HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: cementing its leadership (BUY - transfer of coverage) • 11 bit studios: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA above our expectations, headlines hit by substantial write-offs POSITIVE • PGE: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Tauron: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q25 sales up 39% yoy, to PLN 22.1m POSITIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market up by a strong 15% yoy in 2M25 POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: signs supply agreement with CE...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 4Q24 results spot on prelims NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 April) • Bank of Cyprus: to acquire Ethniki Insurance Cyprus POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: to acquire Microinvest in Moldova NEUTRAL
Regulated electricity tariffs have been revised effective April 5, 2025: Residential tariffs have increased by 25.0% m/m, while industrial tariffs rose by 10.0% m/m. Tariffs for agricultural use have been adjusted upward by 12.4% m/m, as per tariffs prepared by the Energy Market Regulatory Authority (EMRA) and published in the Official Gazette. These tariff revisions are likely to remain in effect for a standard three-month period. Key details and implications are as follows: • Additionally, the...
HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
Shares' 20% decline in USD offers a better value proposition despite headwinds: Tupras remains our preferred relative pick within the Turkish commodity-based companies under our coverage, while with a Hold rating on a 12M horizon due to high return threshold set by risk free investment vehicles. Over the past 3M and 12M, Tupras shares have declined by 9% and 19% in USD, respectively. This has been driven by heightened domestic investor aversion to FX-earning companies amid the strength of the Tu...
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