission obligataire avec intégration de Conforama dans le périmètreIliad Holding compte émettre des de nouvelles obligations pour financer l’investissement dans Tele2 et un tender sur la souche Iliad Holding 2026Verisure commercialise des nouvelles obligations avec deux covenants spéciaux liés à une potentielle IPO>...
- Javier Esteban
- Javier Esteban
SANTANDER: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23: NII: € 11.983 Bn (+17.7% vs. +11.5% BS(e) and +12.6% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.380 Bn (+10.4% vs. +8.4% BS(e) and +8.5% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.833 Bn (+13.4% vs. +10.5% BS(e) and +10.8% consensus); Net Profit: € 2.852 Bn (+10.9% vs. +12.2% BS(e) and 12.3% consensus). 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23: NII: € 11.983 Bn (+7.7% vs. +2.1% BS(e) and +3.1% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.380 Bn (+5.7% vs. +3.8% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.833 Bn (+9.2% vs. +6.4...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...
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