HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: the art of the meal (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Diagnostyka: strong 4Q24, in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q25 a little below 1Q25E expectations, but valuation (1Q25 P/BV at 1.2x) still very low NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q25 results almost in line with expectations, ROE of 18% fully priced in by 1Q25 P/BV of 2.2x NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1Q25 sales +31% yoy, to EUR 1.5bn, in line NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: strategy update, expands pipeline to...
The recent announcement of the application of trade tariffs by the Trump administration led to a sharp correction in oil prices amidst fears of an economic slowdown as a result of a full-blown trade war. We are adopting a more cautious scenario, with oil prices now expected to reach $ 67/b for 2025, $ 65/b for 2026 and $ 67/b in the longer term. Our 2025-2030 capex scenario has been lowered by 5% and our EPS expectations by 13% on average over 2025-2027, whilst our target prices have been lowere...
La récente annonce de mise en place de droits de douanes par l’administration Trump a entraîné une vive correction des cours du pétrole sur fond de crainte de ralentissement économique à la suite d’une véritable guerre commerciale. Nous adoptons un scenario plus prudent avec un baril désormais attendu respectivement à 67 $ sur2025, 65 $ 2026 et 67 $ sur le LT. Notre scénario de Capex 2025/30 a été abaissé de 5% et nos attentes de BPA de 13% en moyenne sur 2025/27 et nos OC de 10%. Nous privilégi...
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