Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
Seguimos viendo catalizadores. Nuestra favorita es Ferrovial. A pesar de un entorno de crecimiento económico limitado e inflación a la baja, seguimos viendo catalizadores. Ferrovial (P.O. 65,0 euros/acc; +13% potencial) es nuestra favorita por las favorables perspectivas de sus Managed Lanes y 407ETR (especialmente a nivel de tarifas), su mayor sensibilidad a tipos y mejor posicionamiento de cara a la licitación de Managed Lanes. En Sacyr (P.O. 4,60 euros/acc; +15% potencial) estamos positivos p...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ARCELORMITTAL, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER, SECTOR AUTOPISTAS. EUROPA: ASML, BNP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Estabilización de los mercados El Ibex no tiene techo Jornada positiva en las bolsas europeas de la mano de los resultad...
NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELORMITTAL, HIGHWAY SECTOR, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex continues to climb It was a positive session for European stock markets thanks to business results and despite mounting tension in Iran and the drops in the technology sector. In the STOXX 600, Chemi...
Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...
For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...
Notre 29ième Forum vient de se dérouler (8 et 9 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 222 sociétés. L’édition 2026 de ce Forum a accueilli près de 500 investisseurs, travaillant pour environ 200 institutions de 13 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 300 investors meetings. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.
We hosted our 29th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 8 and 9 January 2026. In total, 220 companies presented over the two days. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on Day 2, in addition to Day 1 feedback (Link to Day 1 feedback). Key positive companies were Corbion, DEME, Elia Group, Knorr Bremse, Sulzer, Séché Environnement, Fraport, Vallourec and TUI. More cautious companies were Arkema, Fastned, INWIT, Manitou, Roche Bobois, Téléperformance, and Colonial SFL. T...
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, SACYR. Ibex continues at record-setting pace It was a mixed session on European stock markets, where geopolitical tensions kept markets cautious. In the STOXX 600, Consumer Goods and Food led the gains, whereas Technology (after rising more than 7.0% YtD) and Energy ended with the biggest corrections. On the macro side, in the euro zone December’s economic confidence index fell unexpectedly due to worse retail business expectations. Meanwhile, November’s unemployment ra...
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