HEADLINES: • European Oil and Gas Monthly: February 2026 – trouble brewing in Hormuz • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary – the Tisza policy programme • cyber_Folks: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 72% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Shoper: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 14% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 3% above our expectations POSITIVE • Vercom: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 25% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: outlook imp...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 results – operational recovery masked by higher tax expenses NEUTRAL • PGE: recognises deferred tax asset of c.PLN 2bn in the Conventional Generation Segment POSITIVE • Tauron: PLN 392m positive impact from impairment reversal in stand-alone accounts; no impact on consolidated results NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk 2077 available on Xbox Game Pass on 10 March POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing opex POSITIVE • GEK Terna: surpr...
HEADLINES: • Synektik: healthcare play, with multiple tailwinds (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EEMEA macro: early takes on the Iran conflict • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 21.21%, while WP TV at 0.51% in February 2026 NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: EUR 4m order for Spanish Guardia Civil POSITIVE • Richter: acquires WHC discovery portfolio of Celmatix NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: acquisition of six minority stakes and sale of stake in ...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...
We maintain our positive stance on the Turkish food retailers and expect 2026E to be a transition year. As the operating environment is likely to remain highly challenging, with intense competition and fewer tailwinds against revenues from inflation, we believe that food retailers will pursue revenue growth strategies without diluting their gross margins, and manage their operating costs effectively, necessitating resilient and efficient business strategies. We believe that food retailers with l...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 4Q25 – low LTV, high ROE POSITIVE • Kruk: issues preliminary 2025 net profit, almost in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: main shareholders (Mr. Solorz's heir) want to participate in next nuclear power project NEGATIVE • Dino Polska: 4Q25E preview – 3% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 4Q25 preliminary results – adjusted EBITDA up 7% yoy, 6% below our estimate NEGATIVE • BIM: BoD decides to increase the paid-...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 4Q25 trading update - strong margin beat POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: signed a contract for turbine delivery in Dukovany NEUTRAL • MOL: asks for crude oil from the Strategic Reserve NEGATIVE • MOL: 4Q25E – results preview (due on 20 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron signs concession for four new offshore E&P blocks NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: proposes distribution of TRY 3.64 DPS NEUTRAL
Buy on both Türk Telekom and Turkcell; valuation discounts remain compelling, but FCF is the swing factor: On our 2026 estimates, Türk Telekom trades at 3.5x EV/EBITDA (c.30% discount to EM peers) while Turkcell trades at 3.3x EV/EBITDA (c.34% discount). For reference, we calculate 2026 P/E of 8.9x for Türk Telekom and 10.8x for Turkcell, implying 22% and 5% discounts respectively to EM peers; however, we do not view P/E as a primary valuation metric at this stage, given both companies are in an...
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • Polish banks: CJEU rules on WIBOR case, in line with the General Attorney's opinion, issued on 11 September 2025 NEUTRAL • DataWalk: issues shares worth PLN 116.3m POSITIVE • Allegro: changes in MOV are negative for lockers NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 2026-29 incentive programme net profit condition set at PLN 5.0bn NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 4Q25E preview – 11% yoy organic net profit growth expected (due on 31 March) • OPAP: Al...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
A director at Greek Organisation Of Football Prognostics S.A. sold 1,214,865 shares at 18.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direc...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
BRD-GSG is proposing a 50% dividend payout ratio from its 2025 net profit, below the 60% we assumed back in 2025 and implying a c.18% lower DPS for 2025 than we expected (RON 1.11 vs. RON 1.36). At the current price levels, this implies a 3.8% dividend yield. This proposal is subject to approval at the GSM, to be held on 29 April.
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
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