A director at Tencent Holdings Limited sold 4,427 shares at 401.025HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
With a disappointing Q3, 2024 is proving to be a disappointment for Nexon, with revenues and profits not much improved from 2023 despite the augmented content. However, if earnings haven’t increased this year, neither has the share price, and that is really the only saving grace about this performance, which perhaps suggests that the lacklustre performance is now in the price.
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 3Q24 top-line results that were largely in line with consensus and our expectations. Online gaming (domestic and international) and payments could accelerate, while ads could decelerate in 4Q partly due to tougher comps and continued weakness in brand ads. Margins could continue to improve amid a shift to high-quality revenues and continued cost controls. We maintain our PT at HKD530. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent reported a solid earnings beat for 3Q24. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb167.2b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 4ppt yoy to 53.1%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.6% yoy to Rmb61.3b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 3.2ppt yoy to 36.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 36% yoy, beating consensus estimates by 10%. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$570.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00) Tencent reported a solid earnings beat for 3Q24. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb167.2b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 4ppt yoy to 53.1%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.6% yoy to Rmb61.3b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 3.2ppt yoy to 36.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 36% yoy, beating consensus estimates by 10%. M...
GREATER CHINA Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00): 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; mini shop and potential blockbuster as key catalysts. INDONESIA Results Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp835/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q24: NPAT up 13.7% yoy; slightly above consensus expectations. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.44/Target: RM0.70): 1H24: Positively surprises on project cost claims. Marine segment still weakened by competi...
Lately, internet companies convened their respective AI conferences, unveiling a wide range of upgraded AI products that showcase their AI infrastructure development and AI monetisation potential. We opine that the prevailing trend in adtech upgrades focuses on enhancing marketing efficiency and driving GMV growth, resulting in monetisation improvement. We remain optimistic in view of the favourable regulatory environment and industry development. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Hong Kong Developers And Landlords Top developer leads strong sales rebound in Oct 24; landlords continue to face challenges from GBA integration. Sector Internet - China Encouraging monetisation visibility from adtech and LLM upgrades. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$27.30/Target: HK$31.70) 3Q24 results preview: Robust growth in IoT se...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Oct 24: Our picks are NCKL, BBTN, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Gearing Up For The Reporting Season: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Oct 24. Nov 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, Top Glove, VSI and Yinson...
The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
What’s New: We lower our 3Q24 top line estimates as macro remains challenging in the quarter which may impact segments such as ads and fintech services. Despite the downward adjustments in near-term estimates, we up our PT from HKD450 to HKD530 partly due to potential rerating based on recent stimulus measures. Our updated PT of HKD530 implies 19.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
The HSI and MSCI China surged 17.5% and 23.1% mom respectively in September, buoyed by the PBOC’s policy easing and supportive statements from the Politburo meeting. Looking ahead, we are keeping beneficiaries of an improved domestic consumption outlook in our stock picks and adding CATL, Geely and Plover Bay.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls: Adding CATL, Geely and Plover Bay to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Defensive Stance Worked In Sep 24: Our picks are ASII, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: A Variety of Event Drivers: Our Alpha Picks outperforms as hoped. Oct 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, Sime Darby, VSI and Yinson. SINGAPORE Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperforming ...
2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
The MSCI China rose 0.8% in August, trailing the HSI’s 3.7%, as the former was weighed by the weaker performance of utilities, materials and consumer staples. Looking ahead, we opine that the Fed rate cut in Sep 24 should be priced in and we do not expect ratesensitive sectors to outperform. We are adding AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and The United Laboratories to our BUY list. We remain cautious on the EV sector, adding Li Auto to our SELL list.
In our base case, we expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024 due to uncertainties over the duration of economic adjustment. Upside risk comes from the start of the Fed’s easing cycle as it opens the way for further monetary easing in China. But this should be complemented by demand-side policies for greater impact. In the meantime, we have a barbell strategy, preferring TMT, tech hardware and defensives like banks, communication services and utilities. Pricing in slowe...
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