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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cellnex vs. Telefonica Cellnex (Buy, €34, +32%) Telefonica (Reduce, ...

On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

Cellnex (Buy, €34, +34%) Inwit (Buy, €11.8, +56%) Both upgraded to BU...

Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, GREENING, REPSOL, TALGO. The Fed continues to underpin stock markets The Fed’s dovish message underpinned the weekly gains of stock markets, conveying confidence on lower rates in 2026 and higher liquidity with the Fed’s short-term asset purchase. This led the Ibex to climb above 17,000 points. In the STOXX 600, Banks and Insurance, closely followed by Travel&Leisure, led the gains whereas Autos and Real Estate were the only sectors ending with drops. On the macro side,...

Research Department
  • Research Department
SAN SANOFI
REP REPSOL SA ... (+5)

INFORME DIARIO 15 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GREENING, REPSOL, TALGO. EUROPA: SANOFI. La Fed sigue apoyando el mercado El mensaje dovish de la Fed apoyó a las bolsas en la semana, transmitiendo confianza a los mercados en que habrá tipos más bajos en 2026 y más liquidez con la compra de activos a corto plazo. No obstante, las dudas en torno a las tecnológicas provocaron tomas de beneficios en la recta final. Así, en el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Bancos y Seguros seguido ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 12 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 12 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, FERROVIAL, NEINOR, TELEFÓNICA. Stock markets remain confident that the Fed will end up cutting rates European stock markets rose, welcoming higher rate cut expectations in the Fed’s next meeting, especially after the weakness of the US data released yesterday. In the STOXX 600, Construction and Retail were the best performers whereas cyclicals sectors such as Technology and Energy posted the biggest drop. On the macro side, in the US September’s retail sa...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, FERROVIAL, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ENI, UNICREDIT. Confianza en que la Fed terminará bajando tipos Avances en las bolsas europeas, que siguen celebrando las mayores expectativas de bajadas de tipos para la próxima reunión de la Fed, especialmente después de la debilidad de los datos estadounidenses de hoy. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción y Retail mientras que cíclicos como Tecnología y En...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 24 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS, FERROVIAL, NEINOR. Stock markets far from highs Stock markets saw profit taking last week due to the doubts surrounding the Fed’s decision in December and the overvaluation of the US technology sector despite NVIDIA’s good results. In the STOXX 600, Financials was the only sector in positive territory last week, followed by Household, which reported the smallest corrections whereas the US AI selloff had a contagion effect on the Technology sector (-5%), followed by Energy. ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 24 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, FERROVIAL, NEINOR, EUROPA: BAYER, PROSUS, UNICREDIT Las bolsas se alejan de máximos Toma de beneficios en mercado en la semana, provocada por las dudas sobre la decisión de la Fed de diciembre y la sobrevaloración acumulada del tecnológico estadounidense. En una semana de caídas en el STOXX 600, sólo S. Financieros se mantuvo en verde seguido por Hogar con las menores pérdidas mientras que el selloff de la IA estadounidense contagió a Tecno...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: 3Q’25 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 995.0 M (+1.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e) and +1.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 831.0 M (+2.7% vs. +2.2% BS(e) and +2.2% consensus); Net Profit: € -158.0 M (vs. € 278 M in 3Q’24); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 2.937 Bn (+1.2% vs. +1.1% BS(e) and +1.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.436 Bn (+2.1% vs. +1.9% BS(e) and +1.9% consensus); Net Profit: € -263.0 M (€ -148.0 M in 9M'24 vs);

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: RDOS. 9MESES’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 995,0 M euros (+1,3% vs +1,2% BS(e) y +1,3% consenso); EBITDA: 831,0 M euros (+2,7% vs +2,2% BS(e) y +2,2% consenso); BDI: -158,0 M euros (vs 278 M euros en 3T’24); Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 2.937 M euros (+1,2% vs +1,1% BS(e) y +1,2% consenso); EBITDA: 2.436 M euros (+2,1% vs +1,9% BS(e) y +1,9% consenso); BDI: -263,0 M euros (-148,0 M euros en 9meses'24).

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 07 NOVEMBER + 3Q'25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AMADEUS, CELLNEX, IAG, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Doubts persist With the results campaign entering the final stretch, the main European indices closed with losses, with the IBEX standing out as the best performer, remaining at around 16,100. In the STOXX 600, Basic Mate...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 07 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’25. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AMADEUS, CELLNEX, IAG, SACYR. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Se mantienen las dudas Con la campaña de resultados entrando en su recta final, los principales índices europeos cerraron con pérdidas, destacando...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cellnex (Neutral, €29, +5%) Upgrade to Neutral

Cellnex has underperformed this year by 25pp vs. the EU operators and with the stock now trading below our target price, we upgrade from Reduce to Neutral.

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

FERROVIAL: MENSAJES DE LA CONFERENCE CALL RDOS. 3T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

De la conference call de Rdos. 3T’25, destacamos los siguientes mensajes:  Managed Lanes: Confirma que la favorable evolución de tarifas en las Managed Lanes

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

FERROVIAL: 3Q’25 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'25 vs. 3Q'24 Results Sales: € 2.443 Bn (+2.8% vs. +4.8% BS(e) and +2.8% consensus); EBITDA: € 376.0 M (-7.2% vs. +0.1% BS(e) and -1.0% consensus); EBIT: € 260.0 M (-7.8% vs. +1.6% BS(e) and -1.4% consensus); 9M'25 vs. 9M'24 Results Sales: € 6.912 Bn (+4.0% vs. +4.8% BS(e) and +4.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 1.031 Bn (+2.3% vs. +5.2% BS(e) and +4.8% consensus); EBIT: € 691.0 M (-17.0% vs. -13.9% BS(e) and -14.9% consensus);

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