Two Directors at Tencent Holdings Limited sold 37,000 shares at between 509.080HKD and 518.500HKD. The significance rating of the trade was 99/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 1Q25 top-line results that were above consensus and our expectations. Gaming could remain resilient partly driven by evergreen titles such as HoK and Peacekeeper Elite and newly launched games such as Delta Force. Ads could also continue to outperform industry growth partly driven by video accounts. We maintain our PT at HKD650. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent’s 1Q25 results came in higher than expectations. Revenue grew 13% yoy to Rmb180b, 3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 55.8%, outpacing consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18% yoy to Rmb69.3b, while non-IFRS operating margins expanded 2ppt yoy to 38.5% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 25% yoy, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$650.00.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand weakens in April. Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$521.00/Target: HK$650.00): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust games and AI-powered ad-tech. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. MALAYSIA Results Sunway REIT (SREIT MK/BUY/RM1.93/Target: RM2.05): 1Q25: Results in line. Looking ahead, the full reopening of Sunway Carnival Mall Phase 2 and AEON Seri Manjung acquisition are e...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply April's M1 growth moderated to 1.5% yoy (-0.1ppt), falling short of consensus’ 3.2% yoy, while M2 jumped to 8.0% yoy (+1ppt). This was likely due to base effects, since outstanding bank loans grew only 7.2% yoy (-0.2ppt). In contrast, outstanding TSF growth was strong at 8.7% yoy (+0.3ppt). However, new bank loans and new TSF fell to Rmb0.28t and Rmb1.16t respectively, missing expectations of Rmb0.69t and Rmb1.40t. Looking ahead, credit demand may pick up ...
We expect to see an encouraging monetisation momentum given the anticipation of high-quality game releases by online game companies in 2025. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
What’s New: As we enter the 6th year into the launch (and more than 2 years into the introduction of feed ads) of Video Accounts (VA), we are now at an inflection point where revenues are no longer just dependent on advertising alone. We see a clear runway for Tencent to be a formidable competitor in e-commerce, driving not only material multiples expansion but also upside to OP. Introductions of new ad formats could be a key driver for advertising revenues in the near term, while we see continu...
The US market has been good to Japanese game developers, so far, in 2025. Pelham Smithers updates us on what is performing well in the charts and what implications it has for the upcoming earnings season. Several companies have seen their shares rise April-to-date, so the FY25 outlook will be closely watched.
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
Seeing great opportunities in AI development, major China cloud hyperscalers are significantly lifting their AI investment in 2025. With the launch of Manus, we are more optimistic about the accelerating monetisation capabilities of AI agents and applications through API integration and tool utilisation, which benefit cloud hyperscalers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 4Q24 results that were above consensus and our expectations. Tencent plans to step up investments in AI where capex could reach low-teens percentage of revs in 2025. We up our PT from HKD530 to HKD600 on multiples rerating related to AI. Our updated PT of HKD600 implies a 22.1x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent’s 4Q24 results are largely within expectations. Revenue grew 11% yoy to Rmb172.4b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 52.6%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 21% yoy to Rmb59.5b, while non-IFRS operating margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 34.5% on a positive shift in the revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 33% yoy, beating consensus estimates by 8%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$645.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80) Anta’s 2024 revenue beat estimates, but core profit was in line. While slightly revising the Anta brand’s sales target to a high single digit, management lowered Fila’s sales target to a mid single digit and aims to maintain operating margin stable at 25%, given: a) the increasing contribution of online and outlets channels with deeper discounts, and b) the need for investments in product innovations to gain market sha...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...
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