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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Committed partners of progress in a consolidating industry. Arcadis: No small beer. Kinepolis: Two new rented cinemas in Spanish commercial centres. Vonovia: Completing Deutsche Wohnen acquisition

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

IBA: Actinium JV Pantera valued at €280m, IBA 31% stake post money. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex August box office revenue at 119% of 2019 level. NEPI Rockcastle: Interim dividend methodology. Staffing: Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 4Q24 - US, NL better

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Shurgard Big add-on acquisition in Germany

Shurgard announced the acquisition of Prime Self-Storage in Germany for EUR 100.0m (asset deal) that will add 24 kSqm at 7% yield. In our recent company note, we highlighted that additional M&A would continue during the Lock'nStore integration period till 2026. However, we counted on NL and FR for additions as GE already absorbed the Top Box's (Oct. 23) and the Pickens portfolio (Mar. 24). Now, SHUR reinforces its nr2 position in GE and will achieve the top spot by 2026 at the latest. Myplace...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ING Benelux Conference London: Aalberts, Arcadis, Azelis, Barco, Basic-Fit, Brunel International, DEME Group, Euronext, Fagron, Heijmans, Kinepolis, Lotus Bakeries, Melexis, Ontex, Randstad, Recticel, SBM Offshore, TKH Group, Van Lanschot Kempen Other company stories - OCI: Divestment of Methanol to Methanex for US$2.05bn, Staffing: US August temp volumes marginally better trend; NFP jobs miss

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September 2024 –Cofinimmo & Kinepolis in;...

In this September update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we make 4 changes. •We include Cofinimmo in our Dynamic Top Pick List after our recent upgrade from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from € 320m to € 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asse...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: August US/Canada box office 6% up vs pre covid, France attendance at 89%

Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Shurgard Model update as LnS integration kicks off

One can't bake an omelette without breaking eggs. Shurgard aims to be a market leader in each of its markets and cracking the UK will take some pain. We believe the relative high valuation in the past was justified as SHUR delivered consistent above market growth from its platform through its development pipeline. Market share and occupancy% are 2 important levers for a platform's profitability. In this note, we integrated the Lock'nStore (LnS) pipeline into our model. The own developments and ...

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Kinepolis/1H24 postview, model update/BUY

We fine-tune our model post 1H24, leaving our target price unchanged. While the short-term outlook is uncertain, the stock is in our view pricing in no recovery in attendance, at 70% of pre Covid levels, achieved in 2023, and no M&A. We still see an attractive upside/downside risk for patient investors, thanks to content normalisation and a related restart in material M&A deals.

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

EVS/Earning back its growth credentials/BUY

After weak 1Q orders, the stock lost 13% and did not recover post 2Q, despite the guidance increase, very strong 2Q orders (2x 1Q24) and pipeline, +44% YoY, on new product ViaMap taking off. We see an attractive entry point into a mid-high single digit growth story that deserves a rerating, trading at 7x EV/EBIT, 10% FCF yield, with a solid track record of management beating its guidance. EVS transforms from a one trick pony, the replacement cycle of XT servers, into a provider of digital workfl...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: Cancelled sUBScription. Sif Group: Preview - first new line open for business. UCB: Divestment deal for mature products portfolio in China

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB FIRST LOOK: $ 680m divestiture of mature assets in China

UCB divests its mature product portfolio in neurology (Keppra, Vimpat, Neupro) and allergy (Zyrtec, Xyzal) in China to CBC Group and Mubadala Investment Company for $ 680m. The divestment will create a new leading neurology company that operates at scale in China, as UCB's strategy for the country evolves toward a stronger focus on innovation and partnerships. We deem the transaction as a logical route forward in China at a seemingly fair price and reiterate our € 161 TP and Hold rating.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: a story of core vs non-core. Alfen: Arranges 3Q waiver ahead of 4Q strategic update and restructuring plan. Deceuninck: Strong beat on EBITDA, driven by Turkey. Kinepolis: EBITDAL miss on operating leverage, cash flow in line. Van Lanschot Kempen: Strong 1H24 results

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Kinepolis Group Hollywood strike weighed a little more than expected o...

Hollywood strike weighed a little more than we expected on Kinepolis' 1H24 visitor numbers (-16.7% y/y at 14m), but Kinepolis Group highlighted that line-up for the rest of the year is promising. We updated our model and lower our Target Price from € 53 to € 50 as Kinepolis had, as expected, a challenging first half of the year, with even fewer visitors than we expected due to a poor blockbuster offering. Recall that the long strike in 2023 in Hollywood prevented a return to the rich film off...

 PRESS RELEASE

Hollywood strike weighs on Kinepolis’ visitor numbers in first half of...

Hollywood strike weighs on Kinepolis’ visitor numbers in first half of 2024, but line-up for the rest of the year is promising Hollywood strike weighs on Kinepolis’ visitor numbers in first half of 2024, but line-up for the rest of the year is promising Regulatory release 22 August 2024, 7:00 am CET Kinepolis had a challenging first half of the year, as expected, with fewer visitors due to a poor blockbuster offering. Last year's long strike in Hollywood prevented a return to the rich film offering from before the pandemic, but improvement is heralded. Since June, a turnaround has begun ...

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