A director at Quest For Growth NV bought 17,021 shares at 4.510EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
We stick to our selection : No changes in this February update of our Dynamic Top Pick List. The 13 names are : ABN Amro, Ackermans & van Haaren, Bekaert, D'Ieteren, EVS Broadcast Equipment, Fagron, Fugro, Gimv, Melexis, Shurgard, Sofina, Warehouses De Pauw and Xior. So we continue with 7 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks in our Dynamic Top Pick List with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight, as well as Real-estate that should benefit ...
Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de « safe haven » et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaiss...
An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...
The call started with a pre-recorded message from the CEO and also added a section on the macro situation. At the 3Q24, the company explained that reletting had slowed. Now this situation has stabilised and the retention rate has returned to normal levels. The rental market is recovering, but mainly for smaller units. The conference call also zoomed in on the lease break in Timisoara (ROM) that added 11m to the GRI, but also cut the pre-let level significantly. The project is still in developmen...
EPRA EPS FY24 came above our expectation at EUR 1.50 vs. 1.45 exp. and guidance of 1.47. The difference is largely explained by a +0.03 impact from a lease-break fee in Romania. Also higher capitalised interest as the pipeline grew. The 7.1% EPRA EPS yoy growth is still impressive as its average share count increased by 8%. WDP guided EPRA EPS25 to 1.53, slightly above our 1.52 estimate. The “Blend27” strategy was repeated with a guidance of 1.70 EPRA EPS by FY27. Current development pipeline st...
We revise our Corbion forecasts to account for the strength of the US dollar. Largely as a result of Corbion's c.80% exposure to the greenback, our 2025F and 2026F EBITDA forecasts rise by 6.6% and 6.0% respectively. Our EPS forecasts rise by a greater amount (c.12-13%) as we have also trimmed our depreciation charge. Although peer group valuations have declined since our last report, our 12-month target price rises from €15.00 to €17.00. However, we remain cautious on 4Q24 results as we believe...
With an improving macroeconomic outlook and companies trading at appealing multiples, we are positive on the Benelux real estate sector (current discount to 2024F NAV of 25.6% vs average 2019-23 premium of 4% for our coverage universe). We believe the transaction market is set to reopen as companies step out of defensive mode with valuations stabilising and balance sheets in order. Following some first meaningful deals seen in 4Q24, we expect more to come. During 2025, we expect the attention to...
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